2025 Trade Archive
8th June
Prediction:
ATP French Open Final
Sinner in 5 sets
ATP French Open
Sinner 1.97 v Alcaraz
Due to start at 2 pm
Alcaraz 8-4. Most recent May 2025, clay, Alcaraz in 2. He won on hard in Oct 2024, 3rd set tie break. 5 sets win on clay at last year's French Open. He won their last 4 matches. Sinner won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. He won on hard in March 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are pretty even.
Sinner reached the semis last year. Straight sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Gasquet in the 2nd round. Very easy win over Lehecka in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rublev in the 4th round. Straight sets win over Bublik in the q final. Straight sets win over Djokovic in the semis final. Final in Rome.
Alcaraz won the title last season. 3 sets win over Zeppieri in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Marozsan in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Dzumhur in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Shelton in the 4th round. Easy win over Paul in the q final. He came through the semi final when Musetti retired in set 4. Title in Rome. Final in Barcelona. Title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics.
ATP stats in 2025 are stronger for Sinner. Both players have lost just once on clay this season.
Their match last month was in Sinner's first tournament after his suspension. Sinner has not lost a set so far. Alcaraz had 2 straight sets wins. He was perhaps a little fortunate that Musetti was injured in the semi final.
Lay Alcaraz around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner. This will be a long match. Slight edge to Sinner.
WTA Challenger, Bari
Bondar v Todoni 1.79
Due to start at 6:30 pm
1st meeting. Long term clay win %'s are even. Todoni leads in 2025.
Bondar had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 close sets win as strong favourite in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Teichmann as slight favourite in the q final. Straight sets win over Deichmann in the semi final. CH q final in May. CH q final in April. CH title in Aug. Q final in Iasi.
Todoni won the title last season. This year she has straight sets wins in the 1st and 2nd rounds. 2 sets win over Shymanovich as favourite in the q final. 2 sets win over Parrizas Diaz in the semi final. CH title in March. CH title in Nov.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Bondar. 12 month CH stats are stronger for Todoni. Stats for the tournament favour Todoni on serve.
Lay Bondar around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
7th June
Prediction:
WTA French Open Final
Sabalenka in 3 sets
WTA French Open
Sabalenka 1.45 v Gauff
Due to start at 2 pm
H2H 5-5. Most recent May 2025, clay, Sabalenka in 2. Gauff won indoors in Nov 2024, 2 sets. Gauff won their other clay meeting in May 2021, 2 sets. Sabalenka won 3 of their last 4 matches in the last 2 seasons. Clay win %'s are a little better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the q finals last year. Easy win in the 1st round. Easy win over Teichmann in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Anisimova in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Zheng in the q final. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the semi final. Q finals in Rome. Title in Madrid. Final in Stuttgart.
Gauff reached the semis last season. Easy win over Gadecki in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round though she was broken 5 times. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Keys in the q final. Easy win over Boisson in the semis. Final in Rome. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Sabalenka.
Back Sabalenka around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. 8 of their 9 sets in the last 2 season were very close. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Challenger Makarska
Joint 1.61 v Bejlek
Due to start at 5 pm
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are even. Joint leads in 2025.
Joint reached the q finals last year. 2 sets win over Konjuh in the 1st round. Easy win over Chirico in the 2nd round. Title in Rabat. 2nd round in Madrid as qualifier.
Bejlek had a 3 sets win over Gormaz in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Martic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sherif in the q final as slight favourite. She reached the 2nd round of the French Open as qualifier. 2 CH semis in Nov.
12 month CH stats are better for Bejlek. 12 month WTA stats favour Joint on serve. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Joint around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
6th June
Predictions:
ATP French Open Semi Finals
Alcaraz in 4 sets
Sinner in 4 sets (5 wouldn't be a shock)
ATP French Open
Musetti v Alcaraz 1.16
Due to start at 1:30 pm
Alcaraz 6-1. Most recent May 2025, clay, Alcaraz in 2. he won on clay in Apr 2025, 3 sets. He won on clay at the French Open in 2023, straight sets. Musetti's win was on clay in 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Hanfmann in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Galan in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Navone in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Rune in the 4th round. 4 sets win over Tiafoe in the q final. Semis in Rome. Semis in Madrid. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag.
Alcaraz won the title last season. 3 sets win over Zeppieri in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Marozsan in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Dzumhur in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Shelton in the 4th round. Easy win over Paul in the q final. Title in Rome. Final in Barcelona. Title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics.
12 month stats favour Alcaraz. In 2015, stats also favour him overall but Musetti has had a great clay season and can be competitive today.
Lay Alcaraz and remove liability at 1.30. Lay set 1 winner. 4 sets.
ATP French Open
Sinner 1.28 v Djokovic
Due to start at 6 pm
Djokovic 5-4. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Sinner in 2. He won 5 of their last 5 matches. Their only match on clay was in April 2021, Djokovic in 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Djokovic in the last 12 months. Sinner leads in 2025.
Sinner reached the semis last year. Straight sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Gasquet in the 2nd round. Very easy win over Lehecka in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rublev in the 4th round. Straight sets win over Bublik in the q final. Final in Rome.
Djokovic withdrew from the q final last season. 3 sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Moutet in the 2nd round. Easy win over Misolic in the 3rd round. Easy win over Norrie in the 4th round. 4 sets win over Zverev in the q final. Title in Geneva. Gold at the Olympics.
ATP stats in 2025 are stronger for Sinner. 4 sets seems most likely but 5 wouldn't be a huge shock the way Djokovic is playing.
5th June
Predictions:
WTA French Open Semi Finals
Sabalenka in 3 sets
Gauff in 2 sets.
WTA French Open
Sabalenka 1.85 v Swiatek
Due to start at 2 pm
Swiatek 8-4. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Sabalenka in 2. Swiatek won on clay twice in May 2024, 2 sets and a 3rd set tie break. Swiatek won 5 of their 6 clay meetings. Clay win %'s are a little better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the q finals last year. Easy win in the 1st round. Easy win over Teichmann in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Anisimova in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Zheng in the q final. Q finals in Rome. Title in Madrid. Final in Stuttgart.
Swiatek won the title last season. Easy win Over Sramkova in the 1st round. Easy win over Raducanu in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Cristian in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rybakina in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Svitolina in the q final. Semis in Madrid. Bronze at the Olympics.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Swiatek. Predicted holds also favour her. 2025 stats favour Sabalenka and 2025 predicted holds favour her.
Good chance of 3 sets. Stats for the tournament are quite even on serve and strongly favour Sabalenka on return.
Lay Swiatek around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA French Open
Boisson v Gauff 1.22
Due to start at 3:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are fairly even.
Boisson beat Mertens in 3 sets as huge underdog in the 1st round. Easy win over Kalinina in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Jacquemot in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Pegula as huge underdog in the 4th round. 2 sets win as huge underdog over Andreeva in the q final. She reached the 2nd round in Rouen. ITF title and final in 2025.
Gauff reached the semis last season. Easy win over Gadecki in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round though she was broken 5 times. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Keys in the q final. Final in Rome. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics.
12 month WTA stats favour Boisson on serve and favour Gauff on return. 5 of Boisson's matches were in this tournament.
The crowd gave Boisson a lot of help in the last round and Andreeva let them get to her and did not serve well.
Both Gauff and Keys struggled on serve in the last round. Gauff hit 10 d faults. There were 14 breaks of serve (Keys broken 9 times)
The crowd will again try to rattle Boisson's opponent. Gauff has been around the block a few more times than Andreeva and will be more able to cope with that. Gauff's issues on serve were also present in Rome at times, but she still made the final.
Back Gauff around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Gauff if she loses set 1.
4th June
WTA French Open
Keys v Gauff 1.50
Due to start at 10 am
Keys 3-2. Most recent Apr 2024, clay, Keys in 3. She won on grass in June 2023, 2 sets. Gauff won on hard in Feb 2023, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2022, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are a little better for Gauff.
Keys reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Saville in the 1st round. Easy win over Boulter in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Kenin in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Baptiste in the 4th round. Q finals in Madrid.
Gauff reached the semis last season. Easy win over Gadecki in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round though she was broken 5 times. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova in the 4th round. Final in Rome. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Keys on serve and strongly favour Gauff on return. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Gauff around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP French Open
Zverev 1.98 v Djokovic
Due to start at 7:15 pm
Djokovic 9-5. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Djokovic retired. Djokovic won on hard in Aug 2023, 2 sets. Zverev won indoors in Nov 2021, 3 sets. Djokovic won both their last 2 clay matches in 2020 and 2019. Zverev won on clay in 2017, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Djokovic.
Zverev reached the final last year. 3 sets win over Tien in the 1st round. 4 sets win over De Jong in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Cobolli. In the 4th round, Griekspoor retired in set 2. Q finals in Rome. 4th round in Madrid. Title in Munich. Q finals in Rio. Q finals of the Olympics. Final in Hamburg.
Djokovic withdrew from the q final last season. 3 sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Moutet in the 2nd round. Easy win over Misolic in the 3rd round. Easy win over Norrie in the 4th round. Title in Geneva. Gold at the Olympics.
12 month stats are stronger for Djokovic. 2025 stats favour him on serve and favour Zverev on return.
Lay Zverev around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner. 4 or 5 sets.
3rd June
WTA French Open
Sabalenka 1.37 v Zheng
Due to start at 10 am
Sabalenka 6-1. Most recent May 2025, clay, Zheng in 2. Sabalenka won on hard in March 2025, 2 sets. 2025 win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the q finals last year. Easy win in the 1st round. Easy win over Teichmann in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Anisimova in the 4th round. Q finals in Rome. Title in Madrid. Final in Stuttgart.
Zheng reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Pavlyuchenkova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Arango in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Mboko in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Samsonova in the 4th round. Semis in Rome. Q finals in Charleston. Gold at the Olympics. Title in Palermo.
12 month and 2025 stats favour Sabalenka on serve and favour Zheng on return.
Back Sabalenka around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50. Chance of 3 sets.
ATP French Open
Musetti 1.24 v Tiafoe
Du7e to start at 1 pm
Tiafoe 4-3. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Tiafoe in 2. He won on grass in June 2023, 3 sets. Musetti won on clay in May 2023, 3 sets. They had 1 win each on clay in 2020. Clay win %'s are better for Musetti.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Hanfmann in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Galan in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Navone in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Rune in the 4th round. Semis in Rome. Semis in Madrid. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag.
Tiafoe reached the 2nd round last year. Straight sets win over Safiullin in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Carreno Busta in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Korda in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Altmaier in the 4th round. 4th round in Madrid. Final in Houston.
12 month stats are a little better for Tiafoe on serve and favour Musetti on return. 2025 stats are stronger for Musetti overall.
Lay Tiafoe around 1.15 to 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Lay set 1 winner. 4 sets.
2nd June
WTA French Open
Alexandrova v Gauff 1.39
Due to start at 10 am
Gauff 3-1. Most recent June 2024, grass, Gauff in 2. She won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. Alexandrova won on grass in 2023, 2 sets. Gauff won on hard in March 2021, 3rd set tie break. Clay win %'s are a little better for Alexandrova.
Alexandrova lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win in the 1st round over Bronzetti. Easy win over Cocciaretto in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kudermetova in the 3rd round. 4th round in Madrid. Semis in Stuttgart. Semis in Charleston.
Gauff reached the semis last season. Easy win over Gadecki in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Valentova in the 2nd round though she was broken 5 times. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 3rd round. Final in Rome. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Alexandrova on serve. Slight edge for Gauff on return. Alexandrova has the better ROI, though you'd expect that with Gauff starting most matches as very short priced favourite. Stats for the tournament also favour Alexandrova on serve.
Lay Gauff around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Lay set 1 winner. Some value on Alexandrova as this really should be close.
ATP French Open
Zverev 1.16 v Griekspoor
Due to start at 11:30 am
Zverev 7-2. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, Zverev in 3. Griekspoor won on hard in March 2025, 3rd set tie break. Zverev won at last year's French Open in a 5th set tie break. Clay win %'s are better for Zverev.
Zverev reached the final last year. 3 sets win over Tien in the 1st round. 4 sets win over De Jong in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Cobolli. Q finals in Rome. 4th round in Madrid. Title in Munich. Q finals in Rio. Q finals of the Olympics. Final in Hamburg.
Griekspoor reached the 3rd round last season. 4 sets win over Giron in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Diallo in the 2nd round. He needed 5 sets against Quinn in the 3rd round. 2nd rounds in Rome and Madrid. Q finals in Munich. Final in Marrakech.
12 month and 2025 serve stats are close but slightly favour Griekspoor. Return stats strongly favour Zverev.
Lay Zverev and remove liability at 1.30. Lay set 1 winner. 4 sets.
1st June
WTA French Open
Paolini 1.85 v Svitolina
Due to start at 10 am
Svitolina 1-0 (Jan 2025, hard, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are even.
Paolini reached the final last year. She needed 3 sets against out of form Yuan in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Tomljanovic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win in the 3rd round. Title in Rome. 3rd round in Madrid. Semis in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the Olympics.
Svitolina reached the 4th round last season. Easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bondar in the 2nd round. 2 tie break win over Pera in the 3rd round. Q finals in Rome. Semis in Madrid. Title in Rouen. 3rd round of the Olympics.
12 month and 2025 stats favour Paolini overall. Good chance of 3 sets. Paolini has the better ROI.
Lay Svitolina around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP French Open
Tiafoe 1.52 v Altmaier
Due to start at 3 pm
Tiafoe 2-0. Most recent May 2023, clay, 3 sets. 4 sets win on hard in Jan 2023. Clay win %'s are even.
Tiafoe reached the 2nd round last year. Straight sets win over Safiullin in the 1st round. Straight sets win over Carreno Busta in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Korda in the 3rd round. 4th round in Madrid. Final in Houston.
Altmaier reached the 2nd round last year. 4 sets win over Fritz as huge underdog in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Kopriva in the 2nd round as favourite. 4 sets win over Medjedovic as underdog in the 3rd round. CH semi in May. 3rd round in Monte Carlo. CH final in Sep. CH final in June.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Tiafoe.
Back Tiafoe around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.55. 4 sets.
31st May
WTA French Open
Vondrousova v Pegula 1.58
Due to start at 11 am
Vondrousova 1-0 (July 2023, grass, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are a little better for Vondrousova.
Vondrousova reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win in the 1st round as favourite. She needed 3 sets against Frech in the 2nd round.
Pegula had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 tight sets win over Li in the 2nd round. She won the title in Charleston. 2nd round at the Olympics. She has been poor on the red clay courts this season.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Pegula on serve and Vondrousova on return. Chance of 3 sets. Vondrousova has the better ROI in the last year.
Lay Pegula around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA French Open
Keys 1.42 v Kenin
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Keys 4-1. Most recent Jan 2022, hard, Keys in 2. She won on clay in June 2020, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Keys reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Saville in the 1st round. Easy win over Boulter in the 2nd round. Q finals in Madrid.
Kenin reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Gracheva in the 1st round. 2 tight sets win over Azarenka in the 2nd round. Final in Charleston.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Keys on serve. Return stats are even. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Keys around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
30th May
WTA French Open
Yastremska v Samsonova 1.68
Due to start at 11:30 am
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are a little better for Samsonova.
Yastremska reached the 3rd round last year. 2 sets win in the 1st round. She beat Shnaider in 2 sets in the 2nd round as underdog. 2nd round in Madrid. 2nd round at the Olympics.
Samsonova reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Sherif in the 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. Final in Strasbourg.
12 month and 2025 stats favour Samsonova on serve. She has the better ROI.
Back Samsonova around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Chance of 3 sets.
ATP French Open
Shelton 1.64 v Gigante
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Gigante.
Shelton reached the 3rd round last year. 5 sets win over Sonego in the 1st round. Walkover in the 2nd round. Final in Munich.
Gigante lost in the qual rounds last season. This year he made it through qualifying. Easy win over Hassan in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Tsitsipas in the 2nd round as huge underdog. 2nd round in Rome. CH title in April.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Gigante. 4 or 5 sets.
Lay Shelton around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.
29th May
WTA French Open
Montgomery v Maneiro 1.47
Due to start at 11:30 am
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Maneiro.
Montgomery lost in the qual rounds last season. surprisingly easy win in the 1st round over Parry as underdog. 2nd round in Charleston. 2 CH 2nd rounds in Nov.
Maneiro lost in the 1st round last year. She lost just 1 game as underdog against a terrible Navarro in the 1st round. Q final in Rabat. Q final in Rouen. CH semi in June.
12 month stats favour Montgomery on serve. recent performances are better for Maneiro.
Back Maneiro around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
WTA French Open
Azarenka v Kenin 1.54
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Azarenka 2-1. Most recent Jan 2023, hard, Azarenka in 2. She won on clay in 2020, 2 sets. Kenin won on hard in 2019, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Kenin.
Azarenka reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win over Wickmayer in the 1st round. 2nd round in Rome. She already retired once in 2025.
Kenin reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Gracheva in the 1st round. Final in Charleston.
12 month and 2025 WTA stats are stronger for Kenin on serve.
Back Kenin around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.
28th May
WTA French Open
Collins 1.75 v Danilovic
Due to start at 1:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent May 2024, clay, Danilovic in 3. Collins won on clay in Apr 2024, 3rd set tie break. Clay win %'s are better for Danilovic.
Collins reached the 2nd round last year. 2 tight sets win over Burrage in the 1st round. Semis in Strasbourg. 4th round in Rome. Q finals in Charleston. Q finals of the Olympics.
Danilovic reached the 4th round as qualifier last year. Easy win over Fernandez in the 1st round. Final in Rouen. CH title in March. CH semis in Sep and Aug. Semis in Iasi.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Collins on serve. Return stats are quite even. 2025 stats favour Collins.
Chance of 3 sets. Back Collins around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP French Open
Tiafoe 1.59 v Carreno Busta
Due to start at 3 pm
Tiafoe 1-0 (May 2018, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Tiafoe.
Tiafoe reached the 2nd round last year. Straight sets win over Safiullin in the 1st round. 4th round in Madrid. Final in Houston.
Carreno Busta lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win as underdog in the 1st round. 2 CH q finals in the last 12 months.
12 month stats are stronger for Tiafoe. 4 sets.
Back Tiafoe around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
27th May
ATP French Open
Muller v Mensik 1.42
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Mensik 1-0 (Oct 2024, indoors, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Mensik.
Muller reached the 2nd round last year. Q final in Hamburg. 2nd round in Rome. 3rd round in Madrid. Final in Rio. CH title in Aug.
Mensik reached the 4th round in Rome. Q finals in Madrid. Semis in Umag.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Mensik. 4 sets.
Back Mensik around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Back him if he loses set 1.
WTA French Open
Carle v Li 1.89
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Li.
Carle lost in the 1st round last year. This year she has come through the qual rounds. 2nd round in Madrid. 3 CH semis in Dec and Nov. 2nd rounds at the Olympics and Palermo.
Li lost in the qual round last season. Q finals in Rabat. 3rd round in Madrid. Q finals in Palermo. CH final in July. CH title in June.
12 month WTA stats are better for Li on serve and strongly favour Carle on return. Stats in 2025 favour Carle overall.
Li was terrible in her q final in Rabat.
Lay Li around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Chance of 3 sets.
26th May
WTA French Open
Osaka 1.81 v Badosa
Due to start at 12:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Osaka.
Osaka lost to Swiatek in the 2nd round last year. 4th round un Rome. CH title in May.
Badosa reached the 3rd round last season.
Badosa has only played 2 clay matches since the French Open in 2024.
Osaka has shown decent form this month.
This should be a close match.
Back Osaka around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA French Open
Jeanjean v Begu 1.52
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Begu 1-0 (May 2022, clay, 2 sets). 12 month clay win %'s are a little better for Begu. Jeanjean leads in 2025.
Jeanjean lost in the 1st round as qualifier to Swiatek last year. CH semi in May. Q finals in Bogota. CH semi in Dec.
Begu reached the 3rd round last season. CH semi in May. CH title in Nov. CH title in Sep. Semis in Palermo.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Begu on serve.
Back Begu around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
25th May
ATP French Open
Kopriva 1.43 v Monteiro
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Kopriva.
Kopriva lost in the qual rounds last year. 3rd round in Rome as qualifier. Q finals in Marrakech. CH title in March. CH title in Nov. CH title in Sep.
Monteiro lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. 2 CH finals in March. 2nd rounds in Rio and Santiago. Q finals in Bastad.
12 month and 2025 ATP stats favour Monteiro on serve and strongly favour Kopriva on return. Recent performances are better for Kopriva.
Back Kopriva around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55. Back him if he loses set 1. 4 sets.
WTA French Open
Danilovic 1.76 v Fernandez
Due to start at 4 pm
Fernandez 1-0 (Apr 2021, indoors, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Danilovic.
Danilovic reached the 4th round as qualifier last year. Final in Rouen. CH title in March. CH semis in Sep and Aug. Semis in Iasi.
Fernandez reached the 3rd round last season. 3rd round at the Olympics.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Danilovic on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Danilovic around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
24th May
Predictions:
ATP Geneva
Djokovic in 3 sets
ATP Hamburg
Rublev in 2 sets
WTA Strasbourg
Rybakina in 3 sets
WTA Rabat
Joint in 3 sets
**All 4 finals will be played at the same time
WTA Rabat
Joint 1.75 v Cristian
Due to start at 1 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Joint.
Joint had a tight opening set with Konjuh in the 1st round but won in 2 sets. Easy win over Volynets in the 2nd round. Easy win over Li in the q final. In the semi final, Tomljanovic retired after set 1. She reached the 2nd round in Madrid as qualifier. CH q final in June. Most of her clay matches before that were in ITF's.
Cristian had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 tie breaks win over Bolsova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sevastova in the q final. 3 sets win over Osorio as underdog in the semi final. She reached the 3rd round in Rome. Q finals in Iasi. Q finals in Palermo.
12 month and 2025 stats favour Joint overall. Stats for the tournament also favour Joint. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Joint around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Geneva
Hurkacz v Djokovic 1.35
Due to start at 2 pm
Djokovic 7-0. Most recent Nov 2023, indoors, 3 sets. 4 sets win on grass in July 2023. He won both their clay matches in straight sets. Clay win %'s are better for Djokovic.
Hurkacz had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Rinderknech in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over fritz as underdog in the q final. Straight sets win over Ofner in the semi final. He reached the q finals in Rome. 4th round of the French Open.
Djokovic reached the semis last season. Comfortable win over Fucsovics in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Arnaldi in the q final. 3 sets win over Norrie in the semis. Gold at the Olympics. Q final of the French Open.
12 month and 2025 ATP stats favour Hurkacz on serve. 12 month stats strongly favour Djokovic on return. Return stats in 2025 still favour him but they are much more even.
If the current version of Cameron Norrie can take a set from Djokovic, Hurkacz also has a great chance of doing the same.
Lay Djokovic around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Decent chance of 3 sets.
23rd May
ATP Geneva
Hurkacz 1.45 v Ofner
Due to start at 1 pm
Hurkacz 1-0 (May 2016, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Hurkacz.
Hurkacz had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Rinderknech in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over fritz as underdog in the q final. He reached the q finals in Rome. 4th round of the French Open.
Ofner reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. This year, he again came through the qual rounds. Easy win over Gakhov in the 1st round. 2 tie breaks win over Borges in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Khachanov in the q final as underdog. 3rd round in Rome. 2nd round in Madrid. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Hurkacz. 2025 stats favour Ofner.
Stats for the tournament are stronger for Hurkacz on serve.
Back Hurkacz around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Strasbourg
Collins 1.61 v Samsonova
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Samsonova 1-0 (July 2023, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Collins.
Collins reached the final last year. 3 sets win over Kenin in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Raducanu in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final. 4th round in Rome. Q finals in Charleston. Q finals at the Olympics.
Samsonova reached the semis last season. 2 sets win over Noskova in the 1st round as underdog. 2 sets win over Parry in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Samsonova as slight underdog in the q final. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Collins. 2025 stats are even on serve and favour Collins on return.
Back Collins around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.
22nd May
WTA Strasbourg
Kalinskaya v Collins 1.55
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Collins 2-0. Most recent March 2023, hard, 3 sets. She won on hard in Jan 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Collins.
Kalinskaya lost in the 1st round last year. She needed 3 sets against Dolehide in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Pegula as huge underdog in the 2nd round. Q finals in Charleston. 2nd round of the French Open.
Collins reached the final last year. 3 sets win over Kenin in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Raducanu in the 2nd round. 4th round in Rome. Q finals in Charleston. Q finals at the Olympics.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Collins.
Back Collins around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Geneva
Popyrin 1.86 v Norrie
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Norrie 1-0 (July 2019, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Norrie.
Popyrin had a 3 sets win over Jarry in the 1st round as slight favourite. 2 sets win over Fearnley in the 2nd round as slight favourite. He reached the q finals in Monte Carlo. 3rd round at the Olympics.
Norrie has come through the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Stricker in the 1st round. In the 2nd round, Machac retired in set 3. 2nd round in Rome as lucky loser. 3rd round in Madrid.
12 month and 2025 ATP stats are stronger for Norrie.
Lay Popyrin around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.10. Chance of 3 sets.
21st May
ATP Hamburg
Fokina 1.52 v Cobolli
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Cobolli 2-1. Most recent Oct 2024, indoors, Cobolli in 2. He won on hard in Aug 2024, 3rd set tie break. Fokina won on clay in 2021 when Cobolli retired. Clay win %'s are a little better for Fokina.
Fokina had a 2 sets win over Monfils. He reached the 3rd round in Madrid. Q finals in Barcelona. Semis in Monte Carlo.
Cobolli reached the 2nd round last season. 3rd round in Madrid. Title in Bucharest. Semis in Geneva in 2024.
12 month ATP stats favour Fokina overall. 2025 stats also favour him.
Back Fokina around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.55.
WTA Strasbourg
Pegula 1.41 v Kalinskaya
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Pegula 3-0. Most recent March 2025, hard, 3rd set tie break. She won on grass in June 2024, 3rd set tie break. 3 sets win on hard in 2019. Clay win %'s are better for Pegula.
Pegula reached 3rd rounds in Rome and Madrid and q finals in Stuttgart with BYE's in the 1st rounds. Title in Charleston.
Kalinskaya lost in the 1st round last year. She needed 3 sets against Dolehide in the 1st round. Q finals in Charleston. 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month and 2025 stats favour Kalinskaya on serve and strongly favour Pegula on return.
