2024 Trade Archive



30th January



WTA Hua Hin

Bai 1.65 v Paquet

Due to start at 8:30 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Bai.
Most of Bai's matches were in ITF's in the last year. ITF titles in Nov and Oct. CH q final in Aug. 2 WTA 2nd rounds in 2023.
Paquet has come through the qual rounds. Very little hard court success in the last 12 months. An ITF q final in Jan was her best effort. Recent performances are better for Bai.
Back Bai around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Hua Hin

Korneeva 1.69 v Wang

Due to start at 10 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are a little better for Korneeva.
Korneeva has come through the qual rounds. 2nd round of the Aus Open as qualifier. Most of her matches in 2023 were in ITF's. She won the Aus Open junior title in 2023.
Wang reached the 3rd round at the Aus Open. 2nd round at the US Open as qualifier. CH title in Aug.
12 month WTA stats are better for Wang. Return stats and predicted holds are pretty even. 3 month stats slightly favour Korneeva overall. Recent performances are better for Wang. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Korneeva around 1.40 and remove liab at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.



29 January


WTA Linz

Boulter 1.96 v Paolini

Due to start at 2:30 pm


H2H 1-1. Most recent Mar 2022, hard, Paolini in 2. Boulter won indoors in 2012, 2 sets. Indoor win %'s favour Boulter.
Boulter reached an ITF final in May. 2 WTA 2nd round in 2022 as qualifier. Her best results have come in ITF's.
Paolini had some wins at the BJK Cup in Nov, beating Garcia. Q finals in Lyon in Feb. Final in Cluj in Oct 2022. 2 WTA q finals in 2022, 2021 (including in Linz) and a semi in 2021.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Boulter on serve and favour Paolini on return. Paolini has the better ROI in the last year. WTA hard stats in the last year slightly favour Boulter. More recent performances are better for Paolini who reached the 4th round of the Aus Open.
Decent chance of 3 sets. Lay Boulter around 1.60 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.



ATP Montpellier

Murray 1.29 v Paire

Due to start at 6 pm


Murray 4-0. Most recent June 2021, grass, 2 sets. He won on grass in 2017, straight sets. Their only indoor match was in the Hopman Cup in 2015. Indoor win %'s are better for Murray.
Murray reached the 2nd round in Basel in Oct. Q finals in Gijon in 2022.
Most of Paire's indoor matches in the last year were in Challengers.
Back Murray above 1.80.



28th January


ATP Australian Open Final

Sinner 1.38 v Medvedev

Due to start at 8:30 am


Medvedev 6-3. Most recent Nov 2023, indoors, Sinner in 3. He won indoors in Oct 2023, 3 sets. He won on hard in oct 2023, 2 tie breaks. Medvedev won on hard in Miami in April, 2 sets and indoors in Feb, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are pretty even.
Sinner reached the 4th round last season. Straight sets win over Zandschulp in the 1st round. He beat De Jong and Baez in straight sets. Straight sets win over Khachanov in the 4th round. Sinner beat Rublev in 3 sets in the q final. IN the semis he beat Djokovic in 4 sets. 4th round in Shanghai. Title in Beijing. 4th round at the US Open. Title in Toronto and final in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells. Q finals in Adelaide 2023.
Medvedev reached the 3rd round last year. In the 1st round he lost the 1st set to Atmane who then retired in set 4. In the 2nd round he went 2 sets behind to Ruusuvuori. He beat Aliassime in 3 sets in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Borges in the 4th round. In the q final he needed 5 sets against Hurkacz. He beat Zverev from 2 sets down in the semi final. Finals in Beijing and the US Open. Title in Miami. Final in Indian Wells. Title in Dubai. Title in Doha. Semis in Adelaide1 2023.
12 month hard stats are better for Sinner. Tournament stats favour Sinner. He has lost just 1 set so far. Medvedev has lost 8 sets. Medvedev has been on court almost 6 hours more in the tournament. Recent performances are close but favour Sinner.
Sinner is priced a little too low at 1.38. He has taken the 1st set in 4 of their 5 matches in 2023. We can expect nerves from both although this is Sinner's first slam final. He should win but Medvedev won't roll over easily.
Lay Sinner part stake at the start and lay more at 1.25. Remove liability at 1.75 to 1.85. Lay set 1 winner. 4 or 5 sets.



Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve Challenger

Coric 1.62 v Riedi

Due to start at 2 pm


Coric 1-0 (July 2023, clay, 2 sets). 12 month indoor win %'s are better for Coric.
Coric needed 3 sets in the first 2 rounds as favourite. Straight sets win in the q final. He beat Dzumhur in 2 tight sets in the semi. Q finals in Montpellier in Feb.
Riedi has come through the qual rounds. He beat Paire in 3 sets in the 1st round. Straight sets win in the 2nd round. In the q final he beat Huesler in 2 tie breaks. In the semi he beat Nakashima in 2 sets as underdog. CH title this month. 2nd round in Marseille in Feb.
12 month stats on all tours are better for Coric on serve and favour Riedi on return. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Coric around 2.10 and remove liab at 1.60.




27th January


WTA Australian Open

Zheng v Sabalenka 1.18

Due to start at 8:30 am


Sabalenka 1-0 (Sep 2023, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are a little better for Sabalenka.
Zheng reached the 2nd round last year. She beat Krueger in 3 sets in the 1st round and beat Boulter in 2. In the 3rd round she beat Yafan Wang in a 3rd set tie break. Easy win over Dodin in the 4th round. Zheng came through the q final in 3 sets after losing the first set to Kalinskaya in a tie break. She beat Yastremska in 2 sets in the semis. She won the title in Zhengzhou in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Abu Dhabi.
Sabalenka won the title last year. She lost just 1 game in the 1st round. Straight sets win in the 2nd round. She did not lose a game to Tsurenko in the 3rd round and beat Anisimova in 2 sets in the 4th round. Easy win over Krejcikova in the q final. Gauff was beaten in 2 tight sets in the semi final. Final in Brisbane this month. She seemed injured in the final and won just 3 games. Q finals in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Q finals in Miami. Final in Indian Wells. Title in Adelaide 2023.
12 month stats are better for Sabalenka. Stats for the tournament also favour her. Zheng has not faced an opponent inside the top 50 in the tournament. This is her first slam final.
Back Sabalenka above 1.75.



Punta Del Esta Challenger

Mager v Cecchinato 1.75

Due to start at 11:30 pm


Cecchinato 2-1. Most recent Oct 2022, clay, Mager in 3. Cecchinato won on clay in 2022 (2 sets) and 2020 (3 sets). Clay win %'s in the last year are a little better for Mager.
Mager has come through the qual rounds. He beat Gakhov in a 3rd set tie break in the 1st round. He beat Comesana in 2 sets as underdog in the 2nd round. He beat Cerundolo as underdog in 2 sets in the q final. CH q final this month. CH semi and q final in March.
Cerundolo beat Giannessi in 3 sets. He beat Sanchez in 2 sets in the 2nd round. He beat Albot in 3 sets in the q final. He reached a CH q final in Oct and a semi in Sep. Semi in July and final in April. Q finals in Cordoba in Feb.
12 month CH stats are better for Mager. Cecc has been in poor form for months but has found his old form this week. Stats for the tournament are better for Mager on serve and favour Cecc on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Cecchinato around 1.45 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.





26th January


Predictions:

ATP Australian Open


Djokovic in 5 sets

Zverev in 5 sets



ATP Australian Open

Djokovic 1.55 v Sinner

Due to start at 3:30 am


Djokovic 5-2. Most recent Nov 2023, indoor, Sinner in 3. Djokovic won indoors in Nov 2023, 2 sets. Their only previous hard court match was in an exhibition event in 2021. Hard win %'s are close but favour Djokovic.
Djokovic won the title last season. He dropped a set to Prizmic in the 1st round. Also lost a set to Popyrin in the 2nd round. He beat Etcheverry in 3 in the 3rd round. Very easy win over Mannarino in the 4th round. In the q final he beat Fritz in 4 sets. He won the title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Semis in Dubai. Title in Adelaide 2023.
Sinner reached the 4th round last season. Straight sets win over Zandschulp in the 1st round. He beat De Jong and Baez in straight sets. Straight sets win over Khachanov in the 4th round. Sinner beat Rublev in 3 sets in the q final. 4th round in Shanghai. Title in Beijing. 4th round at the US Open. Title in Toronto and final in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells. Q finals in Adelaide 2023.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Djokovic. Sinner has not lost a set. Djokovic has dropped a set in 3 of his 5 matches. Over a best of 5 match, I'd expect Djokovic to come out on top but this can easily got to 5 sets. Also, if it is played under a closed roof, that probably gives Sinner more of a chance as they are more even indoors.
Lay Djokovic around 1.30 and remove liab at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.




ATP Australian Open

Medvedev 1.74 v Zverev

Due to start at 8:30 am


Medvedev 12-7. Most recent Nov 2023, indoor, Medvedev in 2. He won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. Zverev won on hard in Aug 2023, 3 sets. Medvedev won 5 of their 6 matches last season. Hard win %'s are better for Medvedev.
Medvedev reached the 3rd round last year. In the 1st round he lost the 1st set to Atmane who then retired in set 4. In the 2nd round he went 2 sets behind to Ruusuvuori. He beat Aliassime in 3 sets in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Borges in the 4th round. In the q final he needed 5 sets against Hurkacz. Finals in Beijing and the US Open. Title in Miami. Final in Indian Wells. Title in Dubai. Title in Doha. Semis in Adelaide1 2023.
Zverev reached the 2nd round last year. He made hard work of his 1st round match with Koepfer, winning in 4 sets. In the 2nd round he needed a 5th set tie break against Klein. He beat Michelsen in straight sets in the 3rd round. He needed another 5th set tie break to beat Norrie in the 4th round. In the q final he beat Alcaraz in 4. Semis in Beijing and title in Chengdu. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. 4th round in Indian Wells and semis in Dubai.
Zverev has spent just 37 minutes longer on court. 12 month hard stats are better for Medvedev. Zverev has got stronger as the tournament went on. He will need a performance on par with his win over Alcaraz in the last round. Performances in recent months are better for Medvedev. Stats for the tournament favour Zverev. 4 or 5 sets. Zverev has a great chance if his level doesn't drop.
Lay Medvedev around 1.45 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.




25th January


Predictions:


WTA Australian Open Semi Finals

Sabalenka in 3 sets

Zheng in 3 sets



WTA Australian Open

Gauff v Sabalenka 1.53

Due to start at 8:30 am


Gauff 4-2. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Gauff in 3 sets. Sabalenka won on hard in Mar 2023, 2 sets. Gauff leads 3-1 on hard. Hard win %'s are close but favour Gauff.
Gauff reached the 4th round last year. Easy win over Schmiedlova in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Dolehide in the 2nd round and Parks in the 3rd round. Lost 3 games to Frech in the 4th round. She did not play well in the q final and needed 3 sets against Kostyuk. She won the title in Auckland this month. Semis in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Title in Washington. Q finals in Indian Wells and semis in Dubai.
Sabalenka won the title last year. She lost just 1 game in the 1st round. Straight sets win in the 2nd round. She did not lose a game to Tsurenko in the 3rd round and beat Anisimova in 2 sets in the 4th round. Easy win over Krejcikova in the q final. Final in Brisbane this month. She seemed injured in the final and won just 3 games. Q finals in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Q finals in Miami. Final in Indian Wells. Title in Adelaide 2023.
12 month WTA stats are better for Sabalenka on serve. Return stats favour Gauff. Recent performances before this tournament were pretty even. Stats for the tournament are better for Sabalenka. Gauff has spent 2 hr 43 min longer on court in the tournament.
Chance of 3 sets
Lay Sabalenka if she gets an early break and remove liab if Gauff then gets a bp. Back Sabalenka around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Australian Open

Yastremska v Zheng 1.53

Due to start at 10 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are close but favour Zheng.
Yastremska lost in the 1st round last year. She has come through the qual rounds this time. She beat Vondrousova in 2 and Gracheva in 2 sets in the main draw. She beat Navarro in the 3rd round as underdog. In the 4th round Azarenka had a poor match and Yastremska won in 2. In the q final, Noskova was disappointing and was beaten in 2. She won a Challenger title in Aug. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2023.
Zheng reached the 2nd round last year. She beat Krueger in 3 sets in the 1st round and beat Boulter in 2. In the 3rd round she beat Yafan Wang in a 3rd set tie break. Easy win over Dodin in the 4th round. Zheng came through the q final in 3 sets after losing the first set to Kalinskaya in a tie break. She won the title in Zhengzhou in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Abu Dhabi.
12 month WTA stats are better for Zheng on serve. Return stats are pretty even with a slight edge to Yastremska. Recent performances are better for Zheng.
Lay Zheng around 1.30 and remove liab at 1.85. Back her around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Fair chance of 3 sets.