Back Pegula around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
20th May
ATP Hamburg
Baez 1.67 v Carabelli
Due to start at 1 pm
Baez 6-2. All their matches were on clay. Baez won their last 6 meetings. The last 2, both in 2025 went to 3 sets. Clay win %'s are a little better for Carabelli.
Baez reached the semis last year. Final in Bucharest in April. Final in Santiago. Title in Rio. 3rd round of the Olympics.
Carabelli reached the 2nd round in Rome. Semis in Santiago. Semis in Rio. CH title in Feb. CH title in Oct.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Baez. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Baez around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Strasbourg
Parry v Samsonova 1.56
Due to start at 4:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are fairly even.
Wild card Parry lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Fernandez as underdog in the 1st round. 2nd round in Madrid. Semis in Palermo. 2nd round of the French Open.
Samsonova reached the semis last season. 2 sets win over Noskova in the 1st round as underdog. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Samsonova. 2025 stats are stronger for Parry. Parry has the better ROI in 2025. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Samsonova around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
19th May
WTA Rabat
Cocciaretto v Osorio 1.80
Due to start at 2 pm
Cocciaretto 2-0. Most recent July 2023, grass, 2 sets. She won on hard in Oct 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Osorio.
Cocciaretto reached the q final last year. 2nd rounds in Rome and Madrid. 4th round of the French Open.
Osorio reached the 2nd round last season. Title in Bogota. 3rd round at the Olympics.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Osorio overall. 2025 stats also favour her.
Back Osorio around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Geneva
Norrie 1.34 v Stricker
Due to start at 5 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are a little better for Stricker.
Norrie has come through the qual rounds. 2nd round in Rome as lucky loser. 3rd round in Madrid.
Stricker reached a CH semi in May. He reached an ITF final in April.
Back Norrie around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
18th May
Prediction:
ATP Rome Masters Final
Stats slightly favour Sinner
Alcaraz won their last 3 matches and leads 2-1 on clay
All 3 of their clay matches went to a deciding set
Some value on Alcaraz
Alcaraz in 3 sets
ATP Geneva
Popyrin in 3 sets
Borges in 3 sets
ATP Hamburg
Darderi in 2 sets
Cerundolo in 2 sets
ATP Geneva
Borges 1.75 v Michelsen
Due to start at 12:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2024, grass, Michelsen in 2 sets. Borges won on hard in Jan 2024, 3 sets. Clay win %'s favour Michelsen.
Borges reached the 3rd round in Monte Carlo. Q finals in Marrakech. Title in Bastad.
Michelsen reached the q final last season. Q finals in Houston.
12 month ATP stats are better for Borges on serve. Stats in 2025 also favour him on serve.
Back Borges around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Rome Final
Sinner 1.72 v Alcaraz
Due to start at 4 pm
Alcaraz 7-4. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Alcaraz in 3rd set tie break. He won on clay in June 2024, 5 sets. He won on hard in March 2024, 3 sets. Sinner won on hard twice in 2023, 2 and 3 sets. Alcaraz leads 2-1 on clay. All their clay matches went to a deciding set. Clay win %'s are even.
Sinner had a 2 sets win over Navone in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over De Jong in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Cerundolo in the 4th round. He lost just 1 game to Ruud in the q final. 3 sets win over Paul in the semi final. He reached the semis at the French Open.
Alcaraz beat Lajovic in 2 sets in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Djere in the 3rd round. He needed 3 sets against Khachanov in the 4th rounds. 2 sets win over Draper in the q final. 2 sets win over Musetti in the semi final. He reached the final in Barcelona. Title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics. Title of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Sinner on serve. They are even on return.
Very good chance of 3 sets. Some value on Alcaraz.
Lay Sinner around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
17th May
Prediction:
WTA Rome Final
Gauff in 3 sets
Bordeaux Challenger
Perricard 1.73 v Hijikata
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Perricard.
Perricard reached the q final last season. 2 tight sets win over Shevchenko in the q final. Title in Lyon.
Hijikata lost in the 1st round last season. 3 sets win as underdog over Basavareddy in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Baez as underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Hassan as underdog in the q final. Very little clay success in the last 12 months.
12 month ATP stats favour Perricard on serve. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Perricard around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Rome
Gauff 1.50 v Paolini
Due to start at 4 pm
Gauff 2-1. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, Paolini in 2. Gauff won on hard in Aug 2023, 2 sets. She won on hard in 2021, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Gauff reached the semis last year. She needed 3 sets against Mboko in the 2nd round. 2 close sets win over Linette in the 3rd round. Easy win over Raducanu in the 4th round. 2 close sets win over Andreeva in the q final. 3rd set tie break win over Zheng in the semi final. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open.
Paolini lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sun in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Ostapenko in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Shnaider in the q final. 2 sets win over Stearns in the semis. Semis in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the Olympics. Final of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Gauff on serve. return stats are even. Stats for their last 10 on clay are pretty close but favour Gauff overall.
Back Gauff around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner but remove liability after a break in our favour.
16th May
Predictions:
ATP Rome Semi Finals
Alcaraz in 3 sets
Sinner in 2 sets
WTA Challenger, Paris
Gracheva 1.78 v Rakhimova
Due to start at 11:30 am
Gracheva 2-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Gracheva in 2. Rakhimova won on hard in oct 2023, 2 sets. Gracheva won on clay in May 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Gracheva reached the semis last year. 2 sets win over Chirico in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Baptiste as slight underdog in the 2nd round. 2nd rounds in Rome, Rouen and Charleston. 4th round of the French Open.
Rakhimova had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. She lost just 3 games against a possibly injured Uchijima in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Rome as lucky loser. Semis in Rabat.
12 month WTA stats are much better for Gracheva.
Back Gracheva around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Rome
Alcaraz 1.40 v Musetti
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Alcaraz 5-1. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, 3 sets. Straight sets wins for Alcaraz on hard in 2024 and 2023. He won on clay in June 2023, straight sets. Musetti won on clay in 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Alcaraz beat Lajovic in 2 sets in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Djere in the 3rd round. He needed 3 sets against Khachanov in the 4th rounds. 2 sets win over Draper in the q final. He reached the final in Barcelona. Title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics. Title of the French Open.
Musetti lost in the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Virtanen in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Nakashima in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Medvedev in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Zverev as underdog in the q final. Semis in Madrid. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month stats are quite even on serve but strongly favour Alcaraz on return.
Back Alcaraz around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.55. Chance of 3 sets.
15th May
WTA Rome
Paolini 1.46 v Stearns
Due to start at 2 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are close but favour Paolini.
Paolini lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sun in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Ostapenko in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Shnaider in the q final. Semis in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the Olympics. Final of the French Open.
Stearns had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kalinskaya in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Keys in the 3rd round. 3rd set tie break win over Osaka in the 4th round. Another 3rd set tie break win over Svitolina in the q final. She reached the 4th round in Madrid. 3rd round of the French Open. Title in Rabat in May 2024.
Paolini's match with Shnaider was a very strange one. She took a 4-0 lead in the 1st set but Shnaider won the next 5 games. Paolini served for the set at 6-5 but was broken and lost the set in a tie break. In set 2, Shnaider took a 4-0 lead before Paolini took the next 6 games.
Stearns has had an incredible tournament with 3rd set tie break wins as underdog in the last 3 rounds. She has served extremely well.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Paolini. Stats for the tournament favour Paolini overall.
Lay Paolini around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Lay set 1 winner. If Stearns maintains her level of play from the previous 3 rounds, this will be close. the crowd will try to help Paolini as they did in the last round.
WTA Rome
Zheng v Gauff 1.51
Due to start at 7:30
Gauff 2-0. Most recent Nov 2024, indoors, 3rd set tie break. She won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Zheng. Gauff leads in 2025.
Zheng reached the q final last season. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Frech in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Andreescu in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Sabalenka in the q final. Q finals in Charleston. Gold at the Olympics. Title in Palermo. 3rd round of the French Open.
Gauff reached the semis last year. She needed 3 sets against Mboko in the 2nd round. 2 close sets win over Linette in the 3rd round. Easy win over Raducanu in the 4th round. 2 close sets win over Andreeva in the q final. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Zheng on serve. 2025 stats are closer on serve and Gauff leads overall. Stats for the tournament are stronger for Zheng overall.
Very good chance of 3 sets. Zheng has the better ROI on clay. There is some value on Zheng today.
Lay Gauff around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
14th May
WTA Rome
Gauff 1.85 v Andreeva
Due to start at 12:00
Gauff 3-0. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, 2 sets. She won on hard in Aug 2023, 2 sets. She won on clay in June 2023, 3 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are a little better for Andreeva.
Gauff reached the semis last year. She needed 3 sets against Mboko in the 2nd round. 2 close sets win over Linette in the 3rd round. Easy win over Raducanu in the 4th round. Final in Madrid. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open.
Andreeva lost in the 1st round last season. Easy win over Arango in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Noskova in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Tauson in the 4th round. Q finals in Madrid. Title Iasi. Semis of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats favour Gauff overall. Stats in 2025 favour Andreeva on serve and strongly favour Gauff on return. Stats for their last 10 on clay favour Gauff.
Lay Andreeva around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20. Chance of 3 sets.
ATP Rome
Draper v Alcaraz 1.41
Due to start at 2 pm
Alcaraz 3-2. Most recent March 2025, hard, Draper in 3. Alcaraz won on hard in 2025 when Draper retired. 2 of Alcaraz' wins were by retirement. Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Darderi in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kopriva in the 3rd round. He needed 3 sets against Moutet in the 4th round. Final in Madrid.
Alcaraz beat Lajovic in 2 sets in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Djere in the 3rd round. He needed 3 sets against Khachanov in the 4th rounds. He reached the final in Barcelona. Title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics. Title of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Alcaraz. Stats for their last 10 on clay favour Draper on serve. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Alcaraz around 1.85 to 2.00 and remove liability at 1.45.
13th May
WTA Rome
Paolini 1.78 v Shnaider
Due to start at 12:00
Paolini 1-0 (Jan 2024, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are even.
Paolini lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sun in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Ostapenko in the 4th round. Semis in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the Olympics. Final of the French Open.
Shnaider reached the 3rd round last year. Very easy win over Dolehide in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Cristian in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Mertens in the 4th round. 4th round in Madrid. Title in Budapest. CH title in May 2024.
12 month and 2025 WTA stats are a little better for Shnaider but favour Paolini overall. Paolini has the better ROI on clay.
Back Paolini around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Rome
Stearns v Svitolina 1.38
Due to start at 6 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are close but favour Svitolina.
Stearns had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kalinskaya in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Keys in the 3rd round. 3rd set tie break win over Osaka in the 4th round. She reached the 4th round in Madrid. 3rd round of the French Open. Title in Rabat in May 2024.
Svitolina reached the 4th round last year. 2 close sets win over Maneiro. 3 sets win over Baptiste in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Collins in the 4th round. Semis in Madrid. Title in Rouen. 3rd round of the Olympics and 4th round of the French Open.
12 month and 2025 WTA stats are stronger for Svitolina.
Stearns has really raised her game in this tournament. She is serving extremely well. Stats for the tournament are stronger for her and return stats favour Svitolina.
Very good chance of 3 sets. Stearns needs to continue serving as she has been. Keys didn't play that well against Stearns but Osaka played well and still lost.
Lay Svitolina around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.55. Lay set 1 winner.
12th May
WTA Rome
Shnaider 1.82 v Mertens
Due to start at 11:30 am
Mertens 2-0. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, 2 sets. She won on hard in Feb 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Shnaider.
Shnaider reached the 3rd round last year. Very easy win over Dolehide in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Cristian in the 3rd round. 4th round in Madrid. Title in Budapest. CH title in May 2024.
Mertens reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Lamens in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Pegula in the 3rd round. Q finals in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Shnaider. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Mertens around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
ATP Rome
Munar v Korda 1.77
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Korda 1-0 (Oct 2022, indoors, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are quite even.
Munar reached the 2nd round last season. 3 sets win over Barrios as favourite in the 1st round. Very easy win over Shelton as underdog in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Barcelona. 2nd round in Rio. CH title and final in Sep.
Korda reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Vukic in the 2nd round. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month stats and 2025 stats are stronger for Korda on serve. Munar has a strong lead on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Korda around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
11th May
ATP Rome
Fils 1.74 v Tsitsipas
Due to start at 10 am
Fils 3-0. Most recent April 2025, clay, Tsitsipas retired. Fils won indoors in Oct 2024, 2 sets. He won indoors in 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Fils lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Griekspoor in the 2nd round. Semis in Barcelona. Q finals in Monte Carlo. Title in Hamburg.
Tsitsipas reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Muller in the 2nd round. Q finals in Barcelona and Monte Carlo. Q finals of the Olympics. Semis in Gstaad. Q finals of the French Open.
12 month clay stats are stronger for Tsitsipas. 2025 stats are stronger for him on serve.
Lay Fils around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Rome
Navarro 1.66 v Tauson
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Tauson 1-0 (May 2023, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Navarro.
Navarro lost in the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Rakhimova in the 2nd round. Q finals in Charleston. 3rd round of the Olympics and 4th round of the French Open.
Tauson reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. This year, in the 2nd round, Volynets retired in set 2. 4th round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats favour Navarro overall. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Navarro around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
10th May
ATP Rome
Shelton 1.83 v Munar
Due to start at 2 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Feb 2025, indoors, Munar in 2. Shelton won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are a little better for Shelton.
Shelton reached the 3rd round last year. Final in Munich. 3rd round of the French Open.
Munar reached the 2nd round last season. 3 sets win over Barrios as favourite in the 1st round. 2nd round in Barcelona. 2nd round in Rio. CH title and final in Sep.
12 month and 2025 ATP stats are stronger on serve for Shelton and favour Munar on return.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Munar around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
WTA Rome
Mertens v Pegula 1.56
Due to start at 7:30 pm
Mertens 3-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Pegula in 2. Mertens won on clay in June 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Pegula.
Mertens reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Lamens in the 2nd round. Q finals in Stuttgart. 3rd round of the French Open.
Pegula had a 2 sets win over Krueger in the 2nd round. She won the title in Charleston. She doesn't play many clay tournaments.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Pegula.
Back Pegula round 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
9th May
ATP Rome
Humbert 1.64 v Moutet
Due to start at 1 pm
Moutet 1-0. (Oct 2022, indoors, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Moutet.
Humbert reached the 2nd rounds in Munich and the Olympics.
Moutet reached the 2nd round as lucky loser last season. 3 sets win over Hijikata in the 1st round. 3rd round of the Olympics and 4th round of the French Open.
12 month stats favour Humbert on serve and strongly favour Moutet on return.
Lay Humbert around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.75. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Rome
Kostyuk 1.60 v Kasatkina
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Kasatkina 4-2. Most recent June 2024, grass, Kasatkina in 3. She won their last 4 matches . Kostyuk won on clay in April 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Kostyuk.
Kostyuk lost to Osaka in the 2nd round last season. Easy win over Eala in the 1st round. Q finals in Madrid. Q finals of the Olympics. 2nd round of the French Open.
Kasatkina reached the 3rd round last season. 3rd rounds in Madrid and Charleston (BYE's in 1st rounds). 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month and 2025 stats are stronger for Kostyuk.
Back Kostyuk around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.
8th May
WTA Rome
Stearns v Kalinskaya 1.96
Due to start at 11:30 am
Kalinskaya 1-0 (Sep 2024, hard, Stearns retired). Clay win %'s are better for Stearns.
Stearns had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. She reached the 4th round in Madrid. 3rd round of the French Open. Title in Rabat in May 2024.
Kalinskaya reached the 3rd round last season. Q finals in Charleston. 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kalinskaya on serve and favour Stearns on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Stearns around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10.
ATP Rome
Nardi v Cobolli 1.42
Due to start at 1 pm
Nardi 2-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Cobolli retired. Nardi won indoors in 2023, 5 sets. Cobolli won on clay in July 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are much better for Cobolli.
Nardi reached the 2nd round last year. A CH q final last week was his best result in the last year.
Cobolli reached the 2nd round last season. 3rd round in Madrid. Title in Bucharest. Semis in Geneva.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Cobolli.
Back Cobolli around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
7th May
ATP Rome
Griekspoor 1.66 v Kecmanovic
Due to start at 12:00
Griekspoor 3-1. Most recent March 2025, hard, Griekspoor, 3 sets. He won on hard in Sep 2024, 3 sets. Their other matches were on grass in 2024. Clay win %'s are even.
Griekspoor lost in the 2nd round last year. Q finals in Munich. Final in Marrakech. 3rd round of the French Open. Q finals in Geneva.
Kecmanovic reached the 3rd round last season. CH semi last week. 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are much stronger for Griekspoor.
Back Griekspoor around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Rome
Joint v Raducanu 1.56
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Joint.
Joint has come through the qual rounds. 2nd round as qualifier in Madrid. CH q final in June.
Raducanu reached the 2nd round in Madrid. Q finals in Stuttgart in Apr 2024.
Raducanu has had some decent clay results in her career though didn't play a lot of clay tournaments. She has shown some decent hard court form in 2025 and if she is healthy, she should be too strong for Joint. Most of Joints clay matches were in ITF's.
Back Raducanu around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
6th May
WTA Rome
Lamens 1.76 v Zarazua
Due to start at 12:00
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Zarazua.
Lamens reached the semis in Rouen. Q finals in Budapest in July.
Zarazua lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. ITF final in April. CH title in Nov. CH q final in June. CH semi in May 2024.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Lamens. She has the better ROI in 2025.
Back Lamens around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Rome
Bouzkova 1.87 v Sherif
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Sherif.
Bouzkova reached the 2nd round in Madrid. Q finals in Bogota. 3rd round of the French Open.
Sherif reached the 3rd round last season. CH title and q final in Dec. CH semi in Nov. CH finals in June and July.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Bouzkova. Sherif has most of her best results in Challengers. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Sherif around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
5th May
WTA Rome starts on Tuesday. ATP Rome starts on Wednesday
Prague Challenger
Harris v Evans 1.59
Due to start at 12:00
Evans 1-0 (Feb 2019, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Evans.
Harris plays very few clay tournaments. He played 5 clay matches in 2025. His last decent result on clay was a 3rd round in Barcelona in April 2022. (He was ranked 40 then).
Evans reached a CH q final in April. 2nd round of the Olympics. CH q final in May 2024.
Back Evans around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50.
Santos Challenger
Soto 1.58 v Sakamoto
Due to start at 7:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better form Soto.
Soto reached CH semis in April and March. CH semi in June. Most of his matches in 2024 were in ITF's.
Sakamoto reached the 2nd round last season. 3 CH 2nd rounds in 2025. CH q final in Oct. CH q final in June.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Soto.
Back Soto around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
4th May
Prediction:
ATP Madrid Final
Draper in 3 sets
Saint Malo Challenger
Juvan v Osaka 1.37
Due to start at 12:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Juvan.
Juvan had a 3 sets win over Minnen in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Naef in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Volynets as underdog in the q final. 2 sets win over Golubic in the semi final. This is her first clay match since Sep 2023. She missed almost all the 2024 season, playing just 2 matches.
Osaka had an easy win over Marcinko in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Parry in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Jacquemot in the q final. She needed 3 sets against Jeanjean in the semis. 2nd round of the French Open. 4th round in Rome.
Stats for the tournament are stronger for Osaka on serve.
Back Osaka around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.45.
ATP Madrid
Ruud v Draper 1.50
Due to start at 5:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Ruud.
Ruud reached the 4th round last season. Easy win over Rinderknech in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Korda in the 3rd round. 2 tight sets win over Fritz in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Medvedev in the q final. 2 sets win over Cerundolo in the semi final. Q final in Barcelona. Q finals of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Title in Geneva.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Griekspoor in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round, Berrettini retired after set 1. Easy win over Paul in the 4th round. Easy win over Arnaldi in the q final. 2 sets win over Musetti in the semis. 3rd round in Monte Carlo. 2nd round of the Olympics. 2nd round in Rome.
12 month ATP stats are really even. Slight edge to Draper on serve. Stats for the tournament are stronger for Draper on serve.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Draper around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
3rd May
Prediction:
WTA Madrid
Gauff in 3 sets
Saint Malo Challenger
Golubic v Juvan 1.73
Due to start at 12:30 pm
1st meeting. Long term clay win %'s are better for Juvan.
Golubic had a 2 tight sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Paquet in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kessler as underdog in the q final. 2nd round of the French Open. She hasn't play many clay tournaments in the last 12 months.
Juvan had a 3 sets win over Minnen in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Naef in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Volynets as underdog in the q final. This is her first clay match since Sep 2023. She missed almost all the 2024 season, playing just 2 matches.
Stats for the tournament are stronger for Juvan on serve. She has arguably faced stronger opponents this week.
Back Juvan around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. I favour Juvan to win. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Madrid
Sabalenka 1.83 v Gauff
Due to start at 5:30 pm
Gauff 5-4. Most recent Nov 2024, indoors, Gauff in 2. Sabalenka won on hard in Oct 2024, 3 sets. She won on hard in Jan 2024, 2 sets. Gauff won their only clay match in May 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Sabalenka reached the final last year. 2 sets win over Blinkova in the 2nd round. Slow start against Mertens in the 3rd round. She was broken 3 times in the 1st set. Easily won the next 2 sets. 2 sets win over Stearns in the 4th round. She needed 2 tie breaks to beat Kostyuk in the q final. 2 sets win over Svitolina in the semi final. Final in Stuttgart. Q finals of the French Open. Final in Rome. She won the Madrid title in 2023.
Gauff reached the 4th round last season. 3 sets win over Yastremska in the 2nd round. She lost the first set 6-0. Easy win over Li in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Bencic in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Andreeva after Andreeva served for the first set in the q final. Very easy win over Swiatek in the semi final. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Semis in Rome.
12 month serve stats are fairly even. Perhaps a slight lead to Sabalenka. Return stats are stronger for Gauff. Stats for the tournament favour Gauff overall.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Sabalenka around 1.45 to 1.50 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
2nd May
Predictions:
ATP Madrid
Ruud in 2 sets
Draper in 3 sets
ATP Madrid
Cerundolo v Ruud 1.84
Due to start at 3 pm
Cerundolo 5-3. Most recent March 2025, hard, Cerundolo in 2. He won indoors in Sep 2024, 2 sets. Ruud won on clay in July 2024, 2 sets. He won on clay in May 2023, 2 sets. Cerundolo won on clay in April 2023, 2 sets and won on clay in 2022, 3 sets. Only 1 of their matches went to 3 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Cerundolo has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Kovacevic in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Aliassime as huge underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Comesana in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Zverev in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Mensik in the q final. CH semi in March. 2nd round in Buenos Aires. CH semi in Nov. 2 CH semis in Oct. CH title in Sep.
Ruud reached the 4th round last season. Easy win over Rinderknech in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Korda in the 3rd round. 2 tight sets win over Fritz in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Medvedev in the q final. Q final in Barcelona. Q finals of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Title in Geneva.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Ruud on serve and favour Cerundolo on return.
Lay Cerundolo around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.2.
ATP Madrid
Draper 1.56 v Musetti
Due to start at 7 pm
Draper 4-0. Most recent Oct 2024, indoors, 2 sets. He won indoors in 2023, 2 sets and in 2022, straight sets. He won on grass at the Wimbledon juniors in 2018, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Musetti.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Griekspoor in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round, Berrettini retired after set 1. Easy win over Paul in the 4th round. Easy win over Arnaldi in the q final. 3rd round in Monte Carlo. 2nd round of the Olympics. 2nd round in Rome.
Musetti lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas in the 3rd round. Easy win over De Minaur in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Diallo in the q final. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are better for Musetti. Draper has raised his clay game in this tournament and stats for the tournament favour him. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Draper around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
1st May
WTA Madrid
Gauff v Swiatek 1.59
Due to start at 3 pm
Swiatek 11-3. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Gauff in 2. She won indoors in Nov 2024, 2 sets. Swiatek won on clay in June 2024, 2 sets and won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets. Swiatek won all 5 of their clay matches in 2 sets. Only 1 of their 14 matches went to 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Swiatek.
Gauff reached the 4th round last season. 3 sets win over Yastremska in the 2nd round. She lost the first set 6-0. Easy win over Li in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Bencic in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Andreeva after Andreeva served for the first set in the q final. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Semis in Rome.
Swiatek won the title last season. She lost the opening set to Eala in the 2nd round. A late break in set 2 took the set. Easy win over Noskova in the 3rd round. Tight 3 sets win in the 4th round over Shnaider. 3 sets win over Keys in the q final. She lost the first set 6-0. Bronze at the Olympics. Title of the French Open. Title in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Swiatek.
Despite the fact that Gauff has not taken a set from Swiatek on clay, I think this one can go the distance.
Lay Swiatek if she gets an early break of serve and remove liability if Gauff then gets a bp. Back Swiatek around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Madrid
Musetti 1.27 v Diallo
Due to start at 7 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Musetti in 2. Diallo won indoors in 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Musetti.
Musetti lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas in the 3rd round. Easy win over De Minaur in the 4th round. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
Diallo lost in the qual rounds. He beat Bergs easily as lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Majchrzak in the 2nd round as slight underdog. 3 sets win over Norrie as underdog in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Dimitrov in the 4th round as huge underdog. 2nd round in Bucharest. Very little clay success before this tournament.
12 month stats are close but favour Diallo on serve and favour Musetti on return.
Diallo has really over performed since losing in the qual rounds.
Musetti has been in really strong recent form and should be too much for Diallo.
Back Musetti around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Musetti if he loses set 1.
30th April
WTA Madrid
Andreeva 1.88 v Gauff
Due to start at 2 pm
Gauff 2-0. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, Gauff in 2. She won on clay in June 2023, 3 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are a little better for Gauff.
Andreeva reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Frech in the 3rd round. Another 2 sets win in the 4th round. Title in Iasi. Semis at the French Open.
Gauff reached the 4th round last season. 3 sets win over Yastremska in the 2nd round. She lost the first set 6-0. Easy win over Li in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Bencic in the 4th round. 3rd round of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Semis in Rome.
12 month stats favour Gauff overall. Despite losing the first set of the week 6-0, Gauff has looked the more impressive.
Lay Andreeva around 1.55 to 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Decent chance of 3 sets.
ATP Madrid
De Minaur 1.82 v Musetti
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Musetti 2-1. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, Musetti in 3rd set tie break. He won on grass in 2024, 3 sets. De Minaur won on hard in 2022, 4 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are even.
De Minaur lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sonego in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Shapovalov in the 3rd round. Q finals in Barcelona. Semis in Monte Carlo. Q finals of the French Open. 4th round in Rome.