24th January



WTA Australian Open

Noskova 1.55 v Yastremska

Due to start at 1 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s in the last 12 months are close but favour Noskova.
Noskova lost in the qual rounds last year. She beat Bouzkova in the 1st round as underdog. In the 2nd round she needed 3 sets against Kessler. She beat Swiatek in 3 sets in the 3rd round. She came through the 4th round when Svitolina retired after 3 games. She reached the semis in Brisbane this month. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci and final in Prague in Aug. Q finals in Warsaw. 3rd round in Indian Wells and the final in Adelaide 2023.
Yastremska lost in the 1st round last year. She has come through the qual rounds this time. She beat Vondrousova in 2 and Gracheva in 2 sets in the main draw. She beat Navarro in the 3rd round as underdog. In the 4th round Azarenka had a poor match and Noskova won in 2. She won a Challenger title in Aug. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2023.
12 month WTA stats are better for Noskova on serve. Return stats and predicted holds favour Yastremska. Stats for the tournament also favour Noskova on serve. Performances in the last few months are better for Noskova.
Lay Noskova if she gets an early break. Back Noskova around 2.20 and remove liab at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.




WTA Australian Open

Kalinskaya v Zheng 1.57

Due to start at 8:15 am


Kalinskaya 1-0 (Feb 2022, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Zheng.
Kalinskaya lost to Collins in the 1st round last year. She beat Volynets in 3 sets in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Rus in the 2nd round. She beat Stephens in 3 sets in the 3rd round. Paolini was beaten in 2 sets in the 4th round. 2nd round in Adelaide and Brisbane this month. She should be over that by now. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the US Open. Q finals in Austin.
Zheng reached the 2nd round last year. She beat Krueger in 3 sets in the 1st round and beat Boulter in 2. In the 3rd round she beat Yafan Wang in a 3rd set tie break. Easy win over Dodin in the 4th round. She won the title in Zhengzhou in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Abu Dhabi.
12 month WTA stats are better for Zheng on serve. Performances in the last few months are a little better for Zheng. This should be close but I give Zheng the edge.
Lay Zheng if she gets an early break of serve and remove liab at 1.65. Back Zheng around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Fair chance of 3 sets.




23rd January



ATP Australian Open

Djokovic 1.14 v Fritz

Due to start at 3:30 am


Djokovic 8-0. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, straight sets. He won on hard in Aug 2023, 2 sets. Fritz won sets in only 1 of their matches which was in a 5 setter at the Aus Open in 2021. Hard win %'s are better for Djokovic.
Djokovic won the title last season. He dropped a set to Prizmic in the 1st round. Also lost a set to Popyrin in the 2nd round. He beat Etcheverry in 3 in the 3rd round. Very easy win over Mannarino in the 4th round. He won the title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Semis in Dubai. Title in Adelaide 2023.
Fritz reached the 2nd round last season. He needed 5 sets to beat Acosta as 1.05 favourite. Easy win over Gaston in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round he beat Marozsan in 4. In the 4th round he beat Tsitsipas in 4 sets as underdog. Q final at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Semis in Washington. Title in Atlanta. Q finals in Miami and Indian Wells. Semis in Acapulco and title in Delray Beach.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Djokovic.
Lay Djokovic and remove liab at 1.25. Back Djokovic around 1..75 to 1.90. Back Djokovic if he loses set 1.




ATP Australian Open

Sinner 1.27 v Rublev

Due to start at 9:30 am


Sinner 4-2. Most recent Oct 2023, indoor, Sinner in 2. He won on hard in Mar 2023, 2 sets. Rublev won on clay in May 2022 when Sinner retired. Both Rublev's wins were by retirement. Hard win %'s are better for Sinner.
Sinner reached the 4th round last season. Straight sets win over Zandschulp in the 1st round. He beat De Jong and Baez in straight sets. Straight sets win over Khachanov in the 4th round. 4th round in Shanghai. Title in Beijing. 4th round at the US Open. Title in Toronto and final in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells. Q finals in Adelaide 2023.
Rublev reached the q finals last season. He needed a 5th set tie break to beat Wild. Straight sets win over Eubanks and Korda in the 2nd and 3rd rounds. He beat De Minaur in 5 sets in the 4th round. Title in Hong Kong. Final in Shanghai. Q final of the US Open. 4th round in Miami and Indian Wells. Final in Dubai.
12 month ATP stats are better for Sinner, although they are quite closely matched. Results in the last few months are better for Rublev, but performances against top players favour Sinner. This tournament he has been broken twice in 12 sets. I do not expect this to finish in straight sets.
Lay Sinner around 1.20 and remove liab at 1.55. Lay set 1 winner. 4 or 5 sets.




22nd January


WTA Australian Open

Azarenka 1.38 v Yastremska

Due to start at 1 am


Azarenka 2-1. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Azarenka in 2. She won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Yastremska won on hard in 2019. Long term hard win %'s are better for Azarenka. Yastremska leads in the last year.
Azarenka reached the semis last season. This year she beat Giorgi and Tauson in 3 sets. In the 3rd round she beat Ostapenko in 2 sets as slight underdog. Semis in Brisbane this month. Q finals in Guadalajara. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Dubai. Q final in Adelaide(2023).
Yastremska lost in the 1st round last year. She has come through the qual rounds this time. She beat Vondrousova in 2 and Gracheva in 2 sets in the main draw. She beat Navarro in the 3rd round as underdog. She won a Challenger title in Aug. 5 WTA 2nd rounds in 2023.
12 month WTA stats are better for Azarenka on return. Serve stats are quite even overall. More recent performances are better for Azarenka. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Azarenka around 1.25 and remove liab at 1.60. Back Azarenka around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Australian Open

Paolini v Kalinskaya 1.72

Due to start at 6 am


Paolini 1-0 (Sep 2021, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Paolini lost in the 1st round to Samsonova last season. This week she beat Shnaider and Maria in 2 sets. Another straight sets win in the 3rd round over Blinkova. Final in Monastir and semis in Zhengzhou in Oct. 3rd round in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Kalinskaya lost to Collins in the 1st round last year. She beat Volynets in 3 sets in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Rus in the 2nd round. She beat Stephens in 3 sets in the 3rd round. 2nd round in Adelaide and Brisbane this month. She should be over that by now. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the US Open. Q finals in Austin.
12 month WTA stats are better for Kalinskaya on serve. Predicted holds favour her. recent performances are a little better for Kalinskaya.
Back Kalinskaya around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Fair chance of 3 sets.




21st January



WTA Australian Open

Kostyuk 1.54 v Timofeeva

Due to start at 2 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Timofeeva.
Kostyuk reached the 3rd round last year. She needed 3 sets against Liu in the 1st round. She beat Mertens in a 3rd set tie break in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round she beat Avanesyan in 3 sets as favourite. Q finals in Adelaide this month. 3rd round in Beijing and Washington. Title in Austin in March. Q finals in Hua Hin and Adelaide 2023.
Timofeeva has come through the qual rounds. She beat Cornet in 2 sets and Wozniacki in 3 sets. In the 3rd round she beat Haddad Maia in 2. Almost all her matches were in ITF's. She won an ITF title in Jan 2023 and reached another final in April.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Timofeeva. Before this tournament she has had no main tour success. She had lost both her previous WTA hard matches. Kostyuk is not going to have an easy match.
Lay Kostyuk around 1.30 and remove liab at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.



WTA Australian Open

Andreeva 1.51 v Krejcikova

Due to start at 4:30 am


Andreeva 2-0. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on grass in 2023, Krejcikova retired. Hard win %'s are better for Andreeva.
Andreeva beat Pera in 2 sets in the 1st round. She beat Jabeur in 2 sets in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round she was 1-5 down to Parry in the final set before recovering to win in a tie break. She reached the q finals in Brisbane and 2nd round in Hong Kong this month. 3rd round in Beijing. She reached the final of the Aus Open Juniors in 2023.
Krejcikova made the 4th round last year. She needed 3 sets in the 1st round as 1.14 favourite. Beat Korpatsch in 2 sets in the 2nd round. Needed 3 sets in the 3rd round against Hunter. Final in Zhengzhou in Oct and title in San Diego in Sep. 4th rounds in Miami and Indian Wells. Title in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats are better for Andreeva. Stats since September are better for Andreeva. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Andreeva around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Lay set 1 winner.




20th January


WTA Australian Open

Kalinskaya 1.86 v Stephens

Due to start at midnight


H2H 1-1. Most recent Feb 2022, hard, Kalinskaya retired. Kalinskaya won on hard in 2019, hard, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Kalinskaya.
Kalinskaya lost to Collins in the 1st round last year. She beat Volynets in 3 sets in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Rus in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Adelaide and Brisbane this month. She was injured in her last match. She should be over that by now. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the US Open. Q finals in Austin.
Stephens lost in the 1st round last year. She had an easy win over Gadecki in the 1st round. She beat Kasatkina in 3 sets as underdog in the 2nd round. Q finals in Cleveland. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round Montreal. Q finals in Austin and Merida.
12 month hard stats are better for Kalinskaya. Recent performances are better for Kalinskaya. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Stephens around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.



WTA Australian Open

Ostapenko 1.79 v Azarenka

Due to start at 3 am


Azarenka 3-0. Most recent Jan 2024, hard, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are close but favour Ostapenko.
Ostapenko reached the q finals last year. This year she beat Birrell in straight sets. The first set was very tight. She beat Tomljanovic in 3. She won the title in Adelaide and made the q finals in Brisbane this month. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. 4th round in Miami. 3rd round in Dubai.
Azarenka reached the semis last season. This year she beat Giorgi and Tauson in 3 sets. Semis in Brisbane this month. Q finals in Guadalajara. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Dubai. Q final in Adelaide(2023).
12 month hard stats are better for Ostapenko on serve. return stats and predicted holds favour Azarenka. Good chance of 3 sets. Recent performances are strong for both but favour Ostapenko.
Lay Azarenka around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.




19th January


WTA Australian Open

Anisimova v Badosa 1.68

Due to start at midnight


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Anisimova lost in the 1st round last season. She beat out of form Samsonova in straight sets. Beat Podoroska in 2 sets in the 2nd round. She reached 2 WTA 2nd rounds last year. She reached the 2nd round in Auckland this month.
Badosa reached the semis in Adelaide(2023). Poor loss to Pera this month. She did take that match to 3 sets. She improved a great deal and beat Townsend in 2 sets. She beat Pavlyuchenkova in 2 sets as underdog in the 2nd round.
Neither player has played many matches in the last year. 12 month hard stats are better for Badosa on serve. She seems to be enjoying being back on court. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Badosa around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



ATP Australian Open

Korda v Rublev 1.43

Due to start at 9:30 am


Rublev 2-0. Most recent Oct 2022, indoor, 2 sets. He won on hard in 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Rublev.
Korda reached the q finals last season. Needed 5 sets against Kopriva in the 1st round. Beat Halys in 3 sets in the 2nd round. Semis in Adelaide this month. Semis in Shanghai, Zhuhai and Winston Salem. Final in Adelaide 2023.
Rublev reached the q finals last season. He needed a 5th set tie break to beat Wild. Straight sets win over Eubanks in the 2nd round. Title in Hong Kong. Final in Shanghai. Q final of the US Open. 4th round in Miami and Indian Wells. Final in Dubai.
12 month hard stats are better for Rublev on serve. Korda leads return games won % and has a slight lead in the predicted holds. Recent performances are strong for both players. Slight edge to Rublev.
4 or 5 sets. Back Rublev around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liab at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.




18th January



WTA Australian Open

Rus v Kalinskaya 1.51

Due to start at midnight


H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2018, indoor, Rus in 3. Kalinskaya won on grass in 2018, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are close.
Rus lost in the qual rounds last season. In the 1st round she lost just 1 game to Kalinina. She reached the q finals in Hobart this month.
Kalinskaya lost to Collins in the 1st round last year. She beat Volynets in 3 sets in the 1st round. 2nd round in Adelaide and Brisbane this month. She was injured in her last match. She should be over that by now. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the US Open. Q finals in Austin.
12 month hard stats are better for Kalinskaya. Rus has raised her game recently and can take this to 3 sets.
Back Kalinskaya around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liab at 1.65.




WTA Australian Open

Maria v Paolini 1.42

Due to start at 2 am


Maria 2-1. Most recent Mar 2023, hard, Maria in 2. She won on grass in 2017. Hard win %'s are pretty even.
Maria lost in the 1st round last year. She beat Osorio in 3 sets as underdog in the 1st round. Q finals in Guangzhou. Semis in Cleveland. Challenger title in Aug. Semis in Warsaw. Q finals in Hua Hin.
Paolini lost in the 1st round to Samsonova last season. This week she beat Shnaider in 2 sets. Final in Monastir and semis in Zhengzhou in Oct. 3rd round in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
12 month hard stats are very even. Small edge to Paolini overall. Recent performances are better for Paolini.
Back Paolini around 1.90 to 2.00 and remove liab at 1.55.