Musetti lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas in the 3rd round. Final in Monte Carlo. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month stats are stronger for De Minaur on serve. Predicted holds also favour him. Very good chance of 3 sets. ROI's favour Musetti. Recent performances are better for Musetti.
Lay De Minaur around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.
29th April
WTA Madrid
Keys 1.42 v Vekic
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Keys 3-1. Most recent March 2025, hard, Keys in 3. Vekic won on hard in Aug 2019, 3rd set tie break. Keys won on clay in May 2018, 2 tie breaks. She won on clay in 2016, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Keys.
Keys reached the semis last year. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 2nd round. 2 tight sets win over Kalinskaya in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the French Open. Title in Strasbourg. Q finals in Rome.
Vekic reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Baptiste in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Navarro as underdog in the 3rd round. Silver at the Olympics. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month clay stats are very even. Smallest of edges to Keys.
Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Keys around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Madrid
Draper 1.59 v Berrettini
Due to start at 2 pm
Draper 2-0. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, 3 sets. He won on grass in June 2024, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Berrettini.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Griekspoor in the 2nd round. 3rd round in Monte Carlo. 2nd round of the Olympics. 2nd round in Rome.
Berrettini needed 3 sets against Giron in the 2nd round. He reached the 3rd round in Monte Carlo. Title in Kitzbuhel. Title in Gstaad.
12 month stats are stronger for Berrettini. Draper doesn't have a lot of clay success but had an excellent win in the last round.
The altitude should help Berrettini's serve.
Lay Draper around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Lay set 1 winner.
28th April
ATP Madrid
Norrie 1.90 v Diallo
Due to start at 11:30 am
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Diallo.
Norrie reached the 3rd round last season. Very tight 3 sets win over Landaluce in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lehecka as underdog in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Bastad. 3rd round in Rome.
Diallo lost in the qual rounds. He beat Bergs easily as lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Majchrzak in the 2nd round as slight underdog. 2nd round in Bucharest. Very little clay success.
12 month stats favour Diallo overall. A decent match from Norrie was well overdue and he gave us one in the last round.
Lay Diallo around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
WTA Madrid
Svitolina 1.41 v Sakkari
Due to start at 8:30 pm
H2H 2-2. Most recent July 2021, hard, Svitolina in 3. Sakkari won indoors in Oct 2020, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Svitolina.
Svitolina had an easy win over Kartal in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Rybakina as underdog in the 3rd round. She won the title in Rouen. 3rd round at the Olympics. 4th round of the French Open. 4th round in Rome.
Sakkari reached the 4th round last season. 2 tight sets win over Wang in the 1st round. 2 tight sets win over Linette in the 2nd round. Easy win over Paolini as underdog in the 3rd round. 3rd round at the Olympics. 4th round in Rome.
12 month clay stats are stronger for Svitolina. Sakkari has performed well this week and will be competitive.
Back Svitolina around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
27th April
ATP Madrid
Shelton v Mensik 1.78
Due to start at 6 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Mensik in 3. Shelton won on hard in March 2024, 3 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Shelton.
Shelton reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Navone in the 2nd round. Final in Munich. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Mensik reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Quinn in the 2nd round. Semis in Umag. 2nd round of the Olympics.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Shelton on serve and favour Mensik on return. Recent performances are better for Shelton.
Lay Mensik around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Madrid
Alexandrova 1.62 v Kasatkina
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Kasatkina 3-2. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Kasatkina in 2. Alexandrova won indoors in 2022, 2 sets. Both her wins were indoors. Clay win %'s are even.
Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 2nd round. Semis in Stuttgart and Charleston.
Kasatkina reached the 4th round last season. 2 sets win over Parks in the 2nd round. 2nd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Alexandrova on serve.
Back Alexandrova around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
26th April
ATP Madrid
Draper 1.62 v Griekspoor
Due to start at 6 pm
Griekspoor 1-0 (Aug 2023, hard, Draper retired). Clay win %'s are a little better for Griekspoor.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. 3rd round in Monte Carlo. 2nd round of the Olympics. 2nd round in Rome.
Griekspoor reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Kopriva in the 1st round. Q finals in Munich. Final in Marrakech. 3rd round of the French Open. Q finals in Geneva.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Griekspoor on serve and favour Draper on return.
Lay Draper around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.90. Back Griekspoor if he loses set 1.
WTA Madrid
Vekic v Navarro 1.40
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Vekic 2-0. Most recent March 2025, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in March 2023, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Vekic reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Baptiste in the 2nd round. Silver at the Olympics. 3rd round of the French Open.
Navarro reached the 3rd round last season. 2 tight sets win over Joint in the 2nd round. Q finals in Charleston. 3rd round of the Olympics. 4th round of the French Open. CH final in May.
12 month WTA stats favour Navarro overall. Serve stats are quite close. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Navarro around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Back Navarro around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55.
25th April
WTA Madrid
Alexandrova 1.55 v Danilovic
Due to start at 11:30 am
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Danilovic.
Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last year. Semis in Stuttgart and Charleston.
Danilovic reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. 2 sets win over Azarenka in the 1st round. Final in Rouen. CH title in March. CH semis in Sep and Aug. Semis in Iasi. 4th round of the French Open.
Alexandrova doesn't have an amazing clay record but has found her clay legs recently.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Danilovic overall.
Back Alexandrova around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Madrid
Raducanu v Kostyuk 1.91
Due to start at 2:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent May 2022, clay, Raducanu in 2. Kostyuk won indoors in 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Raducanu.
Raducanu lost in the 1st round last season. She had not played on clay since. 2 sets win over Lamens in the 1st round.
Raducanu's last tournament was on hard in Miami in March. She performed well.
Kostyuk lost in the 2nd round last season. Q finals of the Olympics. 2nd round of the French Open.
Chance of 3 sets. Lay Kostyuk around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.
24th April
WTA Madrid
Noskova 1.47 v Carle
Due to start at 1 pm
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Carle.
Noskova lost in the 2nd round last year. Semis in Prague. 3rd round in Rome.
Carle reached the 3rd round as qualifier last year. This year, she again made it through the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Sramkova as underdog. CH q final in March. CH semi in Dec. CH final and semi in Nov.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Noskova on serve and are much better for Carle on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Noskova was poor in Rouen last week. Carle is in decent form and will be competitive.
Lay Noskova around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Madrid
Bu v Fearnley 1.87
Due to start at 4 pm
Fearnley 2-0. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, 3rd set tie break. He won on grass in June 2024, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Fearnley.
Bu has limited clay success in the last year.
Fearnley reached the 2nd round in Barcelona as qualifier in his 1st clay event. He made it through the qual rounds this week.
Lay Bu around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
23rd April
ATP Madrid
Moutet 1.51 v Mayot
Due to start at 1 pm
Mayot 1-0 (July 2020, clay, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are quite even.
Moutet lost in the 1st round as qualifier last year. 3rd round at the Olympics. 4th round of the French Open. 2nd round in Rome.
Mayot has come through the qual rounds. CH q final in March.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Mayot but he did not win a main draw ATP clay match in the last 12 months.
Back Moutet around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
WTA Madrid
Lys 1.56 v Kostovic
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Kostovic.
Lys reached a CH q final in April. CH q final in Aug. Semis in Budapest. CH q final in June.
Kostovic has come through the qual rounds. She was underdog in both rounds. She plays mostly ITF's.
Kostovic can be competitive.
Back Lys around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.50.
22nd April
WTA Madrid
Zarazua v Bouzkova 1.71
Due to start at 11:30 am
Bouzkova 2-0. Most recent March 2019, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in March 2018, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are little better for Zarazua.
Zarazua lost in the qual rounds last year. ITF final in Madrid last week. CH title in Nov. CH semi in May.
Bouzkova reached the q finals in Bogota. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Bouzkova.
Back Bouzkova around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Madrid
Sun v Gracheva 1.46
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Gracheva 1-0 (Jan 2024, hard, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Sun.
Sun won an ITF title in May. ITF semi in April 2024.
Gracheva lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. 2nd rounds in Rouen and Charleston. 4th round of the French Open. CH semi in May. 2nd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Gracheva.
Back Gracheva around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
21st April
Prediction:
WTA Stuttgart Final
Sabalenka in 2 sets
WTA Stuttgart
Sabalenka 1.28 v Ostapenko
Due to start at 12:00
Sabalenka 3-0. Most recent May 2024, clay, 2 sets. She won on hard in Feb 2023, 3 sets. 2 sets win on hard in 2019. Clay win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the q finals last year. This year, she had a walkover in the 2nd round when Potapova withdrew. 2 sets win over Mertens in the q final. 2 close sets win over Paolini in the semi final. Q finals of the French Open. Final in Rome. Final in Madrid.
Ostapenko lost in the 1st round last year. This year, she came through the 1st round when Yastremska retired. 3 sets win over Navarro in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the q final. 2nd round of the French Open. Q finals in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Sabalenka on serve and favour Ostapenko on return. Stats for the tournament favour Ostapenko on serve.
Sabalenka's opening set with Paolini was a bit of a mess with 7 breaks of serve. She was 5-2 up but crawled over the line to win 7-5. Ostapenko's semi final has much less drama and she was broken just once in each set.
Lay Sabalenka around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Sabalenka around 1.80 to 1.90 or if she loses set 1.
Savannah Challenger
Wu v Galarneau 1.60
Due to start at 6 pm
Galarneau 5-0. All their matches were on hard. He won in June and May 2024, 2 sets. He had a 2 sets and a 3 sets win in 2023. Clay win %'s are very even.
Wu reached a CH 2nd round last week. He didn't play on clay in 2024.
Galarneau reached a CH 2 round last week. CH final in April 2024.
12 month CH stats are pretty even. Recent performances on all surfaces are better for Galarneau.
Back Galarneau around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55.
20th April
Predictions:
WTA Stuttgart
Ostapenko in 3 sets
Sabalenka in 2 sets
WTA Rouen
Svitolina in 3 sets
ATP Barcelona
Alcaraz in 3 sets
ATP Munich
Zverev in 2 sets
WTA Stuttgart
Alexandrova 1.74 v Ostapenko
Due to start at 12:00
H2H 5-5. Most recent Feb 2024, indoor, Ostapenko in 2. She won on hard in 2024 and 2023, 2 and 3 sets. Alexandrova won on hard in Sep 2022, 2 sets. She won on clay in Apr 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Ostapenko.
Alexandrova lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over a poor Samsonova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Andreeva in the 2nd round. Another 23 sets win over a terrible Pegula in the q final. Semis in Charleston.
Ostapenko lost in the 1st round last year. This year, she came through the 1st round when Yastremska retired. 3 sets win over Navarro in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the q final. 2nd round of the French Open. Q finals in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
Why have all Alexandrova's opponents been so bad this week? It was a similar story in Charleston earlier this month. She is certainly playing well.
Ostapenko has had a poor 12 months with the occasional good week. She has also played well this week.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Alexandrova on serve. Ostapenko leads on return. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Alexandrova around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Barcelona
Alcaraz 1.23 v Rune
Due to start at 3 pm
Alcaraz 2-1. Most recent July 2023, grass, Alcaraz in straight sets. Rune won indoors in 2022, Alcaraz retired. Alcaraz won indoors in 2021, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Alcaraz had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Djere in the 2nd round although he was a break behind in set 2. 2 sets win over De Minaur in the q final. 2 sets win over Fils in the semi final. He won the title in Monte Carlo. Silver at the Olympics. Title at the French Open. Q finals in Madrid.
Rune had a 2 sets win over Ramos in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Baez in the 2nd round. He took full advantage of a poor match from Ruud in the q final and won in straight sets. Easy win over Khachanov in the semi final. He reached the q finals in Hamburg. 4th round of the French Open. 3rd rounds in Rome and Madrid.
12 month ATP stats are much better for Alc. Stats for the tournament are a little better for Rune on serve and a little better for Alcaraz on return.
Lay Alcaraz around 1.15 and remove liability at 1.30. Back Alcaraz around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.45.
19th April
WTA Rouen
Danilovic 1.73 v Lamens
Due to start at 2 pm
Danilovic 1-0 (May 2023, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Danilovic.
Danilovic needed 3 sets against Krunic in the 1st round as 1.19 favourite. 3 sets win over Fruhvirtova in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Uchijima in the q final. She won a CH title in March. CH semis in Sep and Aug. Semis in Iasi in July. 4th round of the French Open. 2nd round in Madrid as qualifier.
Lamens reached the q finals in Budapest. 3rd set tie break win over Andreescu in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Noskova in the 2nd round as underdog. Easy win in the q final. 2 CH 2nd rounds in the last year.
12 month WTA stats are even on serve and strongly favour Lamens on return.
Lay Danilovic around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Stuttgart
Gauff 1.45 v Paolini
Due to start at 5:30 pm
Gauff 2-0. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Feb 2021, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are quite even.
Gauff reached the q finals last year. Very easy win in the 2nd round. 3rd round at the Olympics. Semis at the French Open. Semis in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
Paolini reached the q finals last season. Very easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Niemeier in the 2nd round. 3rd round at the Olympics. Final of the French Open. 4th round in Madrid.
Gauff has had some surprising losses in 2025 so this could be close.
Lay Gauff if she gets an early break of serve and remove liability if Paolini then gets a bp. Back Gauff around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
18th April
ATP Barcelona
Rune v Ruud 1.65
Due to start at 11:30 am
Ruud 6-1. Most recent March 2024, hard, Ruud in 3. He won on clay in June 2023, 4 sets. Rune won on clay in May 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Ruud.
Rune had a 2 sets win over Ramos in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Baez in the 2nd round. He reached the q finals in Hamburg. 4th round of the French Open. 3rd rounds in Rome and Madrid.
Ruud won the title last season. 2 sets win over Galan in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Medjedovic in the 2nd round. Q finals of the Olympics. Semis of the French Open. Title in Geneva. 4th round in Madrid.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Ruud. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Ruud around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Munich
Marozsan 1.77 v Bergs
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Marozsan 2-0. Most recent Apr 2025, clay, 2 sets. He won on hard in 2020 when Bergs retired.
Marozsan had an easy win over Engel in the 1st round. 2 close sets win over Humbert in the 2nd round. He reached the q finals in Umag. 2nd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Barcelona. 2nd round in Madrid.
Bergs had a 3 sets win over Bublik in the 1st round. Very easy win over Palomero in the 2nd round. He reached the 3rd round at the French Open. CH title in April.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Bergs. Stats in the last month favour Marozsan. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Bergs around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.
17th April
WTA Rouen
Svitolina 1.33 v Kalinina
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Svitolina 3-0. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Feb 2024 and Oct 2011, 2 sets each time. Clay win %'s are better for Svitolina.
Svitolina had a 2 sets win over Teichmann in the 1st round. She reached the 3rd round at the Olympics. 4th round of the French Open. 4th round in Rome.
Kalinina reached the semis last year. Easy win over Hibino in the 1st round. Q finals in Prague. Semis in Strasbourg. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Svitolina.
Back Svitolina around 1.80 and remove liability at 1.40.
WTA Rouen
Maneiro v Gracheva 1.93
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Maneiro 1-0 (Aug 2024, hard, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are a little better for Maneiro.
Maneiro had a 3 sets win over Sakkari as underdog in the 1st round. She reached a CH q final in March. CH semi in June. 2nd round in Madrid as qualifier.
Gracheva reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Kartal in the 1st round. 4th round of the French Open. CH semi in May. 2nd round in Rome as qualifier.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Gracheva. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Maneiro around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
16th April
WTA Rouen
Ferro 1.65 v Ponchet
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Ferro 2-1. Most recent March 2023, indoors, Ponchet in 2. Ferro won on clay in July 2020, 2 sets. She won on clay in 2018, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Ponchet.
Ferro lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. This year, she has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Kessler in the 1st round. 2nd round in Strasbourg. CH q final in May.
Ponchet lost in the qual rounds last season. This time, she lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Rouvroy. CH q final in May.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Ferro.
Back Ferro around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Stuttgart
Mertens 1.83 v Shnaider
Due to start at 7 pm
Mertens 1-0 (Feb 2023, hard, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Shnaider.
Mertens reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Sasnovich in the 1st round. 3rd round of the French Open.
Shnaider lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. 3 sets win over Kudermetova in the 1st round. Title in Budapest. CH title in May. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Shnaider. She also has the better ROI on clay.
Lay Mertens around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Fair chance of 3 sets.
15th April
WTA Rouen
Cristian 1.45 v Parry
Due to start at 1:30 pm
Cristian 2-1. Most recent March 2024, hard, Parry in 2. Cristian won indoors in Jan 2021, 3 sets. She won on clay in 2019, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Cristian.
Cristian reached the q finals in Iasi and Palermo. 3rd rounds in Rome and Madrid.
Parry retired from the 1st round last season. Semis in Palermo.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Cristian.
Back Cristian around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Stuttgart
Niemeier v Siegemund 1.80
Due to start at 4 pm
Siegemund 1-0 (July 2020, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Niemeier.
Niemeier reached a CH semi in May. ITF final in May.
Siegemund lost in the 1st round last season. CH q final in May. 2nd round in Rome as qualifier.
12 month WTA stats are a little better for Niemeier overall. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Siegemund around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
14th April
WTA Stuttgart
Potapova v Tauson 1.75
Due to start at 5:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Potapova in 2. Tauson won on hard in Aug 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Tauson.
Potapova reached the 2nd round last year. 4th round of the French Open. 2nd rounds in Rome and Madrid.
Tauson reached the 4th round of the French Open. 2nd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Tauson overall. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Tauson around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. lay set 1 winner.
WTA Stuttgart
Kudermetova v Shnaider 1.75
Due to start at 7 pm
Shnaider 1-0 (Apr 2023, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Shnaider.
Kudermetova reached the 2nd round last year. This year, she has come through the qual rounds. Poor results on clay in the last 12 months.
Shnaider lost in the qual rounds as qualifier last season. Title in Budapest. CH title in May. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are better for Kudermetova on serve. Return stats favour Shnaider. Shnaider has the better ROI in the last year. Decent chance of 3 sets. Back Shnaider around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
13th April
Prediction:
ATP Monte Carlo Final
Alcaraz in 3 sets
ATP Monte Carlo
Musetti v Alcaraz 1.25
Due to start at 11 am
Alcaraz 4-1. Most recent March 2024, hard, Alcaraz in 2. He won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. He won clay in 2023, straight sets. Musetti won on clay in July 2022, 3 sets. Alcaraz won on clay in 2020, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. He needed 3 sets against Bu in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lehecka in the 2nd round as slight favourite. 2 sets win over Berrettini in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Tsitsipas in the q final. 3 sets win as underdog over De Minaur in the semis. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
Alcaraz had some early issues in the 2nd round match with Cerundolo. He took a break lead at 2-1 before losing 5 of the next 6 games. He only lost 1 game in the rest of the match. Easy win over Altmaier in the 3rd round. Tough 3 sets win over Fils in the q final. 2 close sets win over Fokina in the semi final. He won the silver at the Olympics. Title at the French Open. Q finals in Madrid.
Musetti lost the opening set 4 times in 5 matches and 3 of them were lost 1-6.
Alcaraz lost the opening set in 2 of his 4 matches.
12 month ATP stats are better for Alcaraz overall. Stats for the tournament are better for Alcaraz.
If Musetti makes another slow start, will he be able to recover for fourth time against world number 3 Alcaraz?
Alcaraz has also made some slow starts.
Lay Alcaraz around 1.15 and remove liability at 1.35. Back Alcaraz around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.45.
Mexico City Challenger
Pavlovic v Meligeni Alves 1.70
Due to start at 9:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Pavlovic.
Pavlovic had a 2 tie breaks win in the 1st round as favourite. 2 tight sets win in the 2nd round. 3 sets win as underdog over Varillas in the q final. 2 sets win over Mannarino in the semi final. CH semi in March. CH final in Sep.
Alves needed a 3rd set tie break as favourite in the 1st round. 2 sets win as favourite in the 2nd round. Easy win in the q final. 3rd set tie break win over Huesler as underdog in the semi final. CH title in March. CH final in Oct.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Pavlovic on serve. Return stats are even.
Lay Alves around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.
12th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Davidovich Fokina v Alcaraz 1.25
Due to start at 12:00
Alcaraz 1-0 (Apr 2023, clay, 2 close sets). Clay win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Fokina lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win over Shelton, who fell apart after taking set 1 in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Draper who had a poor day on serve. Easy win over Popyrin in the q final. 2nd round of the French Open. 3rd rounds in Madrid and Barcelona.
Alcaraz had some early issues in the 2nd round match with Cerundolo. He took a break lead at 2-1 before losing 5 of the next 6 games. He only lost 1 game in the rest of the match. Easy win over Altmaier in the 3rd round. Tough 3 sets win over Fils in the q final. He won the silver at the Olympics. Title at the French Open. Q finals in Madrid.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Alcaraz.
Alcaraz really struggled again Fils. He was broken 3 times in the 1st set which Fils won. In the 3rd set, he was 1-3 down before winning the next 5 games.
Back Alcaraz around 1.75 to 1.85 and remove liability at 1.35.
ATP Monte Carlo
Musetti v De Minaur 1.83
Due to start at 1:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2024, grass, Musetti in 3. De Minaur won on hard in 2022, 4 sets. Clay win %'s are stronger for Musetti.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. He needed 3 sets against Bu in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lehecka in the 2nd round as slight favourite. 2 sets win over Berrettini in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Tsitsipas in the q final. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
De Minaur reached the q finals last season. 3 sets win over Machac in the 2nd round. Easy win over Medvedev in the 3rd round. 2 sets (6-0, 6-0) win over Dimitrov in the q final. Q finals of the French Open. 4th round in Rome. 3rd round in Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Musetti on serve. Return stats favour De Minaur.
Musetti has raised his game this week, especially in the last 2 rounds.
I expected De Minaur to beat Dimitrov but the 6-0, 6-0 score strongly suggests that he was far from 100% healthy.
Lay De Minaur around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Decent chance of 3 sets.
11th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Dimitrov v De Minaur 1.55
Due to start at 1 pm
De Minaur 4-2. Most recent Feb 2024, indoors, De Minaur in 2. he had a walkover on clay in 2023. Dimitrov won indoors in Feb 2023, 3rd set tie break. Clay win %'s are a little better for Dimitrov.
Dimitrov reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Jarry in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Vacherot in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Tabilo in the 3rd round. Q finals of the French Open. 4th round in Rome.
De Minaur reached the q finals last season. 3 sets win over Machac in the 2nd round. Easy win over Medvedev in the 3rd round. Q finals of the French Open. 4th round in Rome. 3rd round in Barcelona.
12 month serve stats are stronger for Dimitrov. return stats are much stronger for De Minaur. Stats for the tournament are quite even on serve (slight edge to De Minaur). return stats still favour De Minaur.
Back De Minaur around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. Fair chance of 3 sets.
ATP Monte Carlo
Musetti v Tsitsipas 1.70
Due to start at 3 pm
Tsitsipas 5-0. Most recent May 2023, clay, 2 sets. Their last 4 matches were on clay. Their other 3 clay matches went to a deciding set. Clay win %'s are better for Tsitsipas.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. He needed 3 sets against Bu in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lehecka in the 2nd round as slight favourite. 2 sets win over Berrettini in the 3rd round. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
Tsitsipas won the title last season. 3 sets win over Thompson in the 2nd round. Very easy win over Borges in the 3rd round. Q finals of the Olympics. Semis in Gstaad. Q finals of the French Open. Q finals in Rome. Final in Barcelona.
12 month stats are stronger for Tsitsipas on serve. Return stats are pretty even.
Musetti didn't face a bp against Berrettini. Berrettini's 2nd serve was his weak link.
I expect Musetti to be competitive.
Back Tsitsipas around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
10th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Draper 1.52 v Fokina
Due to start at 10 am
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are even.
Draper lost in the 1st round last year. Very easy win over Giron in the 2nd round. 2nd rounds at the Olympics, Rome and Madrid. Q finals in Munich.
Fokina lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win over Shelton, who fell apart after taking set 1 in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 2nd round. 2nd round of the French Open. 3rd rounds in Madrid and Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are better for Draper on serve and favour Fokina on return.
This should be very even.
Back Draper around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Monte Carlo
Berrettini 1.84 v Musetti
Due to start at 1 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2024, grass, Berrettini in 2. Musetti won on hard in Oct 2022, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Berrettini.
Berrettini lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Navone in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Zverev in the 2nd round as underdog. Title in Kitzbuhel. Title in Gstaad.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. He needed 3 sets against Bu in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lehecka in the 2nd round as slight favourite. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Berrettini on serve and favour Musetti on return.
Lay Musetti around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Chance of 3 sets.
9th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Lehecka v Musetti 1.79
Due to start at 10 am
Lehecka 2-0. Most recent March 2023, hard, 2 sets. He won indoors in 2022, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Lehecka.
Lehecka beat Korda in 2 sets in the 1st round. He reached the semis in Madrid.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. He needed 3 sets against Bu in the 1st round. Bronze at the Olympics. Final in Umag. 3rd round of the French Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Lehecka on serve. Return stats are much better for Musetti. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Musetti around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Monte Carlo
Machac v De Minaur 1.79
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are even.
Machac beat Baez in 3 sets in the 1st round. He reached the 3rd round of the French Open. Final in Geneva. 2nd round in Barcelona.
De Minaur reached the q finals last season. Q finals of the French Open. 4th round in Rome. 3rd round in Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for De Minaur. Machac has the better ROI on clay.
De Minaur has not played on clay since June.
Back De Minaur around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
8th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Griekspoor v Fils 1.57
Due to start at 1:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Jan 2024, hard, Griekspoor in 4. Fils won on hard in 2023, 5 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Fils.
Griekspoor reached the 2nd round last year. Final in Marrakech last week. 3rd round of the French Open. Q finals in Geneva. 4th round in Madrid.
Fils reached the 2nd round last season. Title in Hamburg in July. Q finals in Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Griekspoor on serve. Return stats a much stronger for Fils. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Fils around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Monte Carlo
Draper 1.31 v Giron
Due to start at 3 pm
Draper 2-0. Most recent June 2024, grass, 3 sets. He won on hard in Jan 2024, 5 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Draper.
Draper lost in the 1st round last year. 2nd rounds at the Olympics, Rome and Madrid. Q finals in Munich.
Giron lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Shapovalov in the 1st round as underdog. 2nd round in Rome.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Draper overall.
Lay Draper around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Draper around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
7th April
ATP Monte Carlo
Monfils v Marozsan 1.80
Due to start at 11:30 am
H2H 1-1. Most recent March 2025, hard, Monfils in 3. Marozsan won on hard in Jan 2024, 3rd set tie break. Clay win %'s are better for Marozsan.
Monfils reached the 2nd round last year. 2nd round of the French Open.
Marozsan has come through the qual rounds. Q finals in Umag. 2nd round of the French Open. 2nd round in Madrid. 3rd round in Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are much stronger for Marozsan. he has the better ROI on clay. Monfils has been in excellent form on other surfaces this season.
Lay Monfils around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. back Marozsan if he loses set 1.
ATP Monte Carlo
Navone v Berrettini 1.56
Due to start at 1 pm
Berrettini 1-0 (Apr 2024, clay. 3 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Berrettini.
Navone has come through the qual rounds. Q finals in Buenos Aires. 2nd rounds at the Olympics and the French Open.
Berrettini lost in the 1st round last season. Title in Kitzbuhel. Title in Gstaad.
Berrettini has the better ROI on clay.
12 month clay stats are stronger for Berrettini.
Back Berrettini around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
6th April
Predictions:
ATP Bucharest
Baez in 3 sets
ATP Houston
Tiafoe in 3 sets
ATP Marrakech
Griekspoor in 3 sets
WTA Charleston
Kenin in 3 sets
WTA Bogota
Osorio in 3 sets
WTA Bogota
Kawa v Osorio 1.23
Due to start at 6 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Osorio.
Kawa has come through the qual rounds. Easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Pigossi in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Bouzkova in the q final as underdog. 2 sets win over Pareja in the semis. ITF q final in March. CH final and q final in Dec. CH q final in July.
Osorio won the title last season. Very easy win in the 1st round. needed 3 sets as 1.13 favourite in the 2nd round. Easy win over Maria in the q final. 2 tight sets win over Riera in the semis. CH q final in Nov. 3rd round of the Olympics. 2nd rounds in Rabat and Rome. CH semi in May.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kawa. Osorio has home advantage. Stats for the tournament are better for Osorio.
Lay Osorio around 1.15 and remove liability at 1.30. Back Osorio around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
WTA Charleston
Pegula 1.74 v Kenin
Due to start at 7:30 pm
Pegula 3-2. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Pegula in 2. Kenin won on clay in 2021, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are a little better for Pegula.
Pegula reached the semis last year. Also semis in 2023. She had only played 2 clay matches in the last 12 months. Easy win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tomljanovic in the 3rd round. She needed 3 sets against Collins in the q final. 3 sets win over Alexandrova in the semi final.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Pera in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Bencic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kasatkina as underdog in the 3rd round. She beat Kalinskaya in 2 sets in the q final. In the semi final, Anisimova retired before the end of the 1st set. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
12 month WTA stats are better for Kenin on serve. Return stats are much stronger for Pegula. Very good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Pegula around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Lay set 1 winner.
5th April
WTA Charleston
Pegula 1.50 v Alexandrova
Due to start at 6 pm
Alexandrova 2-1. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, Alexandrova in 3. She won on hard in March 2024, 3 sets. Pegula won on clay in 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Pegula.
Pegula reached the semis last year. Also semis in 2023. She had only played 2 clay matches in the last 12 months. Easy win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tomljanovic in the 3rd round. She needed 3 sets against Collins in the q final.
Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Li in the 2nd round. She beat Shnaider easily in the 3rd round. In the q final, Zheng was troubled by an injury to her right arm and Alexandrova won in 2 sets. 2nd round in Strasbourg. She has a poor record on clay. The faster green clay may help her.
12 month WTA clay stats are a little better for Alexandrova on serve, despite a weaker win %. She has served really well this week and even though Zheng was injured in the q final, Alexandrova gave very little away on serve.
Pegula made a really slow start against Collins in the last round. By the time they reached the 3rd set, Collins had nothing left.
Very good chance of 3 sets. Lay Pegula around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Charleston
Anisimova 1.56 v Kenin
Due to start at 7:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Nov 2017, hard, Kenin in 2. Anisimova won on clay in 2017, 2 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Kenin.
Anisimova reached the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Kudermetova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Putintseva in the 3rd round. 2 tight sets win over Navarro in the q final. 2nd round of the French Open.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Pera in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Bencic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kasatkina as underdog in the 3rd round. She beat Kalinskaya in 2 sets in the q final. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Anisimova struggled on serve in the 2nd set of her match with Navarro. There were 10 breaks of serve in the 12 games.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kenin.
Lay Anisimova around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.
4th April
ATP Marrakech
Darderi 1.63 v Kopriva
Due to start at 1:30 pm
Kopriva 3-1. Most recent March 2025, clay, Kopriva in 3rd set tie break. Darderi won on clay in Oct 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are a little better for Darderi.
Darderi had a 2 sets win over Boyer in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Gaston in the 2nd round. He reached a CH final last week. Q finals in Hamburg. CH title in June. Semis in Lyon. 3rd round in Rome. Semis in Houston.
Kopriva had a 3 sets win as slight favourite in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Sonego in the 2nd round as underdog. He won a CH title last week. CH title in Nov. CH title in Sep.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Darderi on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
back Darderi around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Charleston
Kenin 1.93 v Kalinskaya
Due to start at 7 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Kenin.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Pera in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Bencic in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kasatkina as underdog in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Kalinskaya had an easy win over McNally in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Keys in the 3rd round. She reached the 2nd round of the French Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kenin on serve.
Lay Kalinskaya around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
3rd April
ATP Marrakech
Kopriva v Sonego 1.67
Due to start at 4:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Kopriva.
Kopriva had a 3 sets win as slight favourite in the 1st round. won a CH title last week. CH title in Nov. CH title in Sep.
Gojo reached a CH semi in May.
Sonego reached the q finals last season. Q finals in Umag. 3rd round in Monte Carlo as lucky loser.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Sonego on serve. Return stats are much better for Kopriva. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Sonego around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Charleston
Ostapenko v Collins 1.59
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Ostapenko 2-1. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Collins in 3. Ostapenko won on hard in Feb 2023, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Collins.
Ostapenko had a 2 sets win in the 2nd round over Chirico. She reached the q finals in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
Collins won the title last season. Easy win over Montgomery in the 2nd round. Q finals of the Olympics. Final in Strasbourg. Semis in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
Ostapenko twice gave away a break lead in her opening set with Chirico.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Collins on serve.
Back Collins around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Lay set 1 winner.
2nd April
WTA Charleston
Kenin v Bencic 1.54
Due to start at 7 pm
Kenin 1-0 (June 2019, grass, 3 sets). Long term clay win %'s are better for Bencic.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Pera in the 1st round. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Bencic reached the final in 2023 and won the title in 2022. She has not played on clay since May 2023.
Bencic has been in strong form this season and clearly likes conditions in Charleston.
Back Bencic around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Charleston
Zheng 1.37 v Sakkari
Due to start at 11 pm
Sakkari 2-1. Most recent Oct 2023, hard, Zheng in 2. Sakkari won on hard in 2023, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Zheng.
Zheng won the gold at the Olympics. Title in Palermo. 3rd round of the French Open. Q finals in Rome.
Sakkari reached the semis last year. Easy win in the 1st round. 3rd round at the Olympics. 4th round in Rome. 4th round in Madrid.
12 month WTA clay stats are stronger for Zheng. Recent performances have been better for Zheng.
Back Zheng around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
1st April
WTA Charleston
Li 1.81 v Blinkova
Due to start at 5:30 pm
Blinkova 3-0. Most recent Oct 2024, indoors, 3rd set tie break. She won twice on hard in 2023, 2 sets each time. Clay win %'s are better for Li.
Li lost in the qual rounds last year. Q finals in Palermo. CH final in July. CH title in June.
Blinkova reached the 2nd round of the French Open. 2nd round in Rome.
Recent performances on hard are stronger for Blinkova.
12 month WTA clay stats are stronger for Li. 12 month hard stats also favour Li.
Lay Li around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Bogota
Arango 1.61 v Stefanini
Due to start at 8 pm
Arango 3-2. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Stefanini in 3. Arango won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets.
Arango lost in the 1st round last year. 3 CH 2nd rounds in Nov. CH final in Nov. CH q final in July. 2nd round in Madrid.
Stefanini lost in the 1st round last season. 2nd round in Rome. She does not play many clay tournaments.
12 month WTA stats favour Arango on serve although they have not played many WTA matches. CH stats also favour her.
Back Arango around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
31st March
WTA Charleston
Dart v Gracheva 1.43
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Gracheva.
Dart doesn't have a good record on clay. A CH 2nd round in April was her best result..
Gracheva reached the 2nd round last season as qualifier. 4th round of the French Open. CH semi in May. 2nd rounds in Rome and Rouen.
12 month WTA stats are much stronger for Gracheva.
Back Gracheva around 1.75 to 1.90 and remove liability at 1.35.
WTA Charleston
Kenin 1.60 v Pera
Due to start at 11 pm
Pera 1-0 (Aug 2022, hard, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Pera.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last year. 3rd round of the French Open. 3rd round in Rome.
Pera reached 2nd rounds at the French Open and in Rome.
12 month WTA clay stats are stronger for Kenin on serve and are stronger for Pera on return.
Back Kenin around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Decent chance of 3 sets.
30th March
Prediction:
ATP Miami
Djokovic in 3 sets
Concepcion Challenger
Kicker v Nava 1.31
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are quite even.
Kicker has come through the qual rounds. Very easy win as underdog in the 1st round. Another very easy win as underdog in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Justo in the q final as favourite. 3 sets win over Soto in the semi final. Most of his matches were in ITF's or CH qual rounds.
Nava had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Bueno in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Da Silva as favourite in the q final. 2 sets win as strong favourite in the semis. CH title and semi in March. CH semi in Jan. CH semi in Sep.
12 and 3 month CH stats favour Nava on serve. Kicker leads on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Nava around 1.90 to 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50.
ATP Miami
Mensik v Djokovic 1.27
Due to start at 8 pm
Djokovic 1-0 (Oct 2024, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are stronger for Djokovic.
Mensik lost in the qual rounds last season. 3 sets win over Agut in the 1st round. 2 tie breaks win over Draper in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Safiullin in the 3rd round. Walkover in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Fils in the q final. 3rd set tie break win over Fritz in the semi final. 2nd round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Auckland and Brisbane. Q finals in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
Djokovic had a 2 sets win over Hijikata in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Carabelli in the 3rd round. Easy win over Musetti in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Korda in the q final. He faced just 1 bp which was converted. 2 sets win over Dimitrov in the semi final. He reached the semis at the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane. Final in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Djokovic. Both have served extremely well in the tournament. Return stats are stronger for Djokovic.
Lay Djokovic around 1.15 to 1.20 and remove liability at 1.35. Back Djokovic around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
29th March
Prediction:
WTA Miami Final
Sabalenka in 2 sets
Concepcion Challenger
Kicker v Soto 1.95
Due to start at 2 pm
Kicker 2-1. Most recent March 2025, clay, Soto, 2 sets. Kicker won on clay in 2023, 2 sets. Kicker won on clay in 2021, 2 sets. Clay win %'s are even.
Kicker has come through the qual rounds. Very easy win as underdog in the 1st round. Another very easy win as underdog in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Justo in the q final as favourite. Most of his matches were in ITF's or CH qual rounds.
Soto lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win in the 1st round. 3 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Burruchaga as underdog in the q final. ITF finals in Dec and Nov. ITF title and semi in Nov. ITF title and final in Aug.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Soto on serve. 3 month stats are more even. Slight edge to Kicker overall.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Soto around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Miami
Sabalenka 1.34 v Pegula
Due to start at 7 pm
Sabalenka 6-2. Most recent Sep 2024, hard, Sabalenka in 2. She won on hard in Aug 2024, 2 sets. Pegula won on hard in Oct 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win in the 2nd round over Tomova. In the 3rd round, Ruse retired after the first set. 2 sets win over Collins in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Zheng in the q final. Easy win over Paolini in the semi final. Final in Indian Wells. Final of the Aus Open. Titles in Brisbane and Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Q finals in Toronto and semis in Washington.
Pegula reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Pera in the 2nd round. She needed a 3rd set tie break to beat Kalinskaya in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kostyuk in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Raducanu in the q final. 3 sets win over Eala in the semi final. 4th round in Indian Wells. Title in Austin. Q finals in Doha. 3rd round at the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Sabalenka.
Back Sabalenka around 1.80 to 1.90 and remove liability at 1.45.
28th March
Predictions:
ATP Miami Semi Finals
Djokovic in 3 sets
Fritz in 3 sets
ATP Miami
Djokovic 1.28 v Dimitrov
Due to start at 7 pm
Djokovic 12-1. Most recent Nov 2023, indoors, Djokovic in 2. He won their last 10 matches. Straight sets win in Jan 2023 on hard. Dimitrov won on clay in 2013, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Djokovic.
Djokovic had a 2 sets win over Hijikata in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Carabelli in the 3rd round. Easy win over Musetti in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Korda in the q final. He faced just 1 bp which was converted. He reached the semis at the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane. Final in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
Dimitrov reached the final last year. 2 sets win over Cina in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Khachanov in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kawashima in the 4th round. 3rd set tie break win over Cerundolo in the q final. 4th round in Indian Wells. Semis in Brisbane. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals of the US Open.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Djokovic.
Lay Djokovic around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.40. Back Djokovic around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
ATP Miami
Mensik v Fritz 1.45
Due to start at 11 pm
Fritz 1-0 (Sep 2023, hard, straight sets). Hard win %'s are better for Fritz.
Mensik lost in the qual rounds last season. 3 sets win over Agut in the 1st round. 2 tie breaks win over Draper in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Safiullin in the 3rd round. Walkover in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Fils in the q final. 2nd round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Auckland and Brisbane. Q finals in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
Fritz lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sonego in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Shapovalov in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Walton in the 4th round. 3 tight sets win over Berrettini in the q final. 4th round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Semis in Shanghai. Final of the US Open.
12 month stats favour Fritz on serve and Mensik on return. 3 month stats favour Fritz.
Back Fritz above 2.10 or if he loses set 1.
27th March
ATP Miami
Korda v Djokovic 1.27
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Djokovic 1-0 (Jan 2023, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are a little better for Djokovic.
Korda reached the 3rd round last year. 2 sets win in the 2nd round as strong favourite. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas as underdog in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Monfils in the 4th round. Final in Adelaide. Semis in Montreal. Title in Washington.
Djokovic had a 2 sets win over Hijikata in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Carabelli in the 3rd round. Easy win over Musetti in the 4th round. He reached the semis at the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane. Final in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Djokovic. Korda has performed strongly in the tournament and will be competitive.
Lay Djokovic around 1.15 and remove liability at 1.35. Back Djokovic around 1.80 to 1.90 and remove liability at 1.45.
ATP Miami
Fritz 1.58 v Berrettini
Due to start at 11 pm
Fritz 4-0. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, straight sets. He won on hard in 2023, 2 tie breaks. 2 sets win on hard in 2021. Hard win %'s are better for Fritz.
Fritz lost in the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sonego in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Shapovalov in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Walton in the 4th round. 4th round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Semis in Shanghai. Final of the US Open.
Berrettini lost in the 1st round last year. He needed 3 sets against Gaston in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Bergs in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over De Minaur as underdog. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Dubai and Doha.
12 and 3 month hard stats are stronger for Fritz. Good chance of 3 sets and tie breaks.
Back Fritz around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
26th March
ATP Miami
Cerundolo v Dimitrov 1.79
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Dimitrov 1-0 (June 2023, grass, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Dimitrov.
Cerundolo reached the 3rd round last year. Very easy win over Muller in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Paul as underdog in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Ruud in the 4th round. Q finals in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open.
Dimitrov reached the final last year. 2 sets win over Cina in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Khachanov in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kawashima in the 4th round. 4th round in Indian Wells. Semis in Brisbane. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals of the US Open.
12 and 3 month stats favour Dimitrov on serve and favour Cerundolo on return. Very good chance of 3 sets. Recent performances are better for Cerundolo.
Lay Dimitrov around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Miami
Raducanu v Pegula 1.53
Due to start at 11 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent June 2024, grass, Raducanu in 3. Pegula won on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Raducanu had an easy win in the 1st round. She beat Navarro in a 3rd set tie break. In the 3rd round, Kessler retired in set 2. Fairly easy win over Potapova in the 4th round. She reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Seoul. Q finals in Washington.
Pegula reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Pera in the 2nd round. She needed a 3rd set tie break to beat Kalinskaya in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kostyuk in the 4th round. 4th round in Indian Wells. Title in Austin. Q finals in Doha. 3rd round at the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Pegula on serve.
Raducanu has served well this tournament though is another player who got some help from opponents.
Lay Pegula around 1.30 and remove liability around 1.60. Back Pegula around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
25th March
WTA Miami
Linette v Paolini 1.71
Due to start at 6 pm
Linette 2-1. Most recent Sep 2024, hard, Linette in 2. Paolini won on clay in July 2024, 2 sets. Linette won on grass in 2023, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Paolini.
Linette lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Pavlyuchenkova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Fruhvirtova in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Gauff in the 4th round. 3rd round in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. Q finals in Wuhan. 4th round in Beijing.
Paolini reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Sramkova in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round, Jabeur retired in set 1. 3 sets win over Osaka in the 4th round. 4th round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Wuhan. 4th round of the US Open.
12 month stats favour Paolini overall. 3 month stats are pretty even on serve and favour Paolini on return.
Gauff was poor in the last round and hit 12 d faults.
Back Paolini around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Miami
De Minaur 1.68 v Berrettini
Due to start at 6 pm
H2H 2-2. Most recent July 2023, grass, Berrettini in straight sets. De Minaur won on hard in Jan 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for De Minaur.
De Minaur reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Bu in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Fonseca in the 3rd round. 4th round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Doha. Q finals of the Aus Open. Q finals of the US Open.
Berrettini lost in the 1st round last year. He needed 3 sets against Gaston in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Bergs in the 3rd round. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Dubai and Doha.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Berrettini on serve and favour De Minaur on return.
Back De Minaur around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
24th March
WTA Miami
Zheng 1.84 v Krueger
Due to start at 5 pm
Zheng 1-0 (Jan 2024, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Zheng.
Zheng reached the 3rd round last year. 2 sets win over Davis in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Townsend in the 2nd round. Q finals in Indian Wells. Title in Tokyo. Final in Wuhan. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open.
Krueger lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Zarazua in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Rybakina in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Fernandez in the 3rd round. 2nd round in Indian Wells. Final in Abu Dhabi. Q finals in Adelaide. Q finals in Brisbane. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Zheng. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Krueger around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
WTA Miami
Raducanu v Anisimova 1.61
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Raducanu 1-0 (Jan 2025, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Raducanu had an easy win in the 1st round. She beat Navarro in a 3rd set tie break. In the 3rd round, Kessler retired in set 2. She reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Seoul. Q finals in Washington.
Anisimova had an easy win over Sherif in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Andreeva in the 3rd round as huge underdog. She won the title in Doha. Q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
3 month stats are stronger for Anisimova. She has the better ROI on hard.
Back Anisimova around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
23rd March
WTA Miami
Tauson v Badosa 1.84
Due to start at 3 pm
Badosa 2-1. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Badosa in 2. She won on hard in Feb 2022, 2 sets. Tauson won indoors in 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Tauson.
Tauson reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. 2 sets win over Grabher in the 2nd round. Final in Dubai. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Title in Auckland. Q finals in Osaka.
Badosa reached the 2nd round last season. She needed a 3rd set tie break against Mboko in the 2nd round. She retired from Merida in Feb. 3rd round in Dubai. Semis of the Aus Open. Semis in Ningbo. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Badosa. 3 month stats are very even on serve and favour Badosa on return.
Badosa struggled in the last round. Tauson was also not as sharp as she has been in recent months.
Lay Badosa around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Miami
Raducanu 1.66 v Kessler
Due to start at 8:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kessler.
Raducanu had an easy win in the 1st round. She beat Navarro in a 3rd set tie break. She reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Seoul. Q finals in Washington.
Kessler lost in the qual rounds last year. 3 sets win over Bouzkova in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Noskova in the 2nd round. Final in Austin. 3rd round in Dubai. Title in Hobart. Title in Cleveland.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Kessler.
Raducanu served very well in the 1st and 3rd sets in the last round. She took an MTO in set 2 for what looked like a blisters issue.
Kessler was poor in the 1st set of her last match but had an MTO for a lower back issue and played much better after that.
Lay Raducanu around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
22nd March
ATP Miami
Thompson 1.85 v Perricard
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Thompson 2-0. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets. He won on grass in June 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Thompson lost in the 2nd round last year. 3 sets win over Giron in the 1st round. 2nd round at the Aus Open. Q final in Brisbane. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Final in Atlanta.
Perricard reached the semis in Brisbane. 2 CH titles in April.
3 month stats are stronger for Perricard on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Perricard around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
WTA Miami
Linette 1.65 v Fruhvirtova
Due to start at 6 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Sep 2022, hard, Fruhvirtova in 3. Linette won on hard in 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Linette.
Linette lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Pavlyuchenkova in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova in the 2nd round. 3rd round in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. Q finals in Wuhan. 4th round in Beijing.
Fruhvirtova lost in the 1st round last season. She has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Liu in the 1st round as underdog. Easy win over Haddad Maia in the 2nd round. ITF semi in Jan. 2 ITF q finals in July.
12 and 3 month stats favour Fruhvirtova overall. recent performances are better for Linette.
Back Linette around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.
21st March
WTA Miami
Navarro 1.59 v Raducanu
Due to start at 4:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Navarro.
Navarro reached the 4th round last year. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Title in Merida. Q finals at the Aus Open. Semis of the US Open. Semis in Monterrey. Semis in Toronto.
Raducanu had an easy win in the 1st round. She reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Seoul. Q finals in Washington.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Navarro.
Back Navarro around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Miami
Bencic 1.77 v Svitolina
Due to start at 7:30 pm
H2H 2-2. Most recent Nov 2019, indoors, Bencic retired. Svitolina won on hard in Aug 2019, 2 sets. Bencic won on hard in Feb 2019, 3rd set tie break. Hard win %'s are better for Bencic.
Bencic had a 3 sets win over Yastremska in the 1st round. She reached the q finals in Indian Wells. Title in Abu Dhabi. 4th round of the Aus Open.
Svitolina lost in the 2nd round last season. Q finals in Indian Wells. Q finals at the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Svitolina on serve. Bencic leads on return. Bencic has the better ROI on hard.
Very good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Bencic around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
20th March
WTA Miami
Fernandez 1.59 v Parks
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Parks 1-0 (Jan 2024, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are quite even.
Fernandez reached the 3rd round last year. 3rd round in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Semis in Hong Kong. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round in Wuhan. Q finals in Cinci.
Parks lost in the qual rounds last season. 3 sets win over Gracheva in the 1st round. 2nd round in Indian Wells. Semis in Auckland. CH title in July.
12 month stats are stronger for Fernandez. 3 month stats are much closer with a slight edge to Parks.
Lay Fernandez around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.80. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Miami
Jabeur 1.77 v Siniakova
Due to start at 6 pm
Siniakova 5-2. Most recent March 2021, hard, Jabeur in 2. She won on hard in Feb 2020, 2 sets. Siniakova won on grass in 2018, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2017 and in 2014, 2 sets each time. Hard win %'s are even.
Jabeur lost in the 2nd round last year. Q finals in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
Siniakova reached the 2nd round last season. 3rd set tie break win over Yuan in the 1st round. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Semis in Guangzhou. Semis in Cleveland.
12 month stats favour Jabeur on serve and Siniakova on return. Recent performances are better for Siniakova.
Lay Jabeur around 1.50 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
19th March
WTA Miami
Kessler 1.45 v Bouzkova
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Bouzkova 1-0 (July 2024, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Kessler.
Kessler lost in the qual rounds last year. Final in Austin. 3rd round in Dubai. Title in Hobart. Title in Cleveland.
Bouzkova lost in the 1st round last season. Q final in Brisbane. Semis in Jiujiang. Q finals in Guadalajara. Final in Washington.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Kessler. She has a much better ROI on hard.
Back Kessler around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Miami
Lamens v Uchijima 1.74
Due to start at 6 pm
Lamens 1-0 (March 2024, indoors, 2 sets). 12 month hard win %'s are better for Lamens.
Lamens reached the 2nd round in Indian Wells. 3rd round in Brisbane. Title in Osaka.
Uchijima reached the 2nd round in Indian Wells. 4 other WTA 2nd rounds on hard in the last year.
12 month stats favour Lamens. 3 month stats favour Uchijima.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Uchijima around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
18th March
WTA Miami
Cirstea 1.51 v Cocciaretto
Due to start at 4:30 pm
Cirstea 1-0 (Dec 2020, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Cirstea.
Cirstea reached the 4th round last year. Q finals in Austin. Q finals in Dubai.
Cocciaretto lost in the 1st round last season. 2nd round in Indian Wells. She reached 6 WTA 2nd rounds on hard in 2024. She won a CH title in March 2024.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Cirstea.
Back Cirstea around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Miami
Kvitova v Kenin 1.41
Due to start at 6 pm
Kvitova 2-1. Most recent Oct 2020, clay, Kenin in 2. Kvitova won on clay in May 2019, 2 sets. Kvitova won on hard in March 2018, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Kenin.
Kvitova missed the entire 2024 season. She has played just 2 games in 2025. She took both to 3 sets.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last season. Q finals in Dubai. 3rd round in Doha. Q finals in Hobart. Q finals in Hong Kong. Final in Tokyo.
Back Kenin around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50.
17th March
We have Challengers today as Miami starts on Tuesday 18th March.
Murcia Challenger
Ruiz v Nagal 1.54
Due to start at 2:30 pm
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are quite even.
Ruiz reached the semis last year. Q finals in Estoril in April.
Nagal reached 2nd rounds in Kitzbuhel and Bastad. CH title and final in June. 2nd rounds in Monte Carlo and Marrakech in April.
12 month CH stats are better for Nagal overall. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Nagal around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
I favour Nagal to win.
Asuncion Challenger
Vallejo 1.46 v Taverna
Due to start at 10 pm
Vallejo 1-0 (Feb 2025, clay, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are a little better for Vallejo.
Vallejo reached the 2nd round last year. ITF title in Feb. CH final in Jan. CH final in Sep. Ch semi in July.
Taverna reached an ITF q final in March. ITF semi and 2 q finals in Feb. CH q final in Jan. CH semi in Nov. CH final and semi in Aug.