17th January



WTA Australian Open

Rakhimova v Parry 1.86

Due to start at midnight


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Rakhimova.
Rakhimova lost in the 1st round last year. She beat Bektas in 2 sets as slight underdog. She reached the semis of a Challenger in Oct. Q finals and final in Challengers in Aug.
Parry lost in the 1st round last year. She beat Wang in the 1st round as underdog in 3 sets. She won 2 of her last 10 on hard. She reached the q finals in Auckland this month.
12 month WTA stats are better for Parry on serve. Return stats and predicted holds are better for Rakhimova. Recent performances are better for Parry. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Rakhimova around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.



WTA Australian Open

Badosa v Pavlyuchenkova 1.88

Due to start at 2 am


1st meeting. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Pavlyuchenkova
Badosa reached the semis in Adelaide(2023). Poor loss to Pera this month. She did take that match to 3 sets. She improved a great deal and beat Townsend in 2 sets.
Pavlyuchenkova lost in the 1st round last year. She beat Vekic in 2 sets. Q finals in Adelaide as qualifier this month. Q finals in Hong Kong. Semis in Tokyo. 2nd round of the US Open.
12 month WTA stats are better for Badosa on serve. She had some injury issues in the last few months but seems to be over them. Recent performances are better for Pavlyuchenkova. 3 sets.
Lay Badosa around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.




16th January



WTA Australian Open

Collins 1.42 v Kerber

Due to start at 2 am


H2H 1-1. Most recent Jan 2019, hard, Collins in 2. Kerber won on grass in 2018, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Collins.
Collins reached the 3rd round last year. Semis in San Diego. 2nd round at the US Open. Q finals in Montreal and semis in Austin. Q finals in Adelaide2(2023).
Kerber had not played since Wimbledon, July 2022. She was having a baby and took a break. She returned for the United Cup this month. She lost 4 of her 5 matches.
Collins has not been at her best since Sep. Kerber can give her a few problems. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Collins around 1.25 and remove liab at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.



WTA Australian Open

Boulter 1.63 v Yuan

Due to start at 3:30 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Yuan.
Boulter lost in the qual rounds last year. 3rd round at the US Open. Most of her WTA wins were in qual rounds.
Yuan lost to Sakkari in the 1st round last season. Semis in Hobart and 2nd round in Auckland this month. Final in Seoul in Oct. Challenger semi in Aug. Recent performances are much better for Yuan.
12 month WTA stats are better for Boulter overall.
Lay Boulter around 1.40 and remove liab at 1.90. Chance of 3 sets but I favour Yuan.




15th January



WTA Australian Open

Noskova v Bouzkova 1.66

Due to start at midnight


Bouzkova 2-0. Most recent Aug 2022, hard, 3 sets. She won on hard in July 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Noskova.
Noskova lost in the qual rounds last year. She reached the semis in Brisbane this month. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci and final in Prague in Aug. Q finals in Warsaw. 3rd round in Indian Wells and the final in Adelaide 2023.
Bouzkova lost in the 1st round to Andreescu last year. This month she reached the q finals in Auckland. Final in Nanchang and q final in Seoul in Oct. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Noskova on serve. Return stats and predicted holds favour Putintseva. Same pattern in the 3 month stats. Recent performances are better for Bouzkova.
Chance of 3 sets. Back Bouzkova around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Australian Open

Kalinina 1.60 v Rus

Due to start at 5:30 am


H2H 1-1. Most recent Nov 2023, indoor, Kalinina in 2. Rus won on clay in 2017. Hard win %'s are quite even.
Kalinina reached the 3rd round last year. Q finals in Zhengzhou and 3rd round in Beijing in Oct. 3rd round in Dubai. Q finals in Hobart(2023).
Rus lost in the qual rounds last season. She reached the q finals in Hobart this month.
12 month stats are better for Kalinina overall.
Back Kalinina around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.70.



14th January



WTA Australian Open

Rakhimova v Bektas 1.85

Due to start at midnight


Bektas 2-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Bektas in 3. Rakhimova won on hard in Sep 2023, 3rd set tie break. Hard win %'s are better for Bektas.
Rakhimova lost in the 1st round last year. She reached the semis of a Challenger in Oct. Q finals and final in Challengers in Aug.
Bektas won a Challenger title in Oct. Semis in Seoul. Most of her tennis was played in ITF's.
WTA hard stats in the last 12 months are better for Bektas on serve. Predicted holds favour her.
Good chance of 3 sets. Slight edge to Bektas.
Lay Rakhimova around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20.



WTA Australian Open

Parry v Wang 1.43

Due to start at


Wang 1-0 (Feb 2021, indoor, Parry retired). Hard win %'s are better for Wang.
Parry lost in the 1st round last year. She won 2 of her last 10 on hard. She reached the q finals in Auckland this month.
Wang reached the 2nd round last season. She reached 2nd rounds in Auckland and Hobart. 3rd round in Beijing, semis in Osaka and 4th round at the US Open. Q finals in Cleveland. 3rd round in Indian Wells, semis in Hua Hin and q finals in Hobart 2023.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Wang. Parry served fairly well in Auckland and could take it to 3 sets.
Lay Wang around 1.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Back Wang above 2.10.




13th January


Predictions:


WTA Hobart

Mertens in 3 sets


WTA Adelaide

Ostapenko in 2 sets


ATP Adelaide

Draper in 3 sets


ATP Auckland

Tabilo in 3 sets




WTA Hobart

Mertens 1.79 v Navarro

Due to start at 2 am


1st meeting. Hard win %;'s are a little better for Navarro.
Mertens lost in the 1st round last season. She beat Collins in 2 sets as underdog in the 1st round. Easy win over Schmiedlova and Rus in the 2nd round and q final. In the semis she had a tough 3 sets win over Saville. She was broken 3 times in 3 sets. Title in Monastir in Oct. Q finals in Hong Kong. 3rd round at the US Open. 4th round in Miami, Semis in Monterrey. 3rd round at the Aus Open.
Navarro beat Burel in 3 sets in the 1st round and Frech in 2 sets in the 2nd round. In the q final she needed 3 sets to beat Tomova. She faced 16 bp's but was broken just 3 times. IN the semis she came through a tough opening set with Yuan and took the match in 2 sets. She reached the semis last week, losing to Gauff. 3rd round in Guadalajara. Semis in San Diego.
12 month hard stats favour Navarro overall but they are pretty even. 3 month stats favour Mertens. Stats for the tournament also favour Mertens. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Navarro around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.



WTA Adelaide

Ostapenko 1.65 v Kasatkina

Due to start at 7:30 am


Ostapenko 5-2. Most recent May 2023, clay, Ostapenko in 3 sets. She won on grass twice in 2021, 3 sets each time. Kasatkina won their last match on hard in 2017. Hard win %'s in the last 12 months are better for Ostapenko.
Ostapenko beat Cirstea in 3 sets. In the 2nd round she beat Garcia in 3. She looked like she was going to retire through injury and had an MTO near the end of set 1. Somehow she recovered. She beat Kostyuk in 2 sets in the q final. In the semi final she easily took the first set but was 3-5 down in set 2 before recovering to take the set in a tie break. She reached the q finals last week. Q finals in Beijing in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 4th round in Miami and q finals of the Aus Open.
Kasatkina beat Liu in 2 sets in the 1st round. In the 2nd round she was being outplayed by Kalinskaya and was a set and 0-4 down. Kalinskaya had an injury problem and lost the next 8 games. She had a walkover in the q finals and the semis when Siegemund and Pegula withdrew. She reached the q finals last week. Semis in Zhengzhou, q finals in Tokyo and 4th round of the US Open. Q finals in Montreal and final in Adelaide2.
12 month hard stats are better for Ostapenko on serve. Predicted holds favour her. Kasatkina leads on return.
Kasatkina has led a charmed life this week. Ostapenko had some sort of injury early in the week but still recovered and has not lost a set in the last 2 rounds.
Back Ostapenko around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.60. Back Ostapenko if she loses set 1.




12th January


Predictions:


WTA Adelaide

Ostapenko in 3 sets

Pegula in 2 sets


WTA Hobart

Mertens in 3 sets

Navarro in 3 sets


ATP Adelaide

Korda in 3 sets

Draper in 3 sets


ATP Auckland

Shelton in 2 sets

Fils in 3 sets



WTA Adelaide

Alexandrova v Ostapenko 1.73

Due to start at 6 am


Alexandrova 5-3. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Ostapenko in 3. Alexandrova won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Ostapenko.
Alexandrova beat Linette in 3 tight sets in the 1st round and Kudermetova in 2 sets in the 2nd round. In the q finals she beat Rybakina in 2. She had a poor loss last week. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round at the US Open. Final in Cleveland. Q finals in Miami. 3rd round of the Aus Open. 2nd round in Adelaide2.
Ostapenko beat Cirstea in 3 sets. In the 2nd round she beat Garcia in 3. She looked like she was going to retire through injury and had an MTO near the end of set 1. Somehow she recovered. She beat Kostyuk in 2 sets in the q final. She reached the q finals last week. Q finals in Beijing in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 4th round in Miami and q finals of the Aus Open.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Alexandrova on serve. Ostapenko leads on return and predicted holds also favour her.
Back Ostapenko around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.



WTA Adelaide

Kasatkina v Pegula 1.33

Due to start at 10 am


Pegula 2-0. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on clay in 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Kasatkina beat Liu in 2 sets in the 1st round. In the 2nd round she was being outplayed by Kalinskaya and was a set and 0-4 down. Kalinskaya had an injury problem and lost the next 8 games. She had a walkover in the q finals when Siegemund withdrew. She reached the q finals last week. Semis in Zhengzhou, q finals in Tokyo and 4th round of the US Open. Q finals in Montreal and final in Adelaide2.
Pegula beat Pera in 3 sets in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Pavlyuchenkova in the q final. She reached the final of the year end finals in Nov. Title in Seoul in Oct. Final in Tokyo and 4th round of the US Open. Title in Montreal. Semis in Washington and Miami. Semis in Dubai. Final in Doha. Q finals of the Aus Open.
12 month hard stats are better for Pegula. 3 month stats also favour her.
Back Pegula around 1.85 to 2.00 and remove liab at 1.45.




11th January



WTA Adelaide

Kostyuk v Ostapenko 1.48

Due to start at 1 am


Ostapenko 1-0 (Sep 2023, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Ostapenko.
Kostyuk beat Kalinina in 2 sets. She beat Townsend in 3. She reached the 3rd round in Beijing. Q finals in Washington. Title in Austin. Q finals in Hua Hin, 3rd round at the Aus Open and q finals in Adelaide1.
Ostapenko beat Cirstea in 3 sets. In the 2nd round she beat Garcia in 3. She looked like she was going to retire through injury and had an MTO near the end of set 1. Somehow she recovered. She reached the q finals last week. Q finals in Beijing in Oct. Q finals of the US Open. 4th round in Miami and q finals of the Aus Open.
12 month hard stats are better for Ostapenko. If she was worried about making any injury worse, she would have retired in the last round.
Back Ostapenko above 2.10 and remove liab at 1.60.



WTA Hobart

Putintseva 1.62 v Yuan

Due to start at 6:30 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Yuan.
Putintseva reached the q finals last season. She has come through the qual rounds. She beat Cocciaretto in a 3rd set tie break in the 1st round. She beat Bouzkova in 3 sets as underdog in the 2nd round. Semis in Guangzhou. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the Aus Open.
Yuan lost in the qual rounds last season. She won 8 of her last 10. She made it through the qual rounds this time. Beat Stephens in 3 sets in the main draw. In the 2nd round she beat Wang as underdog in 2 sets. Final in Seoul in Oct. Most of her best results were in ITF's.
12 month hard stats are better for Putintseva overall. 3 month stats favour Yuan on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Putintseva around 1.35 and remove liab at 1.80. Lay set 1 winner.



10th January


WTA Adelaide

Alexandrova v Kudermetova 1.53

Due to start at 4 am


H2H 3-3. Most recent June 2023, grass, Alexandrova by walkover. Alexandrova won on grass in June 2023, 3rd set tie break. Kudermetova last win was also by walkover in 2023. Hard win %'s are quite even.
Alexandrova beat Linette in 3 tight sets in the 1st round. She had a poor loss last week. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round at the US Open. Final in Cleveland. Q finals in Miami. 3rd round of the Aus Open. 2nd round in Adelaide2.
Kudermetova Had a straight sets win over Krueger in the 1st round. She won the title in Tokyo in Oct. Semis in Doha. Q finals and semis in the 2 Adelaide events. She did not have her best season.
12 month hard stats are better for Alexandrova overall. 3 month stats are better for Kudermetova. Recent performances are better for Kudermetova.
Back Kudermetova around 2.20 and remove liab at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.