12 month CH stats favour Taverna on serve and Vallejo on return. 3 month CH stats favour Vallejo.
Back Vallejo around 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.
16th March
Predictions:
ATP Indian Wells
Draper in 3 sets
WTA Indian Wells
Sabalenka in 3 sets
WTA Indian Wells
Sabalenka 1.55 v Andreeva
Due to start at 6 pm
Sabalenka 4-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Sabalenka in 2. She won on hard in Jan 2025, 2 sets. Andreeva won on clay in June 2024, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Kessler in the 2nd round. Easy win over Bronzetti in the 3rd round. Easy win over Kartal in the 4th round. Easy win over Samsonova in the q final. She lost 1 game against Keys in the semi final. Final of the Aus Open. Titles in Brisbane and Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Semis in Washington.
Andreeva lost in the 1st round last season. 2 tight sets win over Gracheva in the 2nd round. Easy win over Tauson in the 3rd round. Very easy win in the 4th round over Rybakina. 2 sets win over Svitolina in the q final. 3 sets win over Swiatek in the semi final. Title in Dubai. 4th round of the Aus Open. Semis in Brisbane. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci.
12 and 3 month stats favour Sabalenka. Stats for the tournament also favour her.
A slight drop in Sabalenka's level will be enough for Andreeva to keep this really tight.
Back Sabalenka around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Indian Wells
Rune v Draper 1.62
Due to start at 9 pm
Rune 1-0 (Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Draper.
Rune reached the q finals last year. 2 sets win over Moutet in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Humbert in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas as underdog in the 4th round. In the q final, Rune didn't have a good opening set but lost 3 games in the next 2 sets. Straight sets win over Medvedev in the semi final. 4th round of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Draper lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Fonseca in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Brooksby in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Fritz in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Shelton in the q final. 3 sets win over Alcaraz in the semis. Final in Dubai. 4th round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Tokyo. Semis at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Draper. He has the better ROI on hard. Stats for the tournament are fairly even. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Draper around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
15th March
Predictions:
ATP Indian Wells
Medvedev in 3 sets
Alcaraz in 3 sets
ATP Indian Wells
Rune v Medvedev 1.60
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Medvedev 2-1. Most recent March 2024, hard, Medvedev in 2. He won on clay in 2023, 2 sets. Rune won on clay in Apr 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Medvedev.
Rune reached the q finals last year. 2 sets win over Moutet in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Humbert in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Tsitsipas as underdog in the 4th round. In the q final, Rune didn't have a good opening set but lost 3 games in the next 2 sets. 4th round of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Medvedev reached the final last season. Easy win over Bu in the 2nd round. In the 3rd round, Michelsen retired after 2 games. 2 sets win over Tommy Paul in the 4th round. Medvedev made hard work of his q final with Fils and needed a 3rd set tie break. Q finals in Dubai and Doha. Q finals in Shanghai. Semis in Beijing. Q finals at the US Open. Semis in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats favour Medvedev. Rune will be competitive.
Back Medvedev around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Indian Wells
Draper v Alcaraz 1.36
Due to start at 10 pm
Alcaraz 3-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Draper retired. Draper won on grass in June 2024, 2 sets. Alcaraz won on hard in March 2023, Draper retired. Hard win %'s are slightly better for Alcaraz.
Draper lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Fonseca in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Brooksby in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Fritz in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Shelton in the q final. Final in Dubai. 4th round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Tokyo. Semis at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci.
Alcaraz won the title last season. Easy win over Halys in the 2nd round. Easy win over Shapovalov in the 3rd round. Very easy win over Dimitrov in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Cerundolo in the q final. Q finals in Doha. Q finals of the Aus Open. Q finals in Shanghai. Title in Beijing. Q finals in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Alcaraz. Stats for the tournament favour him overall. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Alcaraz around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Lay set 1 winner.
14th March
Predictions:
WTA Indian Wells
Swiatek in 3 sets
Sabalenka in 3 sets
WTA Indian Wells
Andreeva v Swiatek 1.66
Due to start at 11 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, Andreeva in 2. Swiatek won on hard in Aug 2024, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Swiatek.
Andreeva lost in the 1st round last season. 2 tight sets win over Gracheva in the 2nd round. Easy win over Tauson in the 3rd round. Very easy win in the 4th round over Rybakina. 2 sets win over Svitolina in the q final. Title in Dubai. 4th round of the Aus Open. Semis in Brisbane. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci.
Swiatek won the title last season. Easy win over Garcia in the 2nd round. Easy win over Yastremska in the 3rd round. Very easy win over Muchova in the 4th round. 2 sets win over Zheng in the q final. Q finals in Dubai. Semis in Doha. Semis of the Aus Open. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci and 4th round in Miami.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Swiatek. 3 month stats re much closer on serve but favour Swiatek on return. ROI's are much better for Andreeva, although you'd expect that with Swiatek starting 90% of matches below 1.15.
Back Swiatek around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
In the last round, Swiatek was vulnerable when a double break up or when serving for a set.
WTA Indian Wells
Sabalenka 1.55 v Keys
Due to start at 1 am
Sabalenka 4-2. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Keys in 3. Sabalenka won on hard in Oct 2024, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2023, 3rd set tie break. 12 month hard win %'s are a little better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Kessler in the 2nd round. Easy win over Bronzetti in the 3rd round. Easy win over Kartal in the 4th round. Easy win over Samsonova in the q final. Final of the Aus Open. Titles in Brisbane and Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Semis in Washington.
Keys reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Potapova in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Mertens in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Vekic in the 4th round. Very easy win over a poor Bencic in the q final. Title at the Aus Open. Title in Adelaide. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Sabalenka. 3 month stats are quite even on serve and favour Sabalenka on return. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Sabalenka has not lost a set. keys came close to losing to Vekic and needed 3 sets against Mertens.
Lay Sabalenka if she gets an early break of serve. remove liability if keys then has a bp. back Sabalenka around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
13th March
WTA Indian Wells
Bencic v Keys 1.77
Due to start at 9:30 pm
H2H 2-2. Most recent Apr 2022, clay, Bencic in 2. Keys won on hard in March 2021, 2 sets. Bencic won on grass in 2015, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %'s are quite even.
Bencic had an easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Anisimova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Shnaider in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Gauff in the 4th round. She won the title in Abu Dhabi. 4th round of the Aus Open.
Keys reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Potapova in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Mertens in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Vekic in the 4th round. Title at the Aus Open. Title in Adelaide. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Keys on serve. Very good chance of 3 sets. Stats for the tournament are very close but favour Bencic.
Lay Keys around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Indian Wells
Shelton v Draper 1.68
Due to start at midnight
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Draper.
Shelton reached the 4th round last season. Easy win over Navone in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Khachanov in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Nakashima in the 4th round. Semis of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci and semis in Washington.
Draper lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Fonseca in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Brooksby in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over fritz in the 4th round. Final in Dubai. 4th round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Tokyo. Semis at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci.
12 month stats are a little better for Shelton on serve and strongly favour Draper on return. 3 month stats favour Draper overall.
Back Draper around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Chance of 3 sets.
12th March
ATP Indian Wells
Nakashima v Shelton 1.66
Due to start at 6 pm
Shelton 3-0. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, straight sets. He won on hard in Aug 2024, 2 tie breaks. He won on clay in Apr 2024, 2 tight sets. All 7 of their sets were either 7-6 or 7-5. Hard win %'s are a little better for Shelton.
Nakashima reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Hijikata in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Arnaldi in the 3rd round. Semis in Acapulco. Q finals in Delray Beach. Semis in Hangzhou. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Shelton reached the 4th round last season. Easy win over Navone in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Khachanov in the 3rd round. Semis of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci and semis in Washington.
12 and 3 month stats are quite even.
Back Shelton around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Indian Wells
Vekic v Keys 1.39
Due to start at 7:30 pm
Keys 2-1. Most recent Aug 2019, hard, Vekic in 3rd set tie break. Keys won on clay in 2018 and 2016. Hard win %'s are better for Keys.
Vekic lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Avanesyan as slight underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Navarro in the 3rd round. 4th round of the Aus Open. 4th round of the US Open.
Keys reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Potapova in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Mertens in the 3rd round. Title at the Aus Open. Title in Adelaide. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Keys.
Back Keys around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
11th March
WTA Indian Wells
Svitolina v Pegula 1.57
Due to start at 8 pm
Pegula 5-2. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, Pegula in 2. Svitolina won on clay in July 2024, 3 sets. Pegula won on hard twice in 2023, 3 sets each time. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Svitolina reached the 3rd round last season. 3 sets win over Krueger in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Collins in the 3rd round. Q finals of the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci.
Pegula lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Linette in the 2nd round. Easy win over Wang in the 3rd round. Title in Austin. Q finals in Doha. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Pegula. 3 month stats favour her overall. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Pegula around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Indian Wells
Giron v Fils 1.68
Due to start at 9:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Fils. Hard win %'s are a little better for Fils.
Giron lost in the 1st round last year. 2 sets win over Basilashvili in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Ruud in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Popyrin in the 3rd round. Q finals in Acapulco. 3rd round of the Aus Open. 3rd round in Shanghai.
Fils reached the 3rd round last year. Easy win over Diallo in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Musetti in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Title in Tokyo.
12 and 3 month stats favour Giron overall. The slower courts favour Fils. Very good chance of 3 sets. Stats for the tournament favour Fils overall.
Back Fils around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
10th March
WTA Indian Wells
Kudermetova v Kartal 1.67
Due to start at 7:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kartal.
Kudermetova beat Liu in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Alexandrova as underdog in the 2nd round. She reached the final in Brisbane. Semis in Merida. Q finals in Seoul.
Kartal lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Lepchenko in the 1st round. Easy win over Haddad Maia in the 2nd round as underdog. Title in Monastir in Sep. 4 ITF titles in 2024.
12 month WTA stats favour Kartal. 3 month stats are quite even. Small edge to Kartal. Kudermetova has the better ROI. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Kartal around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Indian Wells
Khachanov v Shelton 1.80
Due to start at 9 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Shelton.
Khachanov lost in the 2nd round last year. 3 sets win over Mensik in the 2nd round. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Beijing. 4th round in Miami.
Shelton reached the 4th round last season. Easy win over Navone in the 2nd round. Semis of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci and semis in Washington.
12 and 3 month stats favour Shelton on serve. Return stats are better for Khachanov. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Shelton has the better ROI.
Lay Khachanov around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
9th March
WTA Indian Wells
Muchova 1.39 v Siniakova
Due to start at 7:30 pm
Siniakova 1-0 (Feb 2020, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Muchova.
Muchova had a straight sets win over Cocciaretto in the 2nd round. She reached the semis in Dubai. Semis in Ningbo. Final in Beijing. Semis at the US Open.
Siniakova reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win over Carle in the 1st round. Easy win over a poor Putintseva in the 2nd round. Semis in Guangzhou. Semis in Cleveland.
12 month stats are stronger for Muchova. 3 month stats favour her on serve and return stats favour Siniakova.
Back Muchova around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
ATP Indian Wells
Rune v Humbert 1.74
Due to start at 9 pm
Rune 3-0. Most recent Jan 2023, hard, straight sets. He won indoors and on hard in 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Rune reached the q finals last year. 2 sets win over Moutet in the 2nd round. 4th round of the Aus Open. 4th round in Shanghai. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal.
Humbert reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Nishikori in the 2nd round. 4th round of the Aus Open. Final in Tokyo.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Humbert. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Humbert around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.90. Lay set 1 winner.
I am favouring Rune to win a tight match.
8th March
ATP Indian Wells
Rublev 1.41 v Arnaldi
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Rublev 2-1. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Rublev in 2. Arnaldi won on clay in May 2024, straight sets. Hard win %'s are better for Rublev.
Rublev reached the 3rd round last year. Title in Doha. Q finals in Beijing. 4th round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Final in Montreal. Q finals in Washington.
Arnaldi reached the 2nd round last year. 3 sets win as favourite in the 1st round. Semis of Delray Beach. 3rd round at the US Open. Semis in Montreal. 4th round in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Rublev.
Back Rublev around 1.90 to 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50.
WTA Indian Wells
Anisimova v Bencic 1.68
Due to start at 10:30 pm
Anisimova 2-1. Most recent May 2022, clay, Anisimova in 2. She won on hard in Jan 2022, 2 sets. Bencic won on grass in June 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Bencic.
Anisimova won the title in Doha. Q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
Bencic had an easy win in the 1st round. She won the title in Abu Dhabi. 4th round of the Aus Open.
12 and 3 month stats are better for Bencic. very good chance of 3 sets. Anisimova has the better ROI on hard.
Back Bencic around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
7th March
WTA Indian Wells
Siniakova v Putintseva 1.71
Due to start at 8:30 pm
Siniakova 1-1. Most recent July 2024, grass, Putintseva in 3. Siniakova won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Putintseva.
Siniakova reached the 2nd round last season. Semis in Guangzhou. Semis in Cleveland.
Putintseva reached the 4th round last season. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Semis in Adelaide. Q finals in Ningbo. 3rd round in Wuhan. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Miami.
12 and 3 month stats favour Putintseva on serve.
Back Putintseva around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.
ATP Indian Wells
Safiullin 1.85 v Musetti
Due to start at 10:30 pm
Safiullin 2-1. Most recent March 2024, hard, Musetti in 2. Safiullin won on hard in Sep 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Musetti.
Safiullin reached the 2nd round last year. 4th round in Shanghai. 2nd round in Miami.
Musetti reached the 3rd round last season. 3rd round at the Aus Open. Final in Chengdu. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 month stats favour Musetti on serve. Return stats are quite even with a slight lead for Safiullin. 3 month stats strongly favour Musetti.
Lay Safiullin around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95.
6th March
ATP Indian Wells
Shevchenko 1.76 v Hijikata
Due to start at 7 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Hijikata.
Shevchenko reached the 2nd round last year. 3rd round in Shanghai.
Hijikata lost in the qual rounds last season. Q finals in Adelaide. CH final in Nov. CH title in Oct. Q finals in Hangzhou. Q finals in Winston Salem.
12 and 3 month stats favour Hijikata.
Lay Shevchenko around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95. Good chance of 3 sets.
WTA Indian Wells
Cirstea 2.00 v Joint 2.00
Due to start at 8:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Joint.
Cirstea lost in the 2nd round last year. Q finals in Austin. Q finals in Dubai. 4th round in Miami.
Joint has come through the qual rounds. Q finals in Merida. Semis in Hobart. 2nd round of the US Open.
12 month stats favour Joint. 3 months stats are quite even on serve but strongly favour Joint on return.
Lay Cirstea around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10.
5th March
WTA Indian Wells
Sramkova 1.37 v Sun
Due to start at 7 pm
Sramkova 1-0 (Feb 2025, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Sramkova.
Sramkova reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. Q finals in Merida. 3rd round in Doha. Final in Jiujiang. 3rd round in Beijing. Title in Hua Hin. Final in Monastir.
Sun reached the final in Monterrey.
12 month WTA favour Sramkova overall.
Back Sramkova around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
WTA Indian Wells
Begu v Li 1.71
Due to start at 8:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent July 2024, clay, Begu in 2. Li won on hard in Oct 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Li.
Begu played just 3 hard matches in 2024. She reached the 2nd round in Beijing in Sep.
Li reached the final in Merida in Nov.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Li on serve. Begu started to find better form last month. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Li around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
4th March
Cordoba Challenger
Burruchaga 1.72 v Nava
Due to start at 1 pm
Nava 1-0 (Jan 2025, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are a little better for Burruchaga.
Burruchaga won a CH title in Feb. CH semi in Nov. CH semi and 2 q finals in Oct. CH final in July.
Nava reached a CH semi and q final in Jan. CH q finals in Sep and May.
12 month CH stats are better for Nava on serve. 3 month stats are better for Burruchaga on serve. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Burruchaga around 1.45 and remove liability at 2.00.
Cordoba Challenger
Villanueva v Pucinelli De Almeida 1.63
Due to start at 2:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Nov 2024, clay, Villanueva in 3. Almeida won on clay in Apr 2021. Clay win %'s are a little better for Almeida.
Villanueva has come through the qual rounds. CH q final in Jan. CH semi in June.
Almeida won an ITF title in Nov. CH q final in Oct. 2 CH q finals in June.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Almeida on serve. 12 month CH/ITF stats are stronger for Almeida.
Back Almeida around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
3rd March
Thionville Challenger
Draxl v Kjaer 1.72
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Kjaer 1-0 (Feb 2025, indoor, 3 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Draxl.
Draxl reached 2 CH finals in Jan. CH title in Nov.
Kjaer won a CH title in Feb. ITF title in Jan.
12 month indoor stats favour Kjaer on serve. He las less indoor experience but recent performances favour him.
Back Kjaer around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
Cordoba Challenger
Bueno v Tiffon 1.58
Due to start at 6 pm
Tiffon 1-0 (June 2023, clay, 2 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Tiffon.
Bueno reached a CH semi and q final in Jan. CH final in Sep. CH title in April and semi in May.
Tiffon reached a CH semi in Nov. ITF title in Nov. ITF title and semis in Oct. ITF title and semi in Aug. ITF title and 2 semis in July.
CH/ITF stats in the last year are stronger for Tiffon though he has played just 1 clay match in 2025.
Lay Tiffon around 1.35 and remove liability at 1.80. Lay set 1 winner.
2nd March
Predictions:
ATP Santiago
Djere in 3 sets
WTA Austin
Pegula in 3 sets
WTA Merida
Navarro in 2 sets
WTA Austin
Pegula 1.34 v Kessler
Due to start at 7:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Pegula came through the 1st round when her opponent retired. Easy win over Parrizas Diaz in the 2nd round. Easy win over Blinkova in the q final. She needed 3 sets against Tomljanovic in the semis. She reached the q finals in Doha. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cincinnati. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami.
Kessler beat Golubic in 2 sets in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Bucsa in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Cirstea in the q final. 2 tight sets win over Minnen in the semi final. She reached the 3rd round in Dubai. Title in Hobart. Q final in Hong Kong. Title in Cleveland.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Pegula.
Back Pegula around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40. Fair chance of 3 sets.
ATP Santiago
Djere v Baez 1.73
Due to start at 10:30 pm
Baez 2-0. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, 2 sets. He won on clay in March 2023, 2 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are even.
Djere beat Buse in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Martinez in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Faria in the q final. 3 sets win over Cerundolo as underdog in the semis. He reached the semis in Buenos Aires this month. CH semis in Aug and Sep. CH semi in June.
Baez won the title last season. 3rd set tie break win over Comesana in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Dzumhur in the q final. 3 sets win over Carabelli in the semi final. Title in Rio last week. 3rd round at the Olympics. Semis in Hamburg. Q finals in Geneva. 4th round in Rome.
12 month ATP stats are better for Djere on serve and strongly favour Baez on return. Same pattern in the last 3 months.
Djere has the better ROI on clay. Stats for the tournament favour Djere on serve. Some value on Djere and this should go to 3 sets.
Lay Baez around 1.45 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
1st March
WTA Austin
Minnen v Kessler 1.56
Due to start at 9 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kessler.
Minnen beat Wei in 3 sets in the 1st round. She lost 1 game to Lamens in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Dolehide in the q final. She reached the 3rd round in Beijing. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Miami.
Kessler beat Golubic in 2 sets in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Bucsa in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Cirstea in the q final. She reached the 3rd round in Dubai. Title in Hobart. Q final in Hong Kong. Title in Cleveland.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Kessler. 3 month stats are more even. Stats for the tournament favour Minnen on serve. Recent performances are better for Kessler. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Kessler around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
ATP Santiago
Baez 1.47 v Carabelli
Due to start at 10:30 pm
Baez 5-2. Most recent Feb 2025, clay, Baez in 3. He won their last 5 matches, all on clay. Clay win %'s are even.
Baez won the title last season. 3rd set tie break win over Comesana in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Dzumhur in the q final. Title in Rio last week. 3rd round at the Olympics. Semis in Hamburg. Q finals in Geneva. 4th round in Rome.
Carabelli lost in the qual rounds last season. 3rd set tie break win over Jarry in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Monteiro as slight underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Coria in the q final. Semis in Rio last week. CH title in Feb. CH semi in Nov. Ch title and semi in Oct. CH finals in June and July.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Baez.
Back Baez around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
28th February
ATP Dubai
Griekspoor v Tsitsipas 1.67
Due to start at 3 pm
Tsitsipas 2-0. Most recent Feb 2025, indoor, 3 sets. He won on hard in straight sets in Jan 2023. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Griekspoor.
Griekspoor lost in 2 tie breaks to Bublik in the 2nd round last year. He had a 3rd set tie break win over Safiullin in the 1st round. 3 sets win over defending champ Humbert in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Medvedev in the q final. 3rd round in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Indian Wells.
Tsitsipas beat Sonego in 2 sets in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Khachanov in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Berrettini in the q final. He reached the 4th round in Shanghai. 4th round in Indian Wells.
12 month and 3 month ATP stats are stronger for Tsitsipas overall. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Tsitsipas around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Austin
Shibahara v Tomljanovic 1.58
Due to start at 6 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Shibahara.
Shibahara has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Juvan in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Birrell as underdog in the 2nd round. 2nd round of the US Open. Her best results are in ITF's.
Tomljanovic had a 2 sets win over Volynets as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Burrage in the 2nd round. She reached the 2nd round of the Aus Open. CH title in Oct 2nd round of the US Open.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Shibahara on serve. ROI's on hard are quite even but favour Shibahara. Recent performances are better for Tomljanovic.
Back Tomljanovic around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
27th February
WTA Austin
Kessler 1.39 v Bucsa
Due to start at 8:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kessler.
Kessler beat Golubic in 2 sets in the 1st round. She reached the 3rd round in Dubai. Title in Hobart. Q final in Hong Kong. Title in Cleveland.
Bucsa has come through the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Pera as underdog in the 1st round. 2nd round in Doha. 2nd round of the Aus Open. 4th round in Beijing.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Kessler on serve.
Back Kessler around 1.90 and remove liability at 1.45.
ATP Santiago
Coria v Tabilo 1.61
Due to start at 11 pm
Tabilo 2-1. Most recent Nov 2023, clay, Tabilo in 3. He won on clay in Feb 2021, 3rd set tie break. Coria won on clay in Oct 2019, 3 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are even.
Coria reached the 2nd round last year. Easy win over Barrios in the 1st round. 3 CH semis in Nov. CH final in Oct. very little ATP success in the last year.
Tabilo reached the final last season. Semis in Rome. Semis in Bucharest.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Tabilo on serve. 3 month stats favour Coria. Tabilo has not found his 2024 form.
Lay Tabilo around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Lay set 1 winner.
26th February
WTA Austin
Maria v Blinkova 1.58
Due to start at 5 pm
Blinkova 2-1. Most recent Oct 2019, indoors, Blinkova in 2. All their matches were indoors. Hard win %'s are even.
Maria beat Bondar in 3 sets in the 1st round. She won an ITF title in Jan. CH q final in Oct. CH final in Sep. CH final in Aug. 2nd round in Indian Wells.
Blinkova had a 3 sets win over Uchijima in the 1st round. She reached 2nd rounds at the Aus Open, Hobart and Brisbane. CH final and semi in Oct. 3rd round in Indian Wells.
12 month stats are quite even. 3 month stats favour Blinkova on serve.
Back Blinkova around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Fair chance of 3 sets.
ATP Santiago
Garin v Etcheverry 1.50
Due to start at 11 pm
Etcheverry 1-0 (Apr 2023, clay, 3 sets). Clay win %'s are better for Etcheverry.
Garin lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win over Ficovich in the 1st round. Semis in Munich in April. Semis in Estoril.
Etcheverry has an easy win over Gaston in the 1st round. He reached the 3rd round of the French Open. Final in Lyon. Semis in Barcelona. Semis in Houston.
12 month ATP stats are better for Garin on serve. 3 month stats favour Etcheverry although it's a small number of matches.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Etcheverry around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
25th February
WTA Merida
Sramkova 1.47 v Sun
Due to start at 9:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Sramkova.
Sramkova reached the 3rd round in Doha. Final in Jiujiang in Nov. 3rd round in Beijing. Title in Hua Hin. Final in Monastir. 2nd round in Indian Wells as qualifier.
Sun reached the final in Monterrey.
12 and 3 month stats are better for Sramkova overall.
Back Sramkova around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
WTA Merida
Linette 1.87 v Cocciaretto
Due to start at 11 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Apr 2024, clay, Linette in 3. Cocciaretto won on hard in 2022, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are pretty even.
Linette reached the 3rd round in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. Q finals in Wuhan. 4th round in Beijing.
Cocciaretto reached the 2nd round of the US Open. CH title in March.
12 and 3 month stats are better for Linette. She has the better ROI on hard.
Lay Cocciaretto around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
24th February
ATP Santiago
Hanfmann v Acosta 1.72
Due to start at 5 pm
Hanfmann 2-1. Most recent Apr 2023, clay, Hanfmann in 2. He won on hard in Jan 2023, 3 sets. Acosta won on clay in Sep 2022, 2 sets. 12 month clay win %'s are a little better for Acosta.
Hanfmann lost in the 1st round last year. Semis in Kitzbuhel. 5 ATP 2nd rounds in the last 12 months.
Acosta reached the 2nd round last season. Semis in Kitzbuhel. Q finals in Barcelona.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Hanfmann on serve. Return stats are close but favour Acosta. 3 month stats are close but favour Acosta.
Back Acosta around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Austin
Tomljanovic v Volynets 1.46
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Tomljanovic 1-0 (Aug 2021, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are even.
Tomljanovic reached the 2nd round of the Aus Open. CH title in Oct 2nd round of the US Open.
Volynets reached the 2nd round last season. Q finals in Auckland. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round in Indian Wells.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Volynets.
Back Volynets around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
23rd February
Prediction:
ATP Rio
Baez in 3 sets
Brazzaville Challenger
Hemery 1.57 v Blancaneaux
Due to start at 2 pm
Hemery 3-0. Most recent Oct 2018, indoor, 2 sets. He won indoors in Feb 2018, 2 sets. He won on clay in June 2017, 3 sets. Clay win %'s are better for Hemery.
Hemery reached the q finals last year. 3 sets win as underdog in the 1st round. Easy wins in the q final and semi final. CH semi in Sep-. CH finals in June and July. CH semi in April.
Blancaneaux has been strong favourite in every round. He lost just 1 set in the q final. 3 CH q finals in 2024.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Hemery on serve. Slight edge for Blancaneaux on return.