WTA Hobart

Bouzkova 1.50 v Putintseva

Due to start at 7 am


Putintseva 1-0 (Oct 2023, hard, 2 sets). 12 month hard win %'s are even.
Bouzkova reached the 2nd round last year. She beat Golubic in 2 sets in the 1st round. She reached the q finals last week. Final in Nanchang. Q finals in Seoul. 3rd round at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Putintseva reached the q finals last season. She has come through the qual rounds. She beat Cocciaretto in a 3rd set tit break in the 1st round. Semis in Guangzhou. Q finals in Osaka. 2nd round at the Aus Open.
12 month stats favour Bouzkova overall and 3 month stats favour her.
Back Bouzkova around 2.10 to 2.20.



9th January



WTA Hobart

Minnen v Kenin 1.42

Due to start at 1 am


H2H 1-1. Most recent July 2016, hard, Kenin in 3. Minnen won on grass at the Wimbledon juniors in 2014. Hard win %'s are better for Kenin.
Minnen reached the semis in Guangzhou in Sep. 3rd round at the US Open as qualifier. Challenger final in Aug.
Kenin reached the semis last year. She lost to Rodionova last week. Semis in Guadalajara. Final in San Diego. 3rd round in Miami.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Minnen overall. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Kenin around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liab at 1.60.



WTA Hobart

Burel v Navarro 1.87

Due to start at 7 am


H2H 1-1. Most recent July 2023, clay, Burel in 2. Navarro won on clay in 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Burel reached the 3rd round last week. Semis in Monastir. 3rd round at the US Open. 2nd round at the Aus Open.
Navarro reached the semis last week, losing to Gauff. 3rd round in Guadalajara. Semis in San Diego.
12 month hard stats are better for Navarro. 3 month stats are better for Navarro on serve and favour Burel on return. Predicted holds are better for Burel. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Burel around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.




8th January


WTA Hobart

Fruhvirtova 1.67 v Rus

Due to start at midnight


Fruhvirtova 1-0 (Oct 2023, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Fruhvirtova lost in the qual rounds. Q finals in Hong Kong. Semis in Ningbo. 4th round at the Aus Open.
Most of Rus' matches in 2023 were in ITF's. She did not win a WTA main draw match on hard.
Back Fruhvirtova around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Adelaide

Boulter 1.53 v Tsurenko

Due to start at 3:30 am


Tsurenko 3-0. Most recent Mar 2023, hard, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2020 and 2018. Hard win %'s favour Tsurenko.
Boulter has come through the qual rounds. She beat Pegula at the United Cup last week. 3rd round at the US Open.
Tsurenko reached the semis in Monastir. Q finals in Zhengzhou. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Final in Hua Hin.
12 month hard stats are a little better for Boulter. 3 month stats also slightly favour Boulter. Predicted holds are better for Tsurenko.
Lay Boulter around 1.30 and remove liab at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.





7th January


Predictions:


WTA Auckland

Gauff in 2 sets


WTA Brisbane

Sabalenka in 3 sets


ATP Brisbane

Dimitrov in 3


ATP Hong Kong

Rublev in 2 sets




WTA Brisbane

Sabalenka 1.63 v Rybakina

Due to start at 4 am


Sabalenka 5-2. Most recent Nov 2023, hard, Sabalenka in 3. Rybakina won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. That was the only time their matches ended in 2 sets. Hard win %'s are close but favour Sabalenka.
Easy wins for Sabalenka in every round. She beat Azarenka in the semis. She reached the q finals in Beijing and the final in the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Final in Indian Wells. Title at the Aus Open. Title in Adelaide.
Rybakina had a straight sets win in the first 2 rounds and came through the q final when Potapova retired after the 1st set. In the semis she beat Noskova in 2 sets. She reached the semis in Beijing, 3rd round at the US Open. Semis in Montreal and final in Miami. Final at the Aus Open.
Stats for the tournament favour Rybakina. 12 month stats are really close on serve. Slight edge to Rybakina. Return stats are better for Sabalenka and predicted holds favour Sabalenka. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Sabalenka around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



ATP Brisbane

Rune 1.89 v Dimitrov

Due to start at 6:30 am


H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Dimitrov in 2. Rune won on grass in 2023, 4 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Dimitrov.
Rune needed 3 sets in the first 2 rounds. He beat Duckworth in 2 sets in the q final. Straight sets win over Safiullin in the semis. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Acapulco. 4th round of the Aus Open.
Dimitrov beat Murray in 3 sets. Easy wins over Altmaier and Hijikata. He beat Thompson in 2 in the semi final. Semis in Shanghai. Q finals in Beijing. Semis in Chengdu, 3rd round at the US Open and semis in Washington.
Stats for the tournament are a little better for Dimitrov overall. 12 month stats favour Dimitrov. 3 month stats are pretty even. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Dimitrov around 1.55 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.




6th January


Predictions:


WTA Brisbane

Rybakina in 2 sets

Sabalenka in 2 sets


WTA Auckland

Gauff in 2 sets

Svitolina in 3 sets


ATP Brisbane

Rune in 3 sets

Dimitrov in 3 sets


ATP Hong Kong

Ruusuvuori in 3 sets

Rublev in 2 sets



WTA Auckland

Wang v Svitolina 1.32

Due to start at 3:30 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Svitolina.
Wang needed a 3rd set tie break to beat Cristian. She beat Xinyu Wang in another 3rd set tie break as underdog in the 2nd round. In the q final she beat Parry in 3 close sets. Title in Guangzhou. 2nd round of the US Open.
Svitolina beat Wozniacki in 2 sets. She struggled to find consistency in the 2nd round against Raducanu but after levelling the match at 1 set all she was much the stronger player in the 3rd set. In the q final she easily beat Bouzkova in 2 sets. She reached the 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Washington.
12 month hard stats are better for Svitolina. She was impressive in the last round.
Back Svitolina above 1.90.



ATP Hong Kong

Ofner v Ruusuvuori 1.63

Due to start at 6:30 am


Ruusuvuori 1-0 (Sep 2019, indoor, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Ofner easily beat McDonald. In the 2nd round he beat Struff in a 3rd set tie break as underdog. In the q final he beat Bautista Agut in 2 sets. 2nd round at the US Open. He reached 2 more ATP 2nd rounds.
Ruusuvuori beat Bonzi and Khachanov in 3 sets. He beat Kotov in 2 close sets in the q final. 3rd round in Cinci and Washington. Q finals in Miami. 3rd round in Indian Wells.
12 month hard stats are better for Ruusuvuori. 3 month stats also favour him overall. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Ruusuvuori around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liab at 1.60.