Back Hemery around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Rio de Janeiro
Muller v Baez 1.50
Due to start at 8:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are better for Baez.
Muller beat Fonseca in the 1st round. 2 tight sets win over Etcheverry as underdog. 2 sets win over Cerundolo in the q final as underdog. 3 sets win over Comesana in the semi final as favourite. He won a CH title in Aug. CH final in June. 4th round in Rome.
Baez won the title last season. 2 sets win over a lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Navone in the 2nd round as slight underdog. Easy win over Tseng in the q final. 3 sets win over Carabelli in the semi final. CH semi in Feb. 3rd round at the Olympics. Semis in Hamburg. Q finals in Geneva. 4th round in Rome. Title in Santiago.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Baez. Muller has served well this week. he was underdog in 3 of his 4 matches. 6 of his 9 sets were either 7-6 or 7-5. Baez' return game has been stronger this week.
Very good chance of 3 sets. Lay Baez if he gets an early break of serve. Remove liability if Muller then gets a bp. Back Baez around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
22nd February
Predictions:
WTA Dubai
Andreeva in 3 sets
ATP Doha
Draper in 3 sets
ATP Rio
Baez in 3 sets
Comesana in 3 sets
WTA Dubai
Tauson v Andreeva 1.64
Due to start at 3 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Andreeva.
Tauson retired last week. 2 sets win over Sramkova in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Svitolina in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sabalenka in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Noskova in the q final. 3 sets win over Muchova in the semis. 3rd round at the Aus Open. Title in Auckland. Q finals in Osaka.
Andreeva lost in the 1st round last season. Easy win over Avanesyan in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Vondrousova. She then beat Stearns in 2 easy sets in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Swiatek as underdog in the q final. 3 sets win over Rybakina in the semi final. 4th round of the Aus Open. Semis in Brisbane. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci.
12 month stats are a little better for Tauson. Return stats are much better for Andreeva. Same pattern in the last 3 months.
Stats for the tournament are fairly even on serve but strongly favour Andreeva on return.
Both players were a break behind in the third sets in the semi finals. Both have served well. Andreeva has beaten top 10 players in the last 2 rounds. Tauson beat Sabalenka in the 3rd round.
I give Andreeva the edge.
Back Andreeva around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. Tauson has really raised her level in 2025 and will keep it close.
ATP Rio de Janeiro
Baez 1.44 v Carabelli
Due to start at 8 pm
Baez 4-2. Most recent Feb 2025, clay, Baez in 2. All their matches were on clay. He won their last 4. Clay win %'s are quite even.
Baez won the title last season. 2 sets win over a lucky loser in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Navone in the 2nd round as slight underdog. Easy win over Tseng in the q final. CH semi in Feb. 3rd round at the Olympics. Semis in Hamburg. Q finals in Geneva. 4th round in Rome. Title in Santiago.
Carabelli lost in the qual rounds last season. He lost in the qual rounds again this year. 3 sets win over Martinez in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Dzumhur in the 2nd round. 2 tight sets win over Faria in the q final. Ch title in Feb. CH title in Oct. CH final in June.
12 month clay stats are stronger for Baez overall. 3 month stats on all tours are quite even.
Fair chance of 3 sets but I favour Baez to win. Back Baez around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
21st February
WTA Dubai
Rybakina 1.84 v Andreeva
Due to start at 1 pm
Rybakina 1-0 (Oct 2023, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are close with a slight edge to Rybakina.
Rybakina reached the q finals last year. Easy win in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Badosa in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kenin in the q final. Q finals in Doha. Semis in Abu Dhabi. 4th round of the Aus Open. Final in Miami.
Andreeva lost in the 1st round last season. Easy win over Avanesyan in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Vondrousova. She then beat Stearns in 2 easy sets in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Swiatek as underdog in the q final. 4th round of the Aus Open. Semis in Brisbane. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are better for Rybakina on serve and better for Andreeva on return.
Rybakina's serve was awful against Badosa but was much improved in the last round against Kenin. Andreeva has been consistent all week. This could be a close match but if Rybakina serves well, she has the edge.
Lay Andreeva around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
WTA Dubai
Tauson v Muchova 1.83
Due to start at 3 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Muchova.
Tauson retired last week. 2 sets win over Sramkova in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Svitolina in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sabalenka in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Noskova in the q final. 3rd round at the Aus Open. Title in Auckland. Q finals in Osaka.
Muchova had an easy win over Lamens. 2 sets win over Raducanu in the 2nd round. 3rd set tie break win over Kessler in the 3rd round. She reached the semis in Ningbo. Final in Beijing. Semis of the US Open.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Muchova. Stats for the tournament are better for Tauson on serve.
Tauson has really raised her level in 2025. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Tauson around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.
20th February
ATP Doha
Aliassime v Medvedev 1.50
Due to start at 1 pm
Medvedev 7-1. Most recent July 2024, clay, Aliassime in 2. Medvedev won on hard in Jan 2024, straight sets. He won on hard at this tournament in 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Medvedev.
Aliassime needed a 3rd set tie break against Halys as 1.27 favourite in the 1st round. He had a walkover in the 2nd round. He won the title in Adelaide. 3rd round in Cinci.
Medvedev had a 3 sets win over Khachanov in the 1st round. Easy win over Bergs in the 2nd round. He reached the q finals in Shanghai. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Miami. Final in Indian Wells. Semis in Dubai.
12 month ATP stats are even on serve and favour Medvedev on return. 3 month stats are stronger for Medvedev.
Back Medvedev around 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Rio
Muller v Etcheverry 1.49
Due to start at 11:30 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s are even.
Muller beat Fonseca in the 1st round. He won a CH title in Aug. CH final in June. 4th round in Rome.
Etcheverry had a 2 sets win over Moutet in the 1st round. He reached the 3rd round of the French Open. Final in Lyon. Semis in Barcelona. Semis in Houston.
12 month stats are stronger for Etcheverry. He also leads in the 3 month stats.
Back Etcheverry around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.55.
19th February
WTA Dubai #Carried over from yesterday
Zheng 1.46 v Stearns
Due to start at 7 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Zheng.
Zheng reached the q finals last year. Final in Tokyo. Final in Wuhan. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open.
Stearns reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 1st round as underdog. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cleveland. Q finals in Toronto.
12 month WTA stats favour Zheng on serve. 3 month stats favour Stearns. Zheng's recent form has been poor.
Lay Zheng around 1.25 to 1.30 and remove liability at 1.55.
WTA Dubai
Noskova v Pegula 1.87
Due to start at 9 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Noskova had a 2 sets win over Putintseva in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Shnaider in the 2nd round. She reached the 3rd round in Doha. Semis in Abu Dhabi. Title in Monterrey.
Pegula had an easy win over Samsonova in the 2nd round. She reached the 3rd round in Doha. She was very poor against Alexandrova in the q final. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami. Semis in San Diego.
12 and 3 month stats favour Noskova on serve and favour Pegula on return. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Pegula around 1.50 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Rio
Comesana v Jarry 1.57
Due to start at 7:30 pm
1st meeting. 12 month clay win %'s are better for Comesana.
Comesana lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. 3 sets win over Heide in the 1st round. CH title in Oct. CH title in Apr.
Jarry lost in the 1st round last season. 3 sets win over Cerundolo in the 1st round. Final in Rome.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Jarry on serve. Return stats are quite even. Jarry has the better ROI in their last 10 on clay.
Back Jarry around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
18th February
ATP Doha
Struff v Griekspoor 1.66
Due to start at 1 pm
Griekspoor 2-0. Most recent Nov 2024, 3 sets. He won on hard in 2021, 5 sets. 12 month ATP stats are better for Griekspoor.
Struff lost in the 1st round last year. He won 3 of 11 on hard in the last 12 months.
Griekspoor reached the 3rd round in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open. 2nd round in Dubai.
12 month ATP stats are better for Griekspoor overall.
Back Griekspoor around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Dubai
Zheng 1.46 v Stearns
Due to start at 4:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Zheng.
Zheng reached the q finals last year. Final in Tokyo. Final in Wuhan. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open.
Stearns reached the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 1st round as underdog. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cleveland. Q finals in Toronto.
12 month WTA stats favour Zheng on serve. 3 month stats favour Stearns. Zheng's recent form has been poor.
Lay Zheng around 1.25 to 1.30 and remove liability at 1.55.
17th February
WTA Dubai
Jabeur 1.44 v Stearns
Due to start at 2:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Jabeur.
Jabeur reached the q finals in Doha. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
Stearns reached the 2nd round last season. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cleveland. Q finals in Toronto.
12 month stats favour Jabeur on serve and Stearns on return. 3 month stats favour Jabeur.
Back Jabeur around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Doha
Popyrin v Draper 1.45
Due to start at 4 pm
1st meeting. 12 month hard win %'s are even.
Popyrin reached the semis last year. 4th round of the US Open. Title in Montreal. 3rd round in Miami.
Draper reached the 4th round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Tokyo. Semis at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Semis in Acapulco.
12 month ATP stats favour Popyrin on serve and Draper on return. 3 month stats favour Draper.
Back Draper around 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
16th February
Predictions:
ATP Delray Beach
Fokina in 3 sets
ATP Buenos Aires
Cerundolo in 3 sets
ATP Marseille
Humbert in 3 sets
WTA Dubai
Svitolina 1.52 v Kalinskaya
Due to start at 2:30 pm
Svitolina 1-0 (May 2024, clay, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Kalinskaya.
Svitolina reached the 3rd round last season. Q finals at the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci.
Kalinskaya reached the final last year. Q finals in Ningbo. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. 4th round in Miami.
12 month WTA stats favour Svitolina on serve and Kalinskaya on return. 3 month stats favour Svitolina.
Back Svitolina around 2.10 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Buenos Aires
Cerundolo 1.68 v Fonseca
Due to start at 7 pm
1st meeting. Clay win %'s favour Cerundolo.
Francisco Cerundolo lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Darderi in the 1st round. 2 sets win over his brother in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Zverev as underdog in the q final. 2 sets win over Martinez in the semis. 3rd round at the Olympics. Title in Umag. Q finals in Hamburg. 4th round of the French Open. Q finals in Madrid. Semis in Rio.
Fonseca had a 2 sets win over Etcheverry in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Coria in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Navone in the q final. 3 sets win over Djere in the semi final. He reached the 2nd round in Madrid. Q finals in Bucharest. Q finals in Rio.
12 month ATP stats are better for Fonseca. 3 month stats favour him on serve and favour Cerundolo on return. Stats for the tournament favour Cerundolo. Very good chance of 3 sets.
Back Cerundolo around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
15th February
Predictions:
ATP Buenos Aires
Djere in 3 sets
Cerundolo in 3 sets
ATP Delray Beach
Michelsen in 2 sets
Arnaldi in 3 sets
ATP Marseille
Humbert in 2 sets
Medvedev in 3 sets
WTA Doha
Ostapenko in 3 sets
WTA Doha
Anisimova v Ostapenko 1.70
Due to start at 3 pm
Ostapenko 1-0 (Feb 2022, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Anisimova beat Azarenka in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 2nd round as underdog. Easy win over Fernandez in the 3rd round as slight underdog. 3 sets win over Kostyuk in the q final. 2 sets win over a poor Alexandrova in the semi final. She reached the q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
Ostapenko had an easy win over Ito in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Samsonova in the 2nd round. Easy win over Paolini in the 3rd round. Another easy win in the q final over a poor Jabeur. In the semi final, Swiatek could not cope with Ostapenko's style of play. 3rd round in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Anisimova.
Stats for the tournament are better for Ostapenko overall.
Ostapenko came into the tournament in poor form. Her opponents this week, including 2 top 10 players appeared to lose the ability to swing a racquet effectively. For that to happen in every round, it can't be coincidence and must be put down to Ostapenko's level of play.
Anisimova has lost just 1 set this week. She beat in form Alexandrova in the last round.
Back Ostapenko around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
ATP Buenos Aires
Cerundolo 1.40 v Martinez
Due to start at 9 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent July 2024, clay, Martinez in 3. Cerundolo won on grass in 2022, 2 sets. Clay 12 in %'s are even in the last 12 months.
Francisco Cerundolo lost in the 2nd round last season. 2 sets win over Darderi in the 1st round. 2 sets win over his brother in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Zverev as underdog in the q final. 3rd round at the Olympics. Title in Umag. Q finals in Hamburg. 4th round of the French Open. Q finals in Madrid. Semis in Rio.
Martinez had a 3rd set tie break win over Dzumhur in the 1st round. Easy win over Schwartzman in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final. He won a CH title in Oct. Q finals in Kitzbuhel. Semis in Hamburg. CH final in May. Q finals in Bucharest. Final in Estoril. Semis in Santiago.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Cerundolo.
Back Cerundolo around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.50.
14th February
Predictions:
WTA Doha
Swiatek in 2 sets
Alexandrova in 3 sets
WTA Doha
Alexandrova 1.83 v Anisimova
Due to start at 3:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent May 2022, clay, Alexandrova, 2 sets. Anisimova won on hard in 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Alexandrova reached the 3rd round last season. 2 sets win over Raducanu in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Sabalenka in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Mertens in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Pegula in the q final. Q finals in Wuhan. 3rd round of the US Open. Semis in Monterrey. Semis in Miami.
Anisimova beat Azarenka in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 2nd round as underdog. Easy win over Fernandez in the 3rd round as slight underdog. 3 sets win over Kostyuk in the q final. She reached the q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
3 month stats favour Anisimova. Alexandrova has the better ROI on hard.
Alexandrova had an awful 1st set against Pegula. Chance of 3 sets.
Lay Anisimova around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
ATP Marseille
Medjedovic 1.50 v Altmaier
Due to start at 6:30 pm
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are better for Medjedovic.
Medjedovic had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Khachanov as underdog in the 2nd round. He won a CH title in Jan. Final in Belgrade in Nov.
Altmaier had a 2 sets win over Nardi in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Virtanen as underdog in the 2nd round. He reached the q finals in Rotterdam last week as lucky loser. 2nd rounds in Belgrade and Antwerp.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Medjedovic. ATP stats also favour him.
Back Medjedovic around 1.95 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
13th February
WTA Doha
Jabeur 1.83 v Ostapenko
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Jabeur 4-2. Most recent Feb 2025, hard, Jabeur in 2. hard win %'s are better for Jabeur.
Jabeur lost in the 2nd round last season. Very easy win over Kessler in the 1st round. Easy win over Zheng in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kenin in the 3rd round. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
Ostapenko had an easy win over Ito in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Samsonova in the 2nd round. Easy win over Paolini in the 3rd round. 3rd round in Dubai.
Ostapenko has been in poor form on hard in the last year but has turned that around this week.
Decent chance of 3 sets. 12 month hard stats are much better for Jabeur. Even with Ostapenko's improvement this week, stats for the tournament are stronger for Jabeur.
Lay Ostapenko around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
WTA Doha
Kostyuk v Anisimova 1.79
Due to start at 5 pm
Kostyuk 3-0. Most recent Oct 2024, walkover. She won on hard in Jan 2023, 2 sets. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Kostyuk reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Sonmez in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Gauff in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Linette in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the Aus Open. 3rd round in Wuhan. Q finals in Seoul. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd rounds in Cinci and Toronto. Semis in Indian Wells. Final in San Diego.
Anisimova beat Azarenka in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 2nd round as underdog. Easy win over Fernandez in the 3rd round as slight underdog. She reached the q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Anisimova on serve and favour Kostyuk on return. 3 month stats are better for Anisimova.
Lay Kostyuk around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
12th February
WTA Doha
Jabeur 1.38 v Kenin
Due to start at 3:30 pm
Kenin 6-2. Most recent May 2024, clay, Kenin in 3. Jabeur won on hard in March 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Jabeur.
Jabeur lost in the 2nd round last season. Very easy win over Kessler in the 1st round. Easy win over Zheng in the 2nd round. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
Kenin lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Krueger in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Parks in the 2nd round. Q finals in Hobart. Final in Tokyo.
12 and 3 month stats are quite even on serve. Jabeur leads on return.
Back Jabeur around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
WTA Doha
Anisimova v Fernandez 1.95
Due to start at 5 pm
Fernandez 2-0. Most recent May 2022, clay, 3 sets. She won on hard in March 2022 when Anisimova retired after set 2. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Anisimova beat Azarenka in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Badosa in the 2nd round as underdog. She reached the q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
Fernandez reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Minnen in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Navarro in the 2nd round. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Semis in Hong Kong. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round in Wuhan. Q finals in Cinci. 2nd round in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats favour Anisimova overall. 3 month stats are even on serve. Slight edge to Anisimova on return. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Anisimova around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
11th February
WTA Doha
Svitolina v Pegula 1.65
Due to start at 2 pm
Pegula 4-2. Most recent July 2024, clay, Svitolina in 3. Pegula won on hard in Sep 2023, 3 sets. She won their last 4 matches on hard. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Svitolina had a 3 sets win over Vondrousova in the 1st round. She reached the q finals at the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Dubai.
Pegula reached the 3rd round of the Aus Open. Final in Adelaide. 4th round in Beijing. Final at the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami and Semis in San Diego.
12 month WTA stats are close on serve but favour Pegula overall. 3 month stats favour Pegula.
Back Pegula around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Doha
Badosa 1.65 v Anisimova
Due to start at 5 pm
Anisimova 1-0 (Jan 2024, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Badosa reached the 2nd round last year. She needed 3 sets against lucky loser Zarazua in the 1st round. Semis at the Aus Open. Semis in Ningbo. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington.
Anisimova beat Azarenka in 2 sets in the 1st round. She reached the q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q finals in Washington.
12 month stats favour Badosa. 3 month stats are more even on serve and favour Anisimova on return. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Badosa around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. lay set 1 winner.
10th February
WTA Doha
Vekic v Noskova 1.59
Due to start at 11 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Noskova.
Vekic lost in the 1st round last year. 4th round of the Aus Open. 4th round of the US Open. Q finals in San Diego. 3rd round in Dubai.
Noskova reached the 3rd round last season. Semis in Abu Dhabi last week. Title in Monterrey.
12 month and 3 month stats are stronger for Noskova. Chance of 3 sets.
Back Noskova around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Doha
Vondrousova 1.83 v Svitolina
Due to start at 3 pm
H2H 3-3. Most recent July 2023, grass, Vondrousova in 2. She won on hard in July 2021, 2 sets. She won on clay in Sep 2020, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Vondrousova.
Vondrousova reached the 3rd round last year. Q finals in Abu Dhabi. Q finals in Dubai.
Svitolina reached the q finals at the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Dubai.
12 and 3 month stats favour Svitolina on serve and strongly favour Vondrousova on return.
Lay Vondrousova around 1.50 and remove liability at 2.00. Decent chance of 3 sets.
9th February
Predictions:
WTA Cluj
Bronzetti in 3 sets
ATP Dallas
Shapovalov in 3 sets
ATP Rotterdam
Alcaraz in 3 sets
WTA Cluj
Potapova 1.59 v Bronzetti
Due to start at 3 pm
Potapova 4-0. Most recent June 2024, grass, 2 sets. She won on hard in Feb 2024, 2 sets. She won indoors in Feb. 2023, 3 sets. 12 month indoor win %'s are even.
Potapova had an easy win in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Golubic in the 2nd round. She had 2 MTO's after set 1 and was 1-5 down in set 2 before taking the next 6 games. 2 sets win over Seidel n the q final. 2 sets win over Sasnovich in the semi final. She reached the q finals in Linz.
Bronzetti had an easy win over Halep in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Stearns as underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Cocciaretto in the q final. In the semi final, Siniakova retired in set 1. She played 4 indoor matches in 2024. Lost to Yastremska in 2 tight sets last week.
12 month WTA stats are pretty even on serve. Return stats are stronger for Bronzetti. Bronzetti has the better indoor ROI in the last year.
Stats for the tournament favour Bronzetti. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Potapova around 1.35 and remove liability at 1.75. Lay set 1 winner.
ATP Dallas
Shapovalov v Ruud 1.91
Due to start at 7 pm
Ruud 2-0. Most recent May 2022, clay, 2 sets. He won on clay in May 2021, 2 sets. 12 month indoor win %'s are better for Shapovalov.
Shapovalov had a 3 sets win over Kecmanovic in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Fritz in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Machac as underdog in the q final. 2 sets win over Paul as underdog in the semis. He won the title in Belgrade in Nov. Q finals in Basel.
Ruud needed 3 sets against Lucky loser Duckworth in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Mmoh in the 2nd round. I thought he would struggle against Nishioka in the q finals but Nishioka retired. He needed a 3rd set tie break to beat Munar in the semi final. He reached the q finals in Stockholm.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Shapovalov.
Lay Ruud around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Fair chance of 3 sets.
8th February
WTA Abu Dhabi
Bencic 1.43 v Krueger
Due to start at 1 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Bencic.
Bencic had a 3 sets win over Sramkova in the 1st round. She did not lose a game to Kudermetova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Vondrousova in the q final. She beat Rybakina in 3 sets in the semi final. She reached the 4th round of the Aus Open.
Krueger reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. 3 sets win over Kessler as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Kasatkina as underdog in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Fernandez as underdog in the q final. 2 sets win over Noskova in the semi final. Q finals in Adelaide. Q finals in Brisbane. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto as qualifier.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Bencic. ROI's in the last 12 months are even. Stats for the tournament are better for Bencic.
I have gone against Krueger in every round this week and she continues to prove me wrong.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Bencic around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.55. Back Bencic around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Dallas
Shapovalov v Paul 1.66
Due to start at 11 pm
Paul 2-1. Most recent Aug 2022, hard, Shapovalov in 3. Paul won on grass in June 2022, 3 sets. He won indoors in Nov 2021, 3 sets. Indoor win %'s in the last 12 months are even.
Shapovalov had a 3 sets win over Kecmanovic in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Fritz in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Machac as underdog in the q final. He won the title in Belgrade in Nov. Q finals in Basel.
Paul won the title last year. He needed 3 sets against Brooksby in the 1st round. Also needed 3 sets in the 2nd round as 1.16 favourite. 2 sets win over Opelka in the q final. Title in Stockholm.
Stats for the tournament are better for Shapovalov on serve. 12 month indoor stats favour Shapovalov on serve. return stats are close with a slight edge to Paul.
Lay Paul around 1.35 and remove liability at 1.75. Lay set 1 winner.
7th February
WTA Cluj
Kalinina 1.73 v Sasnovich
Due to start at 12 pm
Kalinina 1-0 (Apr 2022, clay, 2 sets). 12 month indoor win %'s are better for Sasnovich.
Kalinina had a 2 sets win over Ruse in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Lamens in the 2nd round. She won a CH title in Dec 2022. She has played 5 matches indoors since then.
Sasnovich lost in the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Maneiro as underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Stakusic in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Linz as qualifier.
12 month indoor stats favour Kalinina on serve, though she only played 3 matches. 12 month hard stats favour Kalinina.
Back Kalinina around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Abu Dhabi
Rybakina 1.64 v Bencic
Due to start at 2 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Oct 2021, hard, Bencic retired. Bencic won on hard in 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Rybakina won the title last year. She made a really poor start against Volynets in the 2nd round but won in 3. 3rd set tie break win over Jabeur in the q final. 4th round of the Aus Open. Final in Miami. Q finals in Dubai. Final in Doha.
Bencic had a 3 sets win over Sramkova in the 1st round. She did not lose a game to Kudermetova in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Vondrousova in the q final. She reached the 4th round of the Aus Open.
12 month and 3 month WTA stats favour Rybakina on serve. Stats for the tournament favour Bencic.
Back Rybakina around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
6th February
WTA Abu Dhabi
Rybakina 1.56 v Jabeur
Due to start at 1 pm
Jabeur 3-2. Most recent July 2023, grass, Jabeur in 3. Rybakina won on grass in July 2022, 3 sets. Jabeur won on hard twice in 2021. 1 by retirement and the other went to 3 sets. Their 4 completed matches went to 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Rybakina.
Rybakina won the title last year. She made a really poor start against Volynets in the 2nd round but won in 3. 4th round of the Aus Open. Final in Miami. Q finals in Dubai. Final in Doha.
Jabeur reached the q finals last year. 2 sets win over Ostapenko in the 1st round. Easy win in the 2nd round. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
12 and 3 month stats favour Rybakina.
Lay Rybakina around 1.30 and remove liability at 1.60. Back Rybakina around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Cluj
Cocciaretto v Bogdan 1.85
Due to start at 5:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Apr 2024, clay, Cocciaretto in 3rd set tie break. Bogdan won on clay in 2021, 2 sets. Indoor win %'s are better for Bogdan.
Cocciaretto reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Begu in the 1st round.
Bogdan reached the final last year. Easy win over Burrage in the 1st round.
12 month indoor stats are better for Bogdan. She has the better ROI indoors. She also has the better ROI on all surfaces.
Lay Cocciaretto around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
5th February
WTA Abu Dhabi
Noskova v Badosa 1.60
Due to start at 2:30 pm
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Badosa.
Noskova lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. Easy win over a poor Frech in the 1st round. Title in Monterrey in Aug. 3rd round in Doha.
Badosa reached the semis of the Aus Open. Semis in Ningbo and Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington.
12 month WTA stats are close on serve with a slight edge to Noskova. Return stats are much stronger for Badosa.
Back Badosa around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Cluj
Seidel v Cristian 1.85
Due to star at 4 pm
Cristian 1-0 (May 2023, clay, 3rd set tie break). Indoor win %'s are close.
Seidel has come through the qual rounds. ITF q final in Jan.
Cristian reached the semis last season.
12 month indoor stats favour Cristian on serve.
Lay Seidel around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10. Cristian to win in 3 sets.
4th February
WTA Abu Dhabi
Pavlyuchenkova 1.73 v Kenin
Due to start at 12:00
Kenin 2-0. Most recent Oct 2019, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pavlyuchenkova.
Pavlyuchenkova reached the q finals of the Aus Open. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. 4th round in Indian Wells. Semis in Doha.
Kenin lost in the qual round last season. She has come through the qual rounds this time. Q finals in Hobart. Q finals in Hong Kong. Final in Tokyo.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Pavlyuchenkova. She has the better ROI on hard in the last year.
Back Pavlyuchenkova around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Abu Dhabi
Jabeur 1.51 v Ostapenko
Due to start at 3 pm
Jabeur 3-2. Most recent Apr 2024, clay, Jabeur in 2. She won on clay in Apr 2023, 3 sets. Ostapenko won on grass in June 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Jabeur.