5th January



WTA Brisbane

Ostapenko v Azarenka 1.94

Due to start at 1 am


Azarenka 2-0. Most recent Oct 2021, hard, 3 sets. She won on clay in 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Ostapenko beat Giorgi in 2 sets and Pliskova in 3. She reached the q finals in Beijing. Q finals at the US Open. 4th round in Miami and 3rd round in Dubai. Q finals at the Aus Open.
Azarenka beat Kalinskaya and Burel in 2 sets. She reached the q finals in Guadalajara, 3rd round in Dubai and semis at the Aus Open. Q finals in Adelaide1.
12 month hard stats are better for Azarenka. 3 month stats also favour her. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Ostapenko around 1.60 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.




WTA Auckland

Bouzkova v Svitolina 1.86

Due to start at 5:30 am


Svitolina 2-1. Most recent Feb 2021, hard, Svitolina in 2. She won on hard in 2020, 3 sets. Bouzkova won on hard I 2019 when Svitolina retired. Hard win %'s are better for Svitolina in the last year.
Bouzkova needed 3 sets against Frech in the 1st round but beat Anisimova in 2. Final in Nanchang in Oct. Q finals in Seoul. 3rd round at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Svitolina beat Wozniacki in 2 sets. She struggled to find consistency in the 2nd round against Raducanu but after levelling the match at 1 set all she was much the stronger player in the 3rd set. She reached the 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Washington.
12 month hard stats are better for Svitolina on serve. 3 month stats favour Bouzkova. I give Svitolina a slight edge to win in 3.
Lay Bouzkova around 1.65 and remove liab at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.




4th January



WTA Auckland

Yuan v Martic 1.66

Due to start at 11 pm (Wed)


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Yuan.
Yuan beat Day in 3 sets in the 1st round. She plays mostly ITF's. She reached the final in Seoul in Oct. Challenger semi in Aug.
Martic beat Masarova in 3 sets in the 1st round. She had a good record in her first matches in tournaments in 2023 but did not win 2 hard court matches in a week. 2nd round of the US Open and Aus Open.
12 month hard stats are better for Martic on serve. 3 month stats favour Yuan.
Back Martic around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.




WTA Brisbane

Kudermetova 1.45 v Potapova

Due to start at 6:30 am


Kudermetova 3-1. Most recent May 2023, clay, Kudermetova in 3 sets. She won on hard in 2022, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Kudermetova.
Kudermetova beat Schmiedlova in 2 sets. She won the title in Tokyo in Sep. Her form after that was poor. Semis in Doha in Feb. Semis and q final in Adelaide2 and Adelaide1.
Potapova beat Saville in 3 sets in the 1st round. She reached the q finals in San Diego and Miami. 2nd round of the Aus Open.
12 month hard stats are better for Kudermetova. She also has the better recent results despite ending last season poorly.
Back Kudermetova above 1.90.




3rd January



WTA Brisbane

Saville v Potapova 1.53

Due to start at 1 pm


Potapova 1-0 (Apr 2022, clay, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Saville.
Saville beat Yastremska in 2 sets as underdog in the 1st round. 2nd round of the US Open. Challenger q final in Aug.
Potapova reached the q finals in San Diego and Miami. 2nd round of the Aus Open.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Saville. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Potapova around 2.20 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Brisbane

Mertens 1.70 v Stephens

Due to start at 7 am


Stephens 2-1. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Stephens in 2. She won on hard in 2018, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Mertens.
Mertens won the title in Monastir. Q finals in Hong Kong. 3rd round at the US Open. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Monterrey. 3rd round at the Aus Open.
Stephens beat Siniakova as slight underdog in the 1st round. 3rd rounds in Cinci and Montreal. Q finals in Austin and Merida.
12 month hard stats favour Mertens. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Mertens around 1.45 and remove liab at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.




2nd January



WTA Auckland

Yuan 1.63 v Day

Due to start at 3:30 am


Yuan 1-0 (Oct 2022, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are close but favour Yuan.
Yuan plays mostly ITF's. She reached the final in Seoul in Oct. Challenger semi in Aug.
Day also plays mostly ITF's.
12 month hard stats on all tours are better for Day on serve. 3 month stats also favour her on serve. Yuan has better WTA stats in recent months.
Back Yuan around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liab at 1.60.



WTA Brisbane

Riera v Tomova 1.68

Due to start at 6:30 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s in the last year are better for Tomova.
Riera has come through the qual rounds. She was underdog in both qual rounds. She plays mostly ITF's.
Tomova won a Challenger title in Aug. Most of her WTA wins were in qual rounds.
12 month WTA stats are better for Riera on serve. Stats on all tours also favour her on serve. Tomova has a better ROI on hard. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Tomova around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65. Back Tomova if she loses set 1.




1st January



WTA Auckland

Parry v Bektas 1.70

Due to start at 2 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Bektas.
Parry has won 1 of her last 10 on hard. She reached the semis of an ITF in March.
Bektas won a Challenger title in Oct. Semis in Seoul in Oct. Her matches before July were mostly ITF's.
12 month hard stats on all tours are better for Bektas.
Back Bektas around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65.



WTA Auckland

Anisimova v Pavlyuchenkova 1.44

Due to start at 4 am


Anisimova 1-0 (Mar 2018, hard, 2 sets), hard win %'s in the last year are better for Pavlyuchenkova.
Anisimova reached 2nd rounds in Adelaide1 and Dubai.
Pavlyuchenkova reached the q finals in Hong Kong and semis in Tokyo. 2nd round of the US Open.
Back Pavlyuchenkova around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liab at 1.50.



31st December


Here we go for the new season!

I would advise being careful in the first week of the season, and especially the first round, as some players have not played for 2 months. Also most of the top players will have one eye on the Australian Open later this month. They use the first week as a warm up event. 



WTA Brisbane

Schmiedlova v Dolehide 1.57

Due to start at 2:30 am


Dolehide 1-0 (Mar 2023, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Dolehide.
Schmiedlova reached the 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Prague in Aug. 2nd round of the Aus Open as qualifier.
Dolehide reached the final in Guadalajara in Sep. Q finals in Monterrey.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Dolehide.
Back Dolehide around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65



WTA Brisbane

Bogdan v Kostyuk 1.53

Due to start at 4 am


1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kostyuk.
Bogdan reached the 3rd round in Dubai as qualifier in Feb.
Kostyuk reached the 3rd round in Beijing in Oct. Q finals in Washington and she won the title in Austin in March. Q finals in Adelaide and Hua Hin and she reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open.
12 month hard stats are better for Kostyuk.
Back Kostyuk around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liab at 1.65