Jabeur reached the q finals last year. 3rd round of the Aus Open. Q finals in Brisbane.
Ostapenko reached the 3rd round in Dubai. 3rd round in Doha.
12 month hard stats are stronger for Jabeur.
Back Jabeur around 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
3rd February
WTA Cluj
Bondar v Lamens 1.77
Due to start at 10:30 am
Lamens 1-0 (Oct 2024, hard, 3 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Lamens.
Bondar lost in the 1st round as lucky loser last year. This time, she made it through the qual rounds. ITF title in Feb 2024.
Lamens lost in the qual rounds. ITF title in March 2024. ITF semi in Feb 2024.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Lamens. She has the better ROI in the last year. Very good chance of 3 sets.
Back Lamens around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Abu Dhabi
Kartal 1.77 v Volynets
Due to start at 12:00
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kartal.
Kartal has come through the qual rounds. Title in Monastir. She plays mostly ITF's.
Volynets has come through the qual rounds. Q finals in Auckland. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Hua Hin.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Kartal. 3 month stats also favour her.
Back Kartal around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
2nd February
WTA Singapore
Li v Mertens 1.48
Due to start at 9 am
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are even.
Li had an easy win over Saville in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Timofeeva in the 2nd round. 2 tie breaks win over Birrell in the q final. In the semis, Kalinskaya retired in the 2nd set. She reached an ITF final in Oct.
Mertens reached the q finals in Linz last year. Very easy win over Townsend in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Maria in the 2nd round. Easy win over Osorio in the q final. 2 sets win over Wang in the semi final. She has not played many indoor tournaments but has had some strong results on this surface.
Stats for the tournament are better for Mertens. 12 month WTA hard stats favour Li.
Back Mertens around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Linz
Alexandrova 1.70 v Yastremska
Due to start at 1 pm
Yastremska 3-2. Most recent June 2022, grass, Alexandrova in 3. Yastremska won in March 2019, 2 sets. Yastremska won indoors in 2018, 3 sets. Indoor win %'s are better for Yastremska.
Alexandrova reached the final last year. Easy win over Sasnovich in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Martic in the q final. 2 sets win over Muchova as huge underdog in the semis. She doesn't play many indoor matches.
Yastremska reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sakkari in the q final. 2 sets win over Tauson in the semi final. CH 2nd round in Dec.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are close on serve. Slight edge to Alexandrova. Return stats strongly favour Yastremska. Stats for the tournament are stronger for Alexandrova.
Good chance of 3 sets. Yastremska has the better ROI.
Back Alexandrova around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
1st February
WTA Linz
Yastremska v Tauson 1.59
Due to start at 12:00
Yastremska 1-0 (Feb 2022, hard, 3 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Yastremska.
Yastremska reached the 2nd round last year. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 1st round. 2 sets win in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Sakkari in the q final. CH 2nd round in Dec.
Tauson reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. 2 sets win over Kalinina in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Blinkova in the q final. 2nd round in Cluj.
12 month WTA indoor and hard stats are better for Tauson. Both players struggled on serve in the early part of their q finals.
Back Tauson around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Linz
Muchova 1.44 v Alexandrova
Due to start at 2 pm
Alexandrova 3-1. Most recent Apr 2021, clay, Alexandrova in 3. Muchova won indoors in Oct 2019, 2 sets. Alexandrova won indoors in 2016, 2 sets. Indoor win %'s are quite even.
Muchova had not played indoors since Dec 2022. Easy win over Sorribes Tormo in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Potapova in the q final.
Alexandrova reached the final last year. Easy win over Sasnovich in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Martic in the q final. She doesn't play many indoor matches.
12 month WTA hard stats are stronger for Muchova.
Back Yastremska around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.60. Chance of 3 sets.
31st January
WTA Linz
Tauson 1.41 v Blinkova
Due to start at 1:30 pm
H2H 1-1. Most recent Dec 2022, indoor, Tauson in 2. Blinkova won on grass in 2021, 3 sets. Indoor win %'s are better for Blinkova.
Tauson reached the 2nd round as qualifier last year. 2 sets win over Kalinina in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 2nd round. 2nd round in Cluj.
Blinkova lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Kraus in the 1st round. 2 sets win as underdog over Svitolina in the 2nd round. CH 2nd round in Dec. ITF title in Oct. 2nd round in Cluj. She has had some decent indoor results in previous seasons including the title in Cluj in 2022.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Tauson. stats on all tours are also better for Tauson on serve but strongly favour Blinkova on return. Blinkova has the higher ROI indoors.
Lay Tauson around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.55. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Linz
Alexandrova 1.41 v Martic
Due to start at 5 pm
Martic 2-0. Most recent June 2019, grass, 2 sets. She won indoors in 2016, 2 sets. Indoor win %'s are even in the last year.
Alexandrova reached the final last year. Easy win over Sasnovich in the 2nd round. She doesn't play many indoor matches.
Martic lost in the 1st round last year. She has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win over Lys as underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Avanesyan as underdog in the 2nd round. She played 2 indoor matches in 2024. Reached the final in 2023.
Martic faced 21 bp's (broken 6 times) in the last round.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Alexandrova on serve and favour Martic on return. 12 month WTA hard stats are stronger for Alexandrova.
Lay Alexandrova around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Chance of 3 sets. Back Alexandrova around 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55.
30th January
WTA Singapore
Gadecki v Teichmann 1.78
Due to start at 11:30 am
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are better for Teichmann.
Gadecki beat Uchijima in 3 sets as slight favourite in the 1st round. She won 4 of her 10 indoor matches. An ITF q final in Oct 223 was her best result.
Teichmann has come through the qualifying rounds without dropping a set. Very easy win over Dart in the 1st round. She reached a CH 2nd round in Nov.
12 month indoor stats are stronger for Teichmann.
Back Teichmann around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Linz
Alexandrova 1.58 v Sasnovich
Due to start at 6:30 pm
Alexandrova 4-1. Most recent May 2024, clay, Sasnovich in 2. Alexandrova won on hard in Aug 2023, 2 sets. She won indoors in 2019 and 2017, 2 sets each time. Indoor win %'s are quite even.
Alexandrova reached the final last year. She doesn't play many indoor matches.
Sasnovich has come through the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Zakharova in the 1st round. This is her first indoor tournament since 2022.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Alexandrova.
Back Alexandrova around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
29th January
WTA Linz
Siniakova v Avanesyan 1.80
Due to start at 11 am
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are fairly even.
Siniakova reached the 2nd round last year. She plays very few indoor matches.
Avanesyan reached the 2nd round in Cluj. She plays very few indoor tournaments.
12 month WTA hard stats favour Siniakova. Recent performances are better for Avanesyan. Semis in Hobart and 3rd round in Brisbane.
Back Avanesyan around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Linz
Sramkova v Potapova 1.55
Due to start at 6:30 pm
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are better for Sramkova.
Sramkova had a 2 tight sets win over Cocciaretto in the 1st round. She won an ITF title in Feb 2024. She played well in BJK Cup matches in Nov.
Potapova reached the q finals last season. Easy win over Grabher in the 1st round. She won the title in 2023.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Potapova on serve. Hard stats favour Sramkova. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Potapova around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
28th January
ATP Montpellier
Coric 1.86 v Lestienne
Due to start at 1 pm
1st meeting. 12 month indoor win %'s are better for Lestienne.
Coric reached the final last year. CH q final in Nov. 2nd round in Almaty.
Lestienne reached the 2nd round last season. He has come through the qual rounds. CH q final in Nov. CH semi in Sep.
12 month indoor stats on all tours are better for Coric on serve. Recent performances are better for Lestienne.
Lay Coric around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Linz
Lys 1.63 v Martic
Due to start at 5 pm
Lys 1-0 (Nov 2022, indoor, 2 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Lys.
Lys played just 2 indoor matches in 2024. Semis in Cluj in 2023.
Martic lost in the 1st round last year. She has come through the qual rounds. She played 2 indoor matches in 2024. Reached the final in 2023.
Recent performances are better for Lys. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Lys around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
27th January
WTA Linz
Tomova v Maneiro 1.45
Due to start at 1:30 pm
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are better for Maneiro.
Tomova played just 1 indoor match in the last year.
Maneiro reached an ITF final in Feb 2024. ITF title in Jan 2024.
12 month indoor stats are stronger for Maneiro. 12 month hard stats also favour her.
Back Maneiro around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
ATP Montpellier
Wawrinka v Cazaux 1.57
Due to start at 5:30 pm
1st meeting. Indoor win %'s are close but favour Cazaux.
Wawrinka reached the 2nd round in Basel in Oct. Semis in Stockholm.
Cazaux reached the 2nd round last season. 3rd round in Paris in Oct.
12 month ATP stats are better for Cazaux overall. Wawrinka has the better ROI.
Back Cazaux around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. Lay set 1 winner.
26th January
ATP Australian Open
Sinner 1.38 v Zverev
Due to start at 8:30 am
Zverev 4-2. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Sinner in 3rd set tie break. Zverev won at the US Open in 2023, 5 sets. Win %'s are better for Sinner.
Sinner won the title last year. 3 sets win over Jarry in the 1st round. The first 2 sets were tie breaks. He needed 4 sets against Schoolkate in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Giron in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Rune in the 4th round. Surprisingly easy win over De Minaur in the q final. Straight sets win over Shelton in the semis. Title in Shanghai. Final in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Title in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells.
Zverev reached the semis last season. Easy win over Pouille in the 1st round. Easy win over Martinez in the 2nd round. Easy win over Fearnley in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Humbert in the 4th round. 4 sets win over Paul in the q final. In the semi final he won the first set in a tie break and Djokovic retired. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Q finals in Montreal. Semis in Miami. Q finals in Indian Wells. Semis in Los Cabos.
12 month and 3 month stats are stronger for Sinner. He has the better ROI in the last year.
Lay Sinner if he gets an early break of serve. Remove liability if Zverev then gets a bp. Back Sinner above 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55 Lay set 1 winner. 4 sets.
Quimper Challenger
Wayenburg v Herbert 1.50
Due to start at 2 pm
Herbert 1-0 (Jan 2022, indoors, 3 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Herbert.
Wayenburg has come through the qual rounds. 3 sets win as underdog in the 1st round. 2 sets win as underdog in the 2nd round. He beat Djere as huge underdog in 3 very tight sets in the q final. 3 sets win as slight underdog in the semis. CH q final in Oct. Most of his matches were in ITF's in the last year.
Herbert won the title last season. 2 sets win in the 1st round as slight underdog. 3 sets win in the 2nd round as favourite. 2 sets win as underdog in the q final. 3 sets win over Berankis in the semi final. 2nd round in Metz as lucky loser in Nov. CH q final in Oct. Semi final and q final in March.
12 month CH stats are stronger for Herbert. 3 month stats are a little better for Wayenburg. He has been underdog in every round and has the better ROI.
Back Herbert above 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55. Lay set 1 winner.
25th January
Prediction:
WTA Aus Open Final
Sabalenka in 2 (though could be really close)
WTA Australian Open Final
Sabalenka 1.29 v Keys
Due to start at 8:30 am
Sabalenka 4-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Sabalenka in 2. She won on hard in Sep 2023, 3rd set tie break. Keys won on grass in June 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka won the title last year. Easy win over Stephens in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Maneiro in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tauson in the 3rd round. Easy win over Andreeva in the 4th round. Tough 3 sets win over Pavlyuchenkova in the q final. 2 sets win over Badosa in the semi final. Title in Brisbane. Title in Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Q finals in Toronto. Semis in Washington. 4th round in Indian Wells.
Keys had a 2 sets win over Li in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Ruse in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Collins in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rybakina as underdog in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Svitolina in the q final. 3rd set tie break win over Swiatek in the semi finals. She won the title in Adelaide last week. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 month and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Sabalenka. Stats for the tournament are a little better for Keys on serve.
I said before Sabalenka's last 2 matches that she has not been at her best in this tournament. In several sets she has not looked comfortable on serve.
Keys has 2 top 10 wins in the tournament. In both those wins, she held herself together to win in 3 sets. In the semi final, Swiatek served for the match before Keys won the match tie break to take the win.
Lay Sabalenka around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.45. Very good chance of 3 sets.
Keys has reached 2 slam finals but has yet to win one. Expect some nerves if she gets into a winning position.
Sabalenka has won this tournament for the last 2 seasons.
Some value on Keys and if she can handle the nerves and the occasion, it would not be a huge shock if she wins. However, I think a Sabalenka win is more likely.
Oeiras Challenger
Blockx 1.79 v Lajal
Due to start at 12:30 pm
Blockx 1-0 (Sep 2024, indoors, 2 sets). Indoor win %'s are better for Blockx.
Blockx had 3 sets wins as slight favourite in the 1st and 2nd rounds. 2 sets win over Basilashvili in the q final as slight favourite. CH title in Nov. Semis in Sep and March. CH semi in Feb.
Lajal has come through the qual round. 3rd set tie break win as favourite in the 1st round. Easy win in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Zhukayev in the q final. 2 CH q finals in Nov. Semi in Oct. Q final in Sep.
12 month CH stats are very even. 3 month stats are stronger for Blockx. He has a much better ROI indoors.
Back Blockx around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65.
24th January
Predictions:
ATP Australian Open Semi Finals
Djokovic in 5 sets
Sinner in 3 sets
ATP Australian Open
Djokovic 1.65 v Zverev
Due to start at 3:30 am
Djokovic 9-4. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, Djokovic in 2. Zverev won indoors in Nov 2021, 3 sets. 12 month hard win %'s are even.
Djokovic reached the semis last year. 4 sets win in the 1st round. 4 sets win in the 2nd round. Straight sets win in the 3rd round. Straight sets win in the 4th round. 4 sets win over Alcaraz as underdog in the q final. Q finals in Brisbane. Final in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
Zverev reached the semis last season. Easy win over Pouille in the 1st round. Easy win over Martinez in the 2nd round. Easy win over Fearnley in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Humbert in the 4th round. 4 sets win over Paul in the q final. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Q finals in Montreal. Semis in Miami. Q finals in Indian Wells. Semis in Los Cabos.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Djokovic. In the q final, he really raised his level and wanted the win more than Alcaraz did. If he matches that level tonight, Zverev will have a problem. Zverev was a little passive against Paul. He will need to show more aggression.
Back Djokovic around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. 4 or 5 sets.
ATP Australian Open
Sinner 1.07 v Shelton
Due to start at 8:30 am
Sinner 4-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Sinner in 2. He won their last 4 matches in straight sets. Shelton won on hard in Oct 2023, 3rd set tie break. Hard win %'s are much better for Sinner.
Sinner won the title last year. 3 sets win over Jarry in the 1st round. The first 2 sets were tie breaks. He needed 4 sets against Schoolkate in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Giron in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Rune in the 4th round. Surprisingly easy win over De Minaur in the q final. Title in Shanghai. Final in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Title in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells.
Shelton reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Nakashima in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Carreno Busta in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Musetti in the 3rd round. In the 4th round, Monfils retired in set 4. 4 sets win over Sonego in the q final. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Semis in Washington. 4th round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Acapulco.
12 and 3 month stats are much better for Sinner. He has the better ROI in the last 12 months.
Lay Sinner and remove liability at 1.15. Back sinner if he goes a set and a break behind.
23rd January
Predictions:
WTA Australian Open
Sabalenka in 3 sets
Swiatek in 3 sets
WTA Australian Open
Sabalenka 1.34 v Badosa
Due to start at 8:30 am
Sabalenka 5-2. Most recent June 2024, clay, Sabalenka in 2. She won on clay in April 2024 when Badosa retired in set 3. She won on hard in March 2024, 2 sets. Badosa's wins were both on hard in 2021. Hard win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka won the title last year. Easy win over Stephens in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Maneiro in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tauson in the 3rd round. Easy win over Andreeva in the 4th round. Tough 3 sets win over Pavlyuchenkova in the q final. Title in Brisbane. Title in Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Q finals in Toronto. Semis in Washington. 4th round in Indian Wells.
Badosa reached the 3rd round last year. 2 sets win over Wang in the 1st round. Lost just 1 game in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Kostyuk in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 4th round. 2 sets win as underdog over Gauff in the q final. Semis in Ningbo. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington.
12 month and 3 month stats are stronger for Sabalenka. She has had a couple of matches were she has struggled for at least 1 set on serve.
Badosa took full advantage of 41 unforced errors in the q final.
Lay Sabalenka around 1.25 and remove liability at 1.50. Back Sabalenka around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55.
If Sabalenka doesn't play her best tennis for the whole match, this can go to 3 sets.
WTA Australian Open
Keys v Swiatek 1.20
Due to start at 10 am
Swiatek 4-1. Most recent May 2024, clay, Swiatek in 2. She won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets. Keys won on hard in Aug 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Swiatek.
Keys had a 2 sets win over Li in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Ruse in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Collins in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rybakina as underdog in the 4th round. 3 sets win over Svitolina in the q final. She won the title in Adelaide last week. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
Swiatek reached the 3rd round last season. Easy win over Siniakova in the 1st round. Easier win in the 2nd round over Sramkova. EVEN easier win over Raducanu in the 3rd round, losing just 1 game. She also lost just 1 game against Lys in the 4th round. An easy win over Navarro in the q final. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. 4th round in Miami. Title in Indian Wells. Semis in Dubai. Title in Doha.
12 month and 3 month stats are stronger for Swiatek.
Swiatek beat Siniakova in 2 tight sets in the first round but had had 4 very easy wins since. She lost 7 games in those 4 matches.
Keys has had to work much harder for her semi final place.
Lay Swiatek at 1.10 to 1.15 and remove liability at 1.25. Lay set 1 winner.
22nd January
WTA Australian Open
Keys 1.54 v Svitolina
Due to start at 00:30 am
Keys 3-2. Most recent Jan 2022, hard, Keys in 2. Svitolina won on hard in 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Keys.
Keys had a 2 sets win over Li in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Ruse in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Collins in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Rybakina as underdog in the 4th round. She won the title in Adelaide last week. Q finals in Auckland. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
Svitolina reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Dolehide in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Paolini as underdog in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Kudermetova in the 4th round. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Keys. Stats for the tournament are better for Svitolina. Decent chance of 3 sets. Keys has the better ROI in their last 10 matches on hard.
Lay Keys if she gets an early break of serve. Remove liability if Svitolina then has a bp. Back Keys around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
ATP Australian Open
Sinner 1.21 v De Minaur
Due to start at 8:30 am
Sinner 9-1. Most recent Nov 2024, indoors, Sinner in 2. 7 of their 10 matches were indoors. Sinner won their last 4 matches, all indoors. De Minaur's "win" was by walkover. Hard win %'s are better for Sinner.
Sinner won the title last year. 3 sets win over Jarry in the 1st round. The first 2 sets were tie breaks. He needed 4 sets against Schoolkate in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Giron in the 3rd round. 4 sets win over Rune in the 4th round. Title in Shanghai. Final in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Title in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells.
De Minaur reached the 4th round last season. 3 sets win over Zandschulp in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Boyer in the 2nd round. 4 sets win over Cerundolo in the 3rd round. Straight sets win over Michelsen in the 4th round. Q finals of the US Open. 4th round in Miami. 4th round in Indian Wells. Title in Acapulco.
Sinner didn't look 100% against Rune and took a 10 minute MTO.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Sinner.
Lay Sinner and remove liability at 1.40. Back Sinner if he loses set 1. 4 sets.
21st January
WTA Australian Open
Gauff 1.30 v Badosa
Due to start at 12:30 am
H2H 3-3. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Gauff in 3. She won on clay in May 2024, 3 sets. Badosa won on hard in Aug 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Gauff.
Gauff reached the semis last year. 2 sets win over Kenin in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Burrage in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Fernandez in the 3rd round. 3 sets win over Bencic in the 4th round. Semis in Wuhan. Title in Beijing. 4th round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Indian Wells. Q finals in Dubai.
Badosa reached the 3rd round last year. 2 sets win over Wang in the 1st round. Lost just 1 game in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Kostyuk in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Danilovic in the 4th round. Semis in Ningbo. Semis in Beijing. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington.
12 month WTA stats are quite even on serve. Return stats are better for Gauff. 3 month stats are stronger for Gauff.
Back Gauff around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
ATP Australian Open
Djokovic v Alcaraz 1.53
Due to start at 9:30 am
Djokovic 4-3. Most recent Aug 2024, clay, Djokovic in 2 tie breaks. Alcaraz won on grass in July 2024, straight sets. Djokovic won their only previous hard court match in Aug 2023, 3rd set tie break. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Alcaraz.
Djokovic reached the semis last year. 4 sets win in the 1st round. 4 sets win in the 2nd round. Straight sets win in the 3rd round. Straight sets win in the 4th round. Q finals in Brisbane. Final in Shanghai. 3rd round of the US Open.
Alcaraz reached the q finals last season. Easy win in the 1st round. Easy win over Nishioka in the 2nd round. He dropped a set against Borges in the 3rd round. In the 4th round, Draper retired after 2 sets. Q finals in Shanghai. Title in Beijing. Q finals in Miami. Title in Indian Wells.
12 month ATP stats are very close but favour Djokovic. Return stats are stronger for Alcaraz. Stats for the tournament favour Alcaraz.
Back Alcaraz around 1.95 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.55. 4 sets.
20th January
WTA Australian Open
Kudermetova v Svitolina 1.74
Due to start at 00:30
Kudermetova 2-0. Most recent Jan 2021, hard, 3rd set tie break. She won indoors in 2019, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Svitolina.
Kudermetova lost in the 1st round last year. Easy win in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Boulter as underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Haddad Maia as underdog in the 3rd round. Q finals in Hobart. Semis in Seoul.
Svitolina reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Dolehide in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Paolini as underdog in the 3rd round. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats are better for Svitolina on serve and favour Kudermetova on return. Decent chance of 3 sets. Stats for the tournament favour Svitolina on serve.
Back Svitolina around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Australian Open
Navarro 2.00 v Kasatkina 2.00
Due to start at 5:30 am
1st meeting. 12 month hard win %'s are even.
Navarro reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Stearns in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Wang in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Jabeur in the 3rd round. Q finals in Hong Kong. Semis of the US Open. Semis in Monterrey. Semis in Toronto. 4th round in Miami. Q finals in Indian Wells. Semis in San Diego. 3rd round in Doha.
Kasatkina reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win over Tomova in the 1st round. Another easy win over Yafan Wang in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Putintseva as underdog in the 3rd round. Q finals in Adelaide. Title in Ningbo. Final in Seoul. 2nd round of the US Open. 4th round in Indian Wells. Final in Abu Dhabi.
12 month WTA stats favour Navarro on serve. 3 month stats are stronger for Kasatkina.
Lay Navarro around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
19th January
WTA Australian Open
Sabalenka 1.31 v Andreeva
Due to start at 12:30 am
Sabalenka 3-1. Most recent Jan 2025, hard, Sabalenka in 2. Their other matches were on clay. Hard win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka won the title last year. Easy win over Stephens in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Maneiro in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Tauson in the 3rd round. Title in Brisbane. Title in Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Q finals in Toronto. Semis in Washington. 4th round in Indian Wells.
Andreeva reached the 4th round last season. Easy win in the 1st round over Bouzkova. She needed a 3rd set tie break against Uchijima as 1.04 favourite. 3 sets win over Frech in the 3rd round. Semis in Brisbane. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. 2nd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci.
12 and 3 month stats are stronger for Sabalenka.
In the last round, Sabalenka was broken in her first 4 service games. Tauson was also broken 4 times and it went to a tie break. Sabalenka served much better in the 2nd set.
Back Sabalenka around 1.80 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.40.
WTA Australian Open
Vekic 1.80 v Pavlyuchenkova
Due to start at 01:30 am
Pavlyuchenkova 2-0. Most recent Jan 2024, 2 sets. She won on hard in Sep 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pavlyuchenkova.
Vekic lost in the 1st round last season. 2 sets win over Parry in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Dart in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Shnaider as underdog in the 3rd round. 4th round of the US Open. Q finals in San Diego. 3rd round in Dubai.
Pavlyuchenkova reached the 2nd round last year. 3 sets win over Yuan in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Potapova in the 2nd round. Very easy win over Siegemund in the 3rd round. 3rd round at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. 4th round in Indian Wells. Semis in Doha.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Pavlyuchenkova. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Lay Vekic around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00.
18th January
ATP Australian Open
Shelton 1.68 v Musetti
Due to start at 6 am
Musetti 2-0. Most recent Mar 2024, hard, 2 sets. He won on grass in 2023, 3 sets. 12 month hard win %'s are better for Shelton.
Shelton reached the 3rd round last year. 3 sets win over Nakashima in the 1st round. 4 sets win over Carreno Busta in the 2nd round. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals in Tokyo. 3rd round of the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Semis in Washington. 4th round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Acapulco.
Musetti reached the 2nd round last season. 4 sets win over Arnaldi in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Shapovalov as slight underdog in the 2nd round. Final in Chengdu. 3rd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Shelton on serve. Slight lead for Musetti on return. 4 or 5 sets.
Back Shelton around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
WTA Australian Open
Svitolina v Paolini 1.74
Due to start at 8 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Paolini.
Svitolina reached the 4th round last year. 2 sets win over Cirstea in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Dolehide in the 2nd round. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round in Dubai.
Paolini reached the 4th round last season. Easy win in the 1st round. Easy win over Zarazua in the 2nd round. Q finals in Wuhan. 4th round of the US Open. 4th round in Indian Wells. Title in Dubai.
12 month WTA stats favour Svitolina on serve and Paolini on return. Paolini has the better ROI on hard.
Back Paolini around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
17th January
WTA Australian Open
Osaka 1.77 v Bencic
Due to start at 6 am
Bencic 4-2. Most recent March 2022, hard, Osaka in 3. Bencic won on hard in Sep 2019, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Bencic.
Osaka lost in the 1st round to Garcia last year. She needed 3 sets against Garcia in the 1st round this time. 3 sets win over Muchova in the 2nd round as underdog. She retired from the final in Auckland this month. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round in Miami. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Doha.
Bencic missed a year from Sep 2023 to Oct 2024. She has found some decent form quite quickly. 2 sets win over Ostapenko in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Lamens in the 2nd round. She reached a CH final indoors in Dec. 2nd round in Adelaide as qualifier.
12 month stats favour Osaka on serve and strongly favour Bencic on return.
Good chance of 3 sets.
Osaka has the better ROI in their last 10 on hard.
Lay Bencic around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
ATP Australian Open
Draper 1.23 v Vukic
Due to start at 9:30 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Draper.
Draper reached the 2nd round last year. He needed 5 sets in the 1st round as 1.06 favourite. 5 sets win over Kokkinakis in the 2nd round. Q finals in Tokyo. Semis at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci. Semis in Acapulco.
Vukic lost in the 1st round last season. 5 sets win in the 1st round over Dzumhur. 5 sets win over Korda as huge underdog in the 2nd round. 3rd round in Shanghai. 3rd round in Winston Salem.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Draper. he was poor in the first round but raised his level in the last round. Vukic can keep this close.
Lay Draper around 1.15 and remove liability at 1.45. Lay set 1 winner.
16th January
WTA Australian Open
Jabeur 1.45 v Osorio
Due to start at midnight
Jabeur 4-0. Most recent June 2024, grass, 2 sets. She won on clay in May 2024, 3 sets. She won on hard in 2023 and 2021 (Both at the US Open), straight sets each time. Hard win %'s are quite even.
Jabeur reached the 2nd round last season. Easy win over Kalinina in the 1st round. Q finals in Brisbane.
Osorio lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win over Sakkari in the 1st round. Semis in Guadalajara. 3 WTA 2nd rounds in 2024.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Jabeur on serve.
Back Jabeur around 1.90 to 2.10 and remove liability at 1.50.
ATP Australian Open
Berrettini 1.82 v Rune
Due to start at 6 am
Rune 4-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Rune in 3. He won hard in Aug 2024, 3 sets. His other wins were by walkover and retirement. Berrettini won on hard in 2022, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are a little better for Berrettini.
Berrettini beat Norrie in 4 sets in the 1st round. He reached the 2nd round of the US Open. CH final in March 2024.
Rune reached the 2nd round last season. He needed 5 set6s against Zhang in the 1st round. 4th round in Shanghai. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Cinci. 3rd round in Montreal. Q finals in Indian Wells. Semis in Acapulco.
12 month hard stats are better for Berrettini. 5 sets.
Lay Rune around 1.60 and remove liability at 2.10. Lay set 1 winner.
15th January
WTA Australian Open
Samsonova 1.36 v Danilovic
Due to start at midnight
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Danilovic.
Samsonova lost in the 1st round last year. Easy win in the 1st round. She retired from the semis in Adelaide last week. 4th round at the US Open. Q finals in Cinci and Toronto. 3rd round in Dubai. Semis in Abu Dhabi.
Danilovic lost in the qual rounds last season. 2 sets win over Rus in the 1st round. Title in Guangzhou. ITF title in Oct.
12 month WTA stats are a little better for Samsonova. Return stats are much better for Danilovic. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Samsonova around 1.20 and remove liability at 1.45. Back Samsonova around 1.85 to 2.00 and remove liability at 1.45.
ATP Australian Open
Thompson 1.79 v Borges
Due to start at 2 am
Borges 2-0. Most recent June 2022, grass, 2 sets. He won on clay in Apr 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Thompson reached the 2nd round last year. 4 sets win in the 1st round. Q finals in Brisbane. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Washington. Final in Atlanta. Title in Los Cabos. Q finals in Los Cabos.
Borges reached the 4th round last season. 4 sets win over Muller in the 1st round. Semis in Auckland. 4th round at the US Open. 3rd round in Montreal. Q finals in Los Cabos.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Thompson on serve. Return stats are close but favour Borges. 4 or 5 sets.
Lay Borges around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.
14th January
WTA Australian Open
Carle v Anisimova 1.28
Due to start at midnight
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Anisimova.
Carle reached the 2nd round as qualifier in Hobart. CH semi in Feb.
Anisimova reached the 4th round last season. Q finals in Hobart. 4th round in Beijing. Final in Toronto. Q final in Washington.
Anisimova withdrew from her Hobart q final.
12 month WTA stats are better for Anisimova overall.
Back Anisimova around 1.80 and remove liability at 1.45.
WTA Australian Open
Kalinina v Jabeur 1.49
Due to start at 5:30 am
Jabeur 2-0. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, 3rd set tie break. She won on clay in April 2022. Hard win %'s are quite even.
Kalinina lost in the 1st round last year. Semis in Brisbane. 2nd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Austin.
Jabeur reached the 2nd round last season. Q finals in Brisbane.
I give Jabeur the edge but Kalinina should be competitive.
Back Jabeur around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.
13th January
WTA Australian Open
Sramkova v Volynets 1.74
Due to start at midnight
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Sramkova.
Sramkova lost in the qual rounds last year. Final in Jiujiang. 3rd round in Beijing. Title in Hua Hin2. Final in Monastir.
Volynets lost in the 1st round as qualifier last season. Q finals in Auckland. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Hua Hin.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are stronger for Sramkova on serve. return stats are pretty even. recent performances are better for Volynets. Decent chance of 3 sets.
Back Volynets around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Australian Open
Minnen 1.72 v Aiava
Due to start at 5:30 am
Minnen 1-0 (Aug 2024, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Aiava.
Minnen lost in the 1st round last year. 2nd round in Hobart as qualifier. 2nd round in Auckland. 3rd round in Beijing. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Miami. 4 WTA 2nd rounds in 2024.
Aiava lost in the qual rounds last season. This time, she made it through qualifying. ITF title in Nov. ITF title in Oct. All her wins are in ITF's or qual rounds.
Back Minnen around 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
12th January
WTA Australian Open
Pera 1.50 v Maria
Due to start at midnight
H2H 1-1. Most recent Apr 2023, clay, Pera in 2. Maria won on grass in 2019. Hard win %'s are better for Pera.
Pera lost in the 1st round last year. Q final in Auckland. Q finals in Hong Kong and Guangzhou.
Maria reached the 2nd round last season. CH q final in Oct. CH final in Sep. CH final in Aug.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Pera. Recent performances are better for Pera.
Back Pera around 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Australian Open
Tauson v Noskova 1.90
Due to start at 1:30 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Noskova.
Tauson reached the 2nd round last year. Title in Auckland. Q finals in Osaka. Final in Hong Kong. 2nd round of the US Open.
Noskova reached the q finals last season. Title in Monterrey. 3rd round in Doha.
12 month WTA stats favour Noskova on serve and Tauson on return. Noskova has the better ROI in the last 12 months but Tauson leads in their last 10 on hard.
Lay Noskova around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. 3 sets.
11th January
Predictions:
ATP Auckland
Monfils in 3 sets
ATP Adelaide
Korda in 3 sets
WTA Hobart
Mertens in 3 sets
WTA Adelaide
Pegula in 3 sets
WTA Adelaide
Pegula v Keys 1.86
Due to start at 5:30 am
H2H 1-1. Most recent Sep 2023, hard, Keys in 2. Pegula won on hard in Oct 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Pegula reached the semis last year. 2 sets win over Sakkari in the 2nd round. In the q final, Krueger retired in set 2. 2 tight sets win over Putintseva in the semis. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami. Semis in San Diego. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
Keys had a very easy win over Haddad Maia in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Ostapenko in the 2nd round. Easy win over Kasatkina in the q final. She beat Samsonova in the semi final when Samsonova retired in set 3. She reached the q finals in Auckland last week. 4th round in Beijing. 3rd round at the US Open. 4th round in Miami.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Pegula overall. Stats for the tournament are better for Pegula. Very good chance of 3 sets. Pegula has the better ROI.
Lay Keys around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95.
ATP Adelaide
Aliassime v Korda 1.88
Due to start at 7:30 am
Aliassime 2-1. Most recent Oct 2022, indoor, Aliassime in 2. Korda won on clay in Apr 2022, 2 sets. Aliassime won on hard in March 2021, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Korda.
Aliassime had a 3 sets win over Cazaux in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Giron in the q final. 3 sets win over Paul as underdog in the semis. He reached the 3rd round in Cinci. 3rd round of the Australian Open.
Korda reached the semis last season. Easy win over Fokina in the 2nd round. Walkover in the q final when Kokkinakis pulled out. 2 sets win over Kecmanovic in the semi final as slight favourite. 2nd round of the US Open. Semis in Montreal. Title in Washington. Q finals in Dubai. 3rd round at the Australian Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Korda. He has the higher ROI on hard. The sets are going to be very tight.
Lay Aliassime around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
10th January
WTA Hobart
Joint v Mertens 1.72
Due to start at 5:30 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Joint.
Joint had an easy win over Danilovic as underdog in the 1st round. Another easy win over Linette as underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Kenin as underdog. She reached a CH q final in Oct. 2nd round of the US Open as qualifier. CH final in July. ITF title in March. ITF title in Feb. 3rd round of the Aus Open juniors. Lost in the qual rounds of the Australian Open.
Mertens reached the final last season. Easy win over Diaz in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Zarazua in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Kudermetova in the q final. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. 4th round in Indian Wells. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
12 and 3 month WTA stats are better for Mertens. Stats for the tournament are better for Joint. Joint has been underdog in every round and has not lost a set.
Lay Mertens around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. We probably see 3 sets. In the last round, Mertens took the first set from Kudermetova 6-1 and then lost the 2nd set 6-0.
WTA Adelaide
Pegula 1.53 v Putintseva
Due to start at 8 am
Pegula 2-0. Most recent Aug 2023, hard, 2 sets. She won on hard in Aug 2022, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Pegula.
Pegula reached the semis last year. 2 sets win over Sakkari in the 2nd round. In the q final, Krueger retired in set 2. 4th round in Beijing. Final of the US Open. Final in Cinci. Title in Toronto. Q finals in Miami. Semis in San Diego. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
Putintseva had an easy win over Vekic in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 2nd round. She came through an epic q final with Shnaider to win in 3 sets. She reached the q finals in Ningbo. 3rd round in Wuhan. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Miami. 4th round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Hua Hin. Q finals in Hobart last season. 1st round of the Australian Open.
12 month WA stats are stronger for Pegula on serve. return stats are even.
Back Pegula around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
9th January
WTA Hobart
Kudermetova v Mertens 1.76
Due to start at 7:30 am
Mertens 5-2. Most recent Aug 2024, hard, Mertens in 3. Kudermetova won on hard in Feb 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Mertens.
Kudermetova had a 2 sets win over Cocciaretto in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Osorio in the 2nd round. She reached the semis in Seoul. 1st round of the Australian Open.
Mertens reached the final last season. Easy win over Diaz in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Zarazua in the 2nd round. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. 4th round in Indian Wells. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Mertens. Mertens has the better ROI in the last 12 months.
Back Mertens around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Adelaide
Putintseva 1.73 v Shnaider
Due to start at 9:30 am
Putintseva 1-0 (Sep 2023, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Shnaider.
Putintseva had an easy win over Vekic in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Jabeur in the 2nd round. She reached the q finals in Ningbo. 3rd round in Wuhan. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Miami. 4th round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Hua Hin. Q finals in Hobart last season. 1st round of the Australian Open.
Shnaider beat Siniakova in 3 sets in the 1st round. She was a set and a break behind to Vondrousova. Vondrousova retired through injury 1 game later. She won the title in Hong Kong. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Seoul. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Semis in Toronto. Title in Hua Hin. 1st round of the Australian Open.
12 month WTA stats are better for Shnaider on serve. Recent performances are better for Putintseva.
Back Putintseva around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
8th January
WTA Adelaide
Vondrousova v Shnaider 1.86
Due to start at 5 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are fairly even.
Vondrousova beat Pavlyuchenkova in 3 sets in the 1st round. She reached the q finals in Dubai. 1st round of the Australian Open.
Shnaider beat Siniakova in 3 sets in the 1st round. She won the title in Hong Kong. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Seoul. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Semis in Toronto. Title in Hua Hin. 1st round of the Australian Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Shnaider. Recent performances are better for Shnaider.
Back Shnaider around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
WTA Hobart
Zarazua v Mertens 1.41
Due to start at 9 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Zarazua.
Zarazua lost in the qual rounds. 2 sets win over Bronzetti in the 1st round. 2nd round in Brisbane last week. Q finals in Merida. 2nd round of the US Open. 1st round of the Australian Open as qualifier.
Mertens reached the final last season. Easy win over Diaz in the 1st round. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. 4th round in Indian Wells. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
Back Mertens around 1.90 to 2.00 and remove liability at 1.55.
7th January
ATP Adelaide
Vukic 1.93 v Giron
Due to start at 12:30 am
Vukic 2-0. Most recent Nov 2016, indoors, 3rd set tie break. He won on hard in 2015, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Vukic.
Vukic reached the 2nd round last week in Brisbane. 3rd round in Shanghai. 3rd round in Winston Salem. 1st round of the Australian Open.
Giron reached the 3rd round in Shanghai. Semis in Delray Beach. 1st round of the Australian Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Vukic on serve. Giron leads on return. Good chance of 3 sets. recent results on hard are much better for Vukic.
Lay Giron around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00.
WTA Adelaide
Kostyuk 2.00 v Krueger 2.00
Due to start at 5 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are a little better for Kostyuk.
Kostyuk reached the q finals last year. 3rd round in Wuhan. Q finals in Seoul. 3rd round at the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci and Toronto. Semis in Indian Wells. Final in San Diego. Q finals of the Australian Open.
Krueger lost in the 1st round as lucky loser last season. This time, she lost in the qual rounds again. Q finals in Brisbane last week. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. 1st round of the Australian Open.
12 month WTA stats are better for Krueger on serve. 3 month stats favour her. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Krueger around 1.55 and remove liability at 2.00. Lay set 1 winner.
6th January
WTA Adelaide
Stearns v Badosa 1.46
Due to start at 8 am
Badosa 1-0 (Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Badosa.
Stearns has come through the qual rounds. 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round at the US Open. Q finals in Cleveland. Q finals in Toronto. 1st round of the Australian Open.
Badosa lost in the 1st round last season. Semis in Ningbo. Q finals of the US Open. Semis in Cinci. Title in Washington. 3rd round of the Australian Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Badosa.
Back Badosa around 1.95 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
ATP Adelaide
Nishioka v Kokkinakis 1.80
Due to start at 9:30 am
Nishioka 1-0 (Aug 2014, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Kokkinakis.
Nishioka reached the 2nd round as qualifier last week, losing to eventual champion, Lehecka, in 3 sets. Title in Atlanta in July. Lost in the 1st round of the Australian Open. 5 other ATP 2nd rounds in 2024.
Kokkinakis lost in the 1st round last season. CH title in Nov. 3rd round in Washington. Q finals in Los Cabos. 2nd round of the Australian Open.
12 month ATP stats are better for Kokkinakis on serve. Recent performances are better for Nishioka.
Lay Kokkinakis around 1.50 and remove liability at 1.95. Lay set 1 winner.
5th January
Predictions:
WTA Auckland
Osaka in 2 sets
WTA Brisbane
Sabalenka in 2 sets
ATP Hong Kong
Nishikori in 3 sets
ATP Brisbane
Opelka in 3 sets
WTA Auckland
Tauson v Osaka 1.50
Due to start at 4 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Osaka.
Tauson had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Kenin in the 2nd round as slight favourite. She beat Keys in 2 sets in the q final and Montgomery in 2 sets in the semi final. She reached the q finals in Osaka. CH final in Oct. 2nd round of the US Open. 2nd round of the Aus Open. CH semi in Jan.
Osaka had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. 2 close sets win over Grabher in the 2nd round. She needed 3 sets against Baptiste in the q final and had a 2 sets win over Parks in the semis. She reached the 4th round in Beijing. 2nd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Miami. 3rd round in Indian Wells. Q finals in Doha.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Osaka.
Rain delays can significantly affect matches and I think that may have affected keys' motivation against Tauson as she would have had to play the semi final the same day.
Osaka seems to be doing just enough in her matches and was caught out in her match with Baptiste, losing the first set.
Back Osaka around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
ATP Hong Kong
Nishikori 1.41 v Muller
Due to start at 8:30 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Nishikori.
Nishikori had an easy win over Shapovalov in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Khachanov in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Norrie in the q final as slight underdog. In the semis, Shang retired before the end of the 1st set. He reached the q finals in Tokyo. Q finals in Montreal.
Muller beat Huesler in 3 sets as underdog in the 1st round. 3rd set tie break win over Kecmanovic in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Fils as huge underdog in the q final. He beat Munar in 3 tight sets in the semi final. He reached the 3rd round in Shanghai. 2nd round of the US Open. Q finals in Auckland.
12 month ATP stats are better for Nishikori on serve. His ROI in the last 12 months is higher although Muller leads in their last 10 on hard. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Back Nishikori above 2.10 and remove liability at 1.60.
4th January
Predictions:
WTA Auckland
Volynets in 3 sets
WTA Brisbane
Kalinina in 3 sets
Sabalenka in 2 sets
ATP Brisbane
Dimitrov in 3 sets
Perricard in 3 sets
ATP Hong Kong
Muller in 3 sets
ATP Brisbane
Lehecka v Dimitrov 1.61
Due to start at 5 am
Lehecka 2-1. Most recent Apr 2023, clay, Lehecka in 2. he won indoors in Oct 2022, 3rd set tie break. Hard win %'s are a little better for Dimitrov.
Lehecka beat Rune in 2 sets as underdog. 3 sets win over Nishioka in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Jarry in the q final. He reached the q finals in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Indian Wells and Dubai. Title in Adelaide.
Dimitrov won the title last season. 2 sets win over Hanfmann in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Vukic in the 2nd round. In the q final, Thompson retired in set 2. 4th round in Shanghai. Q finals of the US Open. Final in Miami. 4th round in Indian Wells. 3rd round of the Aus Open.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Dimitrov. recent performances are a little better for Dimitrov.
Back Dimitrov around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.65. Chance of 3 sets.
WTA Brisbane
Sabalenka 1.45 v Andreeva
Due to start at 8:30 am
Sabalenka 2-1. Most recent June 2024, clay, Andreeva in 3. Sabalenka won on clay in May 2024, 2 sets and on clay in 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are better for Sabalenka.
Sabalenka reached the final last season. Easy win in the 2nd round. Tight 2 sets win over Putintseva in the 3rd round. 2 sets win over Bouzkova in the q final. Title in Wuhan. Q finals in Beijing. Title at the US Open. Title in Cinci. Semis in Washington. Title at the Aus Open.
Andreeva reached the q finals last season. 2 sets win over Blinkova in the 2nd round. Very easy win over Noskova in the 3rd round. 2 tight sets win over Jabeur in the q final. Final in Ningbo. Q finals in Beijing. Q finals in Cinci. 4th round of the Aus Open.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Sabalenka.
Back Sabalenka around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
3rd January
WTA Brisbane
Krueger 1.64 v Kudermetova
Due to start at 5 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kudermetova.
Krueger lost in the 1st round last year. 3 sets win over Uchijima as favourite in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kalinskaya as underdog in the 2nd round. 2 sets win over Lamens in the 3rd round. She reached the 3rd round in Beijing in Sep. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto.
Kudermetova has come through the qual rounds. Very easy win over a poor Wang in the 1st round as slight underdog. 3 sets win over Samsonova as underdog in the 2nd round. 3 sets win over Kasatkina in the 3rd round as underdog. Semis in Merida in Nov. Q finals in Seoul. CH q final in Feb.
12 month WTA stats favour Kudermetova overall. She has the higher ROI on hard.
Lay Krueger around 1.40 and remove liability at 1.85. Fair chance of 3 sets.
WTA Auckland
Volynets 1.85 v Parks
Due to start at 7 am
Parks 1-0 (Mar 2022, hard, 3 sets). Hard win %'s are better for Volynets.
Volynets had a 3 sets win over E. Andreeva as slight underdog. 2 sets win over Li in the 2nd round She reached the 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round in Indian Wells. CH semi in Feb. Q finals in Hua Hin. CH semi in Jan.
Parks beat Anisimova in 3 sets as huge underdog. 2 sets win over Minnen as slight underdog in the 2nd round. She won a CH title in July. 3rd round of the Aus Open.
12 month WTA stats are much better for Volynets.
Parks has a poor record on hard but performed above her usual level this week. Stats for the tournament favour Volynets. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Volynets around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
2nd January
WTA Brisbane
Kalinina v Yuan 1.55
Due to start at 4 am (hopefully delayed a little)
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Yuan.
Kalinina lost in the 2nd round last year. She beat an injured Yafan Wang who retired in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Shnaider as underdog in the 2nd round. She reached the 2nd round of the US Open. 4th round in Miami. Semis in Austin.
Yuan beat Rus in 2 sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over Kostyuk as underdog in the 2nd round. She reached the semis in Hong Kong in Nov. Q finals in Monterrey. Q finals in Indian Wells. Title in Austin in March. Semis in Hobart.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Yuan. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Yuan around 2.00 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.60.
WTA Brisbane
Avanesyan v Jabeur 1.68
Due to start at 5:30 am
Avanesyan 1-0 (March 2024, hard, 3 sets). Long term hard win %'s are better for Jabeur. Avanesyan leads in the last 12 months.
Avanesyan beat Sramkova in 3 sets as slight underdog in the 1st round. 3 sets win over Badosa as underdog in the 2nd round. She reached the 3rd round in Beijing. 3rd round in Cinci as lucky loser in Aug. 3rd round in Miami and the Aus Open.
Jabeur beat Zheng in 2 tight sets in the 1st round. 2 sets win over a poor Alexandrova in the 2nd round. She reached the q finals in Abu Dhabi in Feb. 2nd round of the Aus Open. She had injury issues in 2024.
12 month stats favour Jabeur on serve despite her injury issues. She served well in the last round.
Back Jabeur around 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
1st January HAPPY NEW YEAR!!
WTA Brisbane
Azarenka 1.42 v Joint
Due to start at 8:30 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are a little better for Joint.
Azarenka reached the semis last year. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Toronto. Q finals in Washington. Semis in Miami. Q finals in Doha. 4th round of the Aus Open.
Joint had a 2 sets win in the 1st round. She reached a CH q final in Oct. 2nd round of the US Open as qualifier. CH final in July. ITF titles in Feb and March. CH q final in Jan.
12 month WTA stats are better for Azarenka on serve.
Back Azarenka around 1.85 to 1.95 and remove liability at 1.50.
ATP Brisbane
Thompson 1.70 v Michelsen
Due to start at 10 am
Thompson 2-0. Most recent Feb 2024, hard, 3 sets. He won indoors in Feb 2023, 2 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Thompson reached the semis last year. 3 sets win over Berrettini in the 1st round. 4th round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q final in Washington. Final in Atlanta. Title in Los Cabos. Q finals in Delray Beach.
Michelsen lost in the 1st round as qualifier last year. 3rd set tie break win in the 1st round as favourite. Q finals as qualifier in Tokyo. 2nd round of the US Open. Final in Winston Salem. Q finals in Washington. Q finals in Los Cabos. 3rd round of the Aus Open.
12 month ATP stats are quite even. Thompson has the better ROI on hard. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Thompson around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
31st December
ATP Hong Kong
Muller v Huesler 1.80
Due to start at 4 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Huesler.
Muller reached the 3rd round in Shanghai. 2nd round of the US Open. Q finals in Auckland.
Huesler has come through the qual rounds. He reached the 2nd round as qualifier last season. CH title in Aug.
12 month hard stats on all tours favour Huesler. ATP stats favour him on serve. Good chance of 3 sets.
Lay Muller around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20.
WTA Brisbane
Jabeur v Alexandrova 1.76
Due to start at 7:30 am
Alexandrova 6-3. Most recent Apr 2024, clay, Jabeur in 3. She won on clay in 2022, 2 sets. Alexandrova won indoors in 2021, Jabeur retired. Hard win %'s are better for Alexandrova.
Jabeur beat Zheng in 2 tight sets in the 1st round. She reached the q finals in Abu Dhabi in Feb. 2nd round of the Aus Open. She had injury issues in 2024.
Alexandrova lost in the 2nd round last season. Q finals in Wuhan. 3rd round of the US Open. Semis in Monterrey. Semis in Miami. 3rd round in Doha. Semis in Adelaide.
12 month WTA stats are stronger for Alexandrova. This match could be a bit of a mess. Both players can struggle on serve at times.
Back Alexandrova around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70. Lay set 1 winner.
30th December
ATP Brisbane
Lehecka v Rune 1.61
Due to start at 6:30 am
Rune 2-1. Most recent Oct 2024, hard, Rune in 2. He won on clay in 2022, 2 sets. Lehecka won indoors in 2021, 3 sets. Hard win %'s are even.
Lehecka reached the q finals in Beijing. 3rd round of the US Open. 3rd round in Cinci. Q finals in Indian Wells and Dubai. Title in Adelaide, which is played next week.
Rune reached the final last season. 4th round in Shanghai. Semis in Tokyo. Semis in Cinci. Q final in Indian Wells. Semis in Acapulco.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Rune on serve. They are pretty even on return.
Back Rune around 2.10 to 2.20 and remove liability at 1.65.
WTA Brisbane
Potapova 1.89 v Bogdan
Due to start at 8 am
Potapova 1-0 (Aug 2024, hard, 2 sets). Hard win %'s are quite even.
Potapova reached the q finals last year. She reached the 3rd round of the US Open. Semis in Cleveland. Q finals in Indian Wells. 3rd round in Dubai.
Bogdan lost in the 1st round last season. This year she has come through the qual rounds. Q finals in Osaka. Q finals in Cleveland.
12 month WTA hard stats are better for Bogdan on serve and favour Potapova on return. 3 month stats favour Bogdan. Fair chance of 3 sets.
Lay Bogdan around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.10.
29th December
Be a little cautious with stake size when players are playing their first match of the season.
WTA Brisbane
Linette 1.73 v Kessler
Due to start at 7 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Kessler.
Linette reached the 3rd round last year. She reached the q finals in Wuhan. 4th round in Beijing.
Kessler reached a CH q final in Oct. Title in Cleveland in Aug. CH q final in March. CH title in Feb. 2nd round of the Aus Open.
12 month WTA stats favour Kessler. Results since Oct favour Linette. Good chance of 3 sets.
Back Linette around 2.20 to 2.30 and remove liability at 1.70.
ATP Brisbane
Goffin 1.76 v Vukic
Due to start at 10 am
1st meeting. Hard win %'s are better for Goffin.
Goffin reached the q finals in Shanghai in Oct. 3rd round of the US Open. Semis in Winston Salem.
Vukic lost in the 1st round last season. Lost in the 1st round in Auckland. 3rd round in Shanghai as qualifier. 3rd round in Winston Salem. CH semi in March.
12 month ATP stats are stronger for Vukic on serve but strongly favour Goffin on return. Goffin has the better ROI on hard.
Lay Vukic around 1.65 and remove liability at 2.20. Lay set 1 winner